Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$110.54 -1.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $110.11

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MCRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MCRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $110.54 (-1.09% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #396 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MCRI compare to XHR and PENN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B) and PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCRI?
▼

Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $110.11 (-0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 23.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (17)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$143 Bull$110 Base$86 Bear
📬 FREE MCRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MCRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MCRI SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.6% FCF Margin ($128.4M FCF) & 23.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$115.84-1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$114.25+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$115.28-4.1% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$110.54-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MCRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, MCRI faces multiple-compression risk if 19.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($117.50) or 200D SMA ($112.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($110.04) toward Bear Floor ($85.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MCRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MCRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
37.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE47% OF RANGE
L: $88$110.54H: $136
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (23% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on MCRI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

18.9% ROIC with 23.4% gross margin and 6.41% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (50)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MCRI
  • ✓Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MCRI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MCRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MCRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.59%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $111.8H $111.8L $110.5C $110.5VOL 236.4K
RES: $120.6SUP: $106.5SMA50: $117.5SMA200: $112.9
$138.5$127.7$116.9$106.1$95.29RES $120.6SUP $106.5$110.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MCRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MCRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MCRI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #396 of 1011 ⚔️ XHR vs MCRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MCRI vs. XHR, PENN, SHO, MLCO)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) ranks #396 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #416 by equity capitalization ($1.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. SHO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with MCRI at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MCRI ACTIVE
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.
D+ 57/100 19.8x 23.4% 18.9% -1.09% $1.98B Benchmark Subject
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.
C- 59/100 30.3x 30.6% 8.5% -1.30% $1.89B /xhr-vs-mcri →
PENN
PENN Entertainment Inc.
D 48/100 — — -13.3% +3.65% $2.13B /penn-vs-mcri →
SHO
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — — -1.16% $2.38B /sho-vs-mcri →
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
D 44/100 8.2x — 10.6% +2.60% $1.55B /mlco-vs-mcri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000907242

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) reported GAAP revenue of $545.1M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $522.2M , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $101.4M, operating cash flow of $164.7M, and free cash flow of $128.4M (+37.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCRI closed FY2025 with $712.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $545.1M $101.4M $164.7M $128.4M $712.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $522.2M $72.8M $140.7M $93.3M $691.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $501.5M $82.4M $173.0M $173.0M — —

3. MCRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MCRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $110.54 (-1.09% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #396 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MCRI compare to XHR and PENN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B) and PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MCRI?

Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MCRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MCRI last traded at $110.54 (-1.09% on volume of 236,439 shares), positioning the stock -5.92% below its 50-day simple moving average ($117.50) and -2.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($112.91). Across its 52-week range of $88.34 to $135.93, MCRI sits at the 46.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($105.46 to $115.62).

MCRI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MCRI stock right now?

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MCRI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MCRI's 12-month base price target is $110.04 (range $85.83 to $142.73), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MCRI — Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:27:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MCRI scores 58 out of 100, grade D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 18.9% and FCF yield of 6.41%. This is the strongest pillar and the main source of upside support in the rating. The implication is that the business reportedly converts capital into returns and cash at a level that supports the rating's most favorable component.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 6 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is low, and the holders section in this source set is empty, so the rating's institutional-flow component provides limited support.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is relatively high. The underlying trade-level detail is not present in the holders section of this source set, so the signal cannot be independently inspected here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. This is a moderate-to-weak pillar, indicating the stock tracks market-level moves without a clear macro tailwind in the rating's framework.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This pillar is middling and weighs on the overall grade.

Taken together, the rating's cash-generation strength is offset by weak institutional flow, a mid-range balance sheet, and limited macro fit. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's framework points to a cautious posture: the valuation (P/E 19.8 TTM, 18.4 forward per the market data) must be weighed against the rating's view that fundamentals are weak overall. These are analytical observations, not personalized advice.

Business

Per the profile, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Hotels/Resorts industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $2.0B. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.4%, operating margin is 0%, and net margin is 18.6%. The source data does not describe the specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$545.1M$0.0M$101.4MN/A$128.4MN/AN/A
FY 2024$522.2M$0.0M$72.8MN/A$93.3MN/AN/A
FY 2023$501.5M$0.0M$82.4MN/A$173.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $501.5M (FY 2023) to $522.2M (FY 2024) and $545.1M (FY 2025), while net income was $82.4M, $72.8M, and $101.4M across the same periods. Free cash flow was $173.0M, $93.3M, and $128.4M. Per the market data, ROIC is 18.9% and net margin is 18.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Operating income is reported as $0.0M in each period, and cash and debt are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings timing (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the recent news, Monarch Casino & Resort is set to report 2026 third-quarter results after market close on October 27.
  • M&A as potential catalyst (GREEN, CATALYST): Per the recent news, a Seeking Alpha report notes that Texas Capital remains bullish with M&A a potential catalyst.
  • Price target cut (RED, RISK WATCH): Per the recent news, a TradingView report describes a 12-month price target cut to $128.71, implying 12% upside.
  • Consensus target (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the recent news, a MarketBeat report cites a consensus target price of $124.40.
  • Q3 2026 earnings release (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the recent news, a Quiver Quantitative report covers the Q3 2026 earnings release.
  • Earnings miss (GREEN, CATALYST): Per the recent news, a Simply Wall St report headlines a miss versus estimates despite a record quarter, keeping valuation in focus.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply-chain field is NONE, there are no butterfly links, and there are no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Hotels/Resorts per the profile.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported cash and debt balances, which would allow a direct check on the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar?
  • What is the reported operating income, given it shows as $0.0M in each period while net margin is 18.6%?
  • What were the specific institutional holders and insider trades behind the Whale/13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • What is the basis and timing of the M&A catalyst referenced in the news?
  • What were the actual results of the Q3 2026 earnings release relative to the estimates referenced in the news?

MCRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MCRI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MCRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $110.54?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MCRI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MCRI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $120.70 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MCRI (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $111.76?

Welcome to the MCRI (Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $91.64 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $111.76

Pump the brakes on MCRI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MCRI, but look at what you are paying: 19.8x trailing P/E with 23.4% gross margins. Unless Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $129.64 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $111.76

MCRI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MCRI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $111.76 (52-wk range $88.34 - $135.93), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%