Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.75 +1.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.76

Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.11B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HBNB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HBNB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $4.75 (+1.93% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HBNB ranks #549 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HBNB compare to TH and MLCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HBNB carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.36B) and MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $1.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MLCO leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HBNB?
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For Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #549 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.76 (+0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$11 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE HBNB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HBNB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HBNB SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.8% FCF Margin ($31.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$4.25+7.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$4.58+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$4.77-0.4% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$4.75-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HBNB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HBNB currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.84) and Max Pain ($4.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HBNB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HBNB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE
L: $4$4.75H: $10
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on HBNB

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HBNB
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HBNB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HBNB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HBNB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.01%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $4.66H $4.75L $4.66C $4.75VOL 58.2K
RES: $5.11SUP: $3.92SMA50: $4.84SMA200: $6.13
$7.58$6.66$5.75$4.83$3.92RES $5.11SUP $3.92$4.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HBNB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HBNB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HBNB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HBNB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HBNB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #549 of 1011 ⚔️ TH vs HBNB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HBNB vs. TH, MLCO, BALY, XHR)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB) ranks #549 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #499 by equity capitalization ($1.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MLCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. XHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with HBNB at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HBNB ACTIVE
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — +1.93% $1.11B Benchmark Subject
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
D 45/100 — 15.5% -7.2% -4.00% $1.36B /th-vs-hbnb →
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
D 44/100 8.2x — 10.6% +2.60% $1.55B /mlco-vs-hbnb →
BALY
Bally's Corporation
E 25/100 — — -4.7% +0.15% $682.3M /baly-vs-hbnb →
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.
C- 59/100 30.3x 30.6% 8.5% -1.30% $1.89B /xhr-vs-hbnb →

2. HBNB Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB) operates in Hotels/Resorts (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $1.11B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. HBNB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HBNB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HBNB) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $4.75 (+1.93% 1D, market cap $1.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HBNB ranks #549 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HBNB compare to TH and MLCO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HBNB carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.36B) and MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $1.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MLCO leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HBNB?

For Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #549 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HBNB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HBNB last traded at $4.75 (+1.93% on volume of 58,174 shares), positioning the stock -1.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.84) and -22.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.13). Across its 52-week range of $4.20 to $10.43, HBNB sits at the 8.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.16 to $5.34).

HBNB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HBNB stock right now?

Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HBNB's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HBNB's 12-month base price target is $4.58 (range $3.57 to $10.95), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HBNB — Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HBNB scores 49 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The rating notes ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the cash-generation case is currently unproven in the source data.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. This is the weakest pillar, covering institutional accumulation and options positioning. It signals limited institutional support as reflected in the rating inputs.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, with a below-midpoint reading.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Beta is 1.0 and the rating reflects sector sensitivity, meaning the stock moves in line with the broader market rather than offering a defensive or differentiated profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Altman Z-Score 2.5, Piotroski F-Score 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating a comparatively steadier balance sheet than its cash generation and flow metrics.

Taken together, the rating points to a balance sheet that is not the primary concern, but weak cash returns, minimal institutional and insider conviction, and market-level risk exposure. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because several earnings-based multiples are unavailable.

Business

Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Hotels/Resorts industry. it operates in hotels and resorts with a market capitalization of $1.1B. — for specific product lines, customer segments, or revenue model details.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the dominant theme is an expansion into Egypt, described as the company's first entry on the African continent, beginning with a $100.8 Million Cairo project. A 750-room Cairo hotel is referenced in a separate headline. Items are tagged as catalysts (green) or market wire (yellow) in the feed:

  • Catalyst (green): Egypt venture signing, framed as a question of whether the stock is still a bargain.
  • Catalyst (green): Hotel101-Madrid reported a record high of US$3.28 Million in monthly figures.
  • Market wire (yellow): Egypt entry coverage, the 750-room Cairo plans, and the $100.8 Million project announcement.

Risk watch: the feed contains no reported profitability, cash flow, or guidance figures to confirm whether these catalysts translate into earnings. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector context is limited to the classification of Consumer Discretionary / Hotels/Resorts. Investors should watch whether the Egypt and Cairo development programs create new dependencies (construction, financing, local operations) that the current graph does not capture.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, and net income figures, and do they support the 0% margin and ROIC inputs?
  • How will the $100.8 Million Cairo project be financed, and what debt or equity commitments does it require?
  • What is the timing and expected revenue contribution from the 750-room Cairo hotel?
  • Why are institutional (13F) and insider flow signals so weak, and what positioning changes would alter that pillar?
  • What is the company's free cash flow trajectory, given that the FCF yield is recorded as 0%?

HBNB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) (HBNB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HBNB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HBNB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.75?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HBNB 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HBNB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $5.03 (+7.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HBNB (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $4.66?

Welcome to the HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.77 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $4.66

Pump the brakes on HBNB — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HBNB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.69 (+22.1%)
Spot @ $4.66

HBNB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HBNB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.66 (52-wk range $4.20 - $10.43), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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