Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ: MLCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (+4.57% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLCO ranks #670 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MLCO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.36B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
Per MLCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381640), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited generated $5.16B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $185.0M in net income, and $818.1M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $6.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
Altman Z-Score 0.35 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
While MLCO currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.51) and Max Pain ($4.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.01.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) surged +4.57% to $4.12, trading at 8% of its 52-week range ($3.67 – $9.53). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance Australia report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Smart-Lab report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PENN Entertainment (PENN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Melco Resorts & Entertainment has seen its share price fall sharply in recent years, so the immediate question for anyone looking at the stock today is whether that lower market value lines up with what the business is e
Churchill Downs (CHDN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.00% and +0.26%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLCO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) ranks #670 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #449 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. XHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with MLCO at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLCO
ACTIVE
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited | D | 44/100 | 8.2x | — | 10.6% | +4.57% | $1.55B | Benchmark Subject |
| TH Target Hospitality Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | 15.5% | -7.2% | -0.44% | $1.36B | /th-vs-mlco → |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 30.3x | 30.6% | 8.5% | +2.64% | $1.89B | /xhr-vs-mlco → |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 19.8x | 23.4% | 18.9% | +3.80% | $1.98B | /mcri-vs-mlco → |
| PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +7.11% | $2.13B | /penn-vs-mlco → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.16B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.64B , and +36.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $185.0M, operating cash flow of $818.1M, and free cash flow of $818.1M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLCO closed FY2025 with $7.60B in total assets against $6.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $5.16B | $185.0M | $818.1M | $818.1M | $7.60B | $6.75B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.64B | $43.5M | $626.7M | $626.7M | $7.99B | $7.14B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.78B | -$326.9M | $622.7M | $622.7M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ: MLCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (+4.57% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLCO ranks #670 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MLCO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.36B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
Per MLCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381640), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited generated $5.16B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $185.0M in net income, and $818.1M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $6.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MLCO last traded at $4.12 (+4.57% on volume of 2,149,291 shares), positioning the stock -8.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.51) and -23.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.36). Across its 52-week range of $3.67 to $9.53, MLCO sits at the 7.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($3.79 to $4.45).
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.12 (+4.57% 1D, market capitalization $1.55B).
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Hotels/Resorts industry.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) reported $5.16B in annual revenue (up from $4.64B in FY2024, +11.3% YoY) and $185.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.78B revenue, -$326.9M net income) through FY2025, MLCO scaled operating cash flow to $818.1M and free cash flow to $818.1M, backed by $7.60B in total assets against $6.75B in total debt.
Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. — The only sector-level reference is the Consumer Discretionary / Hotels/Resorts classification in the profile, and the Macau pressure cited in the Seeking Alpha headline is the one geographic exposure the news wire names. An investor should watch the Nov. 4 third-quarter report for signs of how that exposure flows through to revenue and cash flow.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance Australia report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Smart-Lab report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PENN Entertainment (PENN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Long MLCO at $3.94 targeting $4.96. Low valuation (P/E TTM 8.2, Forward P/E 7.6) paired with a 10.6% ROIC and a reported $818.1M FY 2025 free cash flow gives the stock a clear earnings-power case.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.67 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $3.94 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
Fading this rally in MLCO at $3.94. A 0.35 Altman Z-Score, a 0% FCF yield, and a RED price-target cut against $6.75B of debt point to real balance-sheet and cash-yield risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $3.94 (52-wk range $3.67–$9.53), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.
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