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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MLCO / forecast
TH (45) XHR (59) MCRI (57) PENN (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$4.12 +4.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.15

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MLCO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MLCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ: MLCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (+4.57% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLCO ranks #670 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MLCO compare to TH and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MLCO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.36B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLCO?
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Per MLCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381640), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited generated $5.16B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $185.0M in net income, and $818.1M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $6.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.15 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$10 Bull$4 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE MLCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MLCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MLCO SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.35 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$4.24-2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$4.12-9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$3.75+9.9% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$4.12-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MLCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MLCO currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.51) and Max Pain ($4.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MLCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MLCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MLCO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $4.12: 2427.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $3.01
$7,306
$-2,694 (-26.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.86
$9,369
$-631 (-6.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.01
$24,296
+$14,296 (+143.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MLCO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MLCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MLCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.54%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $3.84H $4.12L $3.84C $4.12VOL 1.74M
RES: $5.45SUP: $3.61SMA50: $4.51SMA200: $5.36
$7.88$6.74$5.60$4.46$3.32RES $5.45SUP $3.61$4.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MLCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MLCO Butterfly Map → + Track MLCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MLCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MLCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MLCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MLCO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #670 of 1009 ⚔️ TH vs MLCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MLCO vs. TH, XHR, MCRI, PENN)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) ranks #670 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #449 by equity capitalization ($1.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. XHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with MLCO at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MLCO ACTIVE
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
D 44/100 8.2x — 10.6% +4.57% $1.55B Benchmark Subject
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
D 45/100 — 15.5% -7.2% -0.44% $1.36B /th-vs-mlco →
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.
C- 59/100 30.3x 30.6% 8.5% +2.64% $1.89B /xhr-vs-mlco →
MCRI
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc.
D+ 57/100 19.8x 23.4% 18.9% +3.80% $1.98B /mcri-vs-mlco →
PENN
PENN Entertainment Inc.
D 48/100 — — -13.3% +7.11% $2.13B /penn-vs-mlco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001381640 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.16B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.64B , and +36.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $185.0M, operating cash flow of $818.1M, and free cash flow of $818.1M (+30.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, MLCO closed FY2025 with $7.60B in total assets against $6.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.16B $185.0M $818.1M $818.1M $7.60B $6.75B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.64B $43.5M $626.7M $626.7M $7.99B $7.14B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.78B -$326.9M $622.7M $622.7M — —

3. MLCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MLCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ: MLCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $4.12 (+4.57% 1D, market cap $1.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MLCO ranks #670 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MLCO compare to TH and XHR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MLCO carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, TH (Target Hospitality Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -7.2%, cap $1.36B) and XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MLCO?

Per MLCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001381640), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited generated $5.16B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), $185.0M in net income, and $818.1M in free cash flow against $7.60B in total assets and $6.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MLCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MLCO last traded at $4.12 (+4.57% on volume of 2,149,291 shares), positioning the stock -8.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.51) and -23.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.36). Across its 52-week range of $3.67 to $9.53, MLCO sits at the 7.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($3.79 to $4.45).

Direct Sub-Reports: MLCO RQD Cockpit MLCO 12M Forecast MLCO Earnings & Move MLCO Dividends & DRIP MLCO Insiders & 13F MLCO Whale Options MLCO Profit Sankey MLCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MLCO — Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $4.12 (+4.57% 1D, market capitalization $1.55B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 10.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 11.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.35, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Hotels/Resorts industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) reported $5.16B in annual revenue (up from $4.64B in FY2024, +11.3% YoY) and $185.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.78B revenue, -$326.9M net income) through FY2025, MLCO scaled operating cash flow to $818.1M and free cash flow to $818.1M, backed by $7.60B in total assets against $6.75B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.67 – $9.53 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.2x trailing P/E and 12.1x EV/EBITDA against 11.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data. — The only sector-level reference is the Consumer Discretionary / Hotels/Resorts classification in the profile, and the Macau pressure cited in the Seeking Alpha headline is the one geographic exposure the news wire names. An investor should watch the Nov. 4 third-quarter report for signs of how that exposure flows through to revenue and cash flow.

  • Key Question #1: Can MLCO sustain or expand its 11.6% operating margin and 10.6% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.16B and free cash flow of $818.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $6.75B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MLCO's 7.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MLCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MLCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MLCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.12?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MLCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MLCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.96 (+25.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low valuation (P/E TTM 8.2, Forward P/E 7.6) paired with a 10.6% ROIC and a reported $818.1M FY 2025 free cash flow gives the stock a c

Long MLCO at $3.94 targeting $4.96. Low valuation (P/E TTM 8.2, Forward P/E 7.6) paired with a 10.6% ROIC and a reported $818.1M FY 2025 free cash flow gives the stock a clear earnings-power case.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.67 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $3.94 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.11 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $3.94

A 0.35 Altman Z-Score, a 0% FCF yield, and a RED price-target cut against $6.75B of debt point to real balance-sheet and cash-yield r

Fading this rally in MLCO at $3.94. A 0.35 Altman Z-Score, a 0% FCF yield, and a RED price-target cut against $6.75B of debt point to real balance-sheet and cash-yield risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $3.94 (52-wk range $3.67–$9.53), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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