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Stock Ratings / Technology / TUYA / forecast
NABL (58) COUR (44) GDYN (66) RPD (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.60 -3.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $981.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TUYA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (-3.61% 1D, market cap $981.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUYA compare to NABL and COUR in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and COUR (Coursera Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $917.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?
▼

Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.59 (-0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (3)SEC (18)Macro (6)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.6% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TUYA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TUYA SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$1.72-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$1.70-4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$1.62-1.2% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$1.60-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TUYA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TUYA faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.73) or 200D SMA ($2.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.59) toward Bear Floor ($1.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUYA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TUYA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TUYA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.60: 6250.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.24
$7,750
$-2,250 (-22.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.59
$9,938
$-63 (-0.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.74
$17,125
+$7,125 (+71.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUYA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TUYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TUYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.66H $1.66L $1.60C $1.60VOL 994.6K
RES: $1.71SUP: $1.56SMA50: $1.73SMA200: $2.02
$2.61$2.32$2.04$1.76$1.47RES $1.71SUP $1.56$1.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUYA Butterfly Map → + Track TUYA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUYA)

Technology Rank #268 of 714 ⚔️ NABL vs TUYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TUYA vs. NABL, COUR, GDYN, RPD)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #351 by equity capitalization ($981.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. GDYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TUYA at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TUYA ACTIVE
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 56/100 17.6x 48.2% 6.9% -3.61% $981.3M Benchmark Subject
NABL
N-able Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 76.9% 2.5% 0.00% $978.5M /nabl-vs-tuya →
COUR
Coursera Inc.
D 44/100 — 54.6% -35.0% -25.54% $917.5M /cour-vs-tuya →
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 79.6x 34.6% -0.7% +40.78% $1.08B /gdyn-vs-tuya →
RPD
Rapid7 Inc.
C 64/100 49.2x 70.3% 15.9% -3.04% $1.12B /rpd-vs-tuya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829118

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported GAAP revenue of $321.8M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $298.6M , and +39.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.9M, operating cash flow of $81.0M, and free cash flow of $81.0M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUYA closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $321.8M $57.9M $81.0M $81.0M $1.13B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $298.6M $5.0M $80.4M $80.4M $1.10B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $230.0M -$60.3M $36.4M $36.4M — —

3. TUYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (-3.61% 1D, market cap $981.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TUYA compare to NABL and COUR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and COUR (Coursera Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $917.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TUYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUYA last traded at $1.60 (-3.61% on volume of 994,645 shares), positioning the stock -7.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.73) and -20.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.61, TUYA sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($1.50 to $1.70).

TUYA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TUYA's 12-month stock price target?

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.59 (-0.6% from $1.60), with a bull-case target of $2.74 and a bear-case floor of $1.24.

Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TUYA D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 56/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TUYA RQD Cockpit TUYA 12M Forecast TUYA Earnings & Move TUYA Dividends & DRIP TUYA Insiders & 13F TUYA Whale Options TUYA Profit Sankey TUYA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TUYA — Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TUYA carries a composite RQD Score of 58 and a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. The stated inputs are ROIC of 6.9% and an FCF yield of 7.96%. For a prospective investor, this indicates a modest return on capital and a free-cash-flow yield that is meaningful relative to the stock price, though the pillar score does not reach the top of its range.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. This is the weakest pillar and reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score signals limited supportive institutional flow, which removes a potential upside driver.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. This pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, is comparatively strong and is the one area where the rating points to insider-side support.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. With a stated beta of 1.0 and a score that reflects sector sensitivity, the pillar suggests the stock's behavior is tied to broader market and sector conditions without a clear macro tailwind in the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, supported by an Altman Z of 6.21, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the balance-sheet profile is the rating's main source of resilience.

Taken together, the rating's high balance-sheet score is offset by weak institutional flow and macro fit, producing a Sell/Trim verdict. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 17.6 sits alongside an EV/EBITDA of 44.3, an unusual gap that a prospective investor should interpret carefully, since the two multiples are not reconciled in the source data.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
1.66$1.02B17.616.444.30.096.86%1.0$1.56 - $2.616.9%

Business

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) is a NYSE-listed issuer. Per the company profile, its sector is Technology and its industry is Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Not available in source data for the specific products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model. The profile confirms only the sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$321.8M$11.5M$57.9MN/A$81.0M$890.7MN/A
FY 2024$298.6M$-47.6M$5.0MN/A$80.4M$653.3MN/A
FY 2023$230.0M$-105.8M$-60.3MN/A$36.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $230.0M in FY 2023 to $321.8M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss of $-105.8M to a positive $11.5M over the same span. Net income in FY 2025 was $57.9M, compared with $5.0M in FY 2024. Per the market data, the reported gross margin is 48.2%, the operating margin is 3.6%, and the net margin is 18%, with ROIC at 6.9%. The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 6.21 and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported cash was $890.7M for FY 2025, and the debt line is not available in source data.

TUYA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TUYA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TUYA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.60?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TUYA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TUYA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $1.79 (+7.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TUYA (D+ • RQD 58/100) a Buy at $1.66?

Welcome to the TUYA (Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 58/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.36 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $1.66

Pump the brakes on TUYA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TUYA, but look at what you are paying: 17.6x trailing P/E with 48.2% gross margins. Unless Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.09 (+25.9%)
Spot @ $1.66

TUYA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TUYA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.66 (52-wk range $1.56 - $2.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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