ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Technology / TUYA / earnings
NABL (58) COUR (44) GDYN (66) RPD (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$1.60 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $981.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TUYA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $981.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUYA compare to NABL and COUR in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and COUR (Coursera Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $917.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?
▼

Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (3)SEC (18)Macro (6)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.6% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TUYA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TUYA SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$1.72-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$1.70-4.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$1.62-1.2% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$1.60-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TUYA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TUYA faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.73) or 200D SMA ($2.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.59) toward Bear Floor ($1.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUYA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TUYA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$0.10 Expected Swing
$1.50 (-6.4%)Spot $1.60$1.70 (+6.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TUYA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 56/100

Trailing EPS: $0.09 • YoY Revenue Growth: 7.8%

Model Bullish Setup (56/100)Model Risk Weight (44/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$321.8M$57.9M$81.0M48.2%
FY 20242024-12-31$298.6M$5.0M$80.4M47.4%
FY 20232023-12-31$230.0M-$60.3M$36.4M48.2%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUYA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TUYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TUYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.66H $1.66L $1.60C $1.60VOL 994.6K
RES: $1.71SUP: $1.56SMA50: $1.73SMA200: $2.02
$2.61$2.32$2.04$1.76$1.47RES $1.71SUP $1.56$1.602026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUYA Butterfly Map → + Track TUYA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
10.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUYA)

Technology Rank #269 of 715 ⚔️ NABL vs TUYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TUYA vs. NABL, COUR, GDYN, RPD)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) ranks #269 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #352 by equity capitalization ($981.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. GDYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TUYA at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TUYA ACTIVE
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 56/100 17.6x 48.2% 6.9% 0.00% $981.3M Benchmark Subject
NABL
N-able Inc.
D+ 58/100 — 76.9% 2.5% -2.32% $978.5M /nabl-vs-tuya →
COUR
Coursera Inc.
D 44/100 — 54.6% -35.0% +9.22% $917.5M /cour-vs-tuya →
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 79.6x 34.6% -0.7% +2.47% $1.08B /gdyn-vs-tuya →
RPD
Rapid7 Inc.
C 64/100 49.2x 70.3% 15.9% -10.30% $1.12B /rpd-vs-tuya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829118 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported GAAP revenue of $321.8M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $298.6M , and +39.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.9M, operating cash flow of $81.0M, and free cash flow of $81.0M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUYA closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $321.8M $57.9M $81.0M $81.0M $1.13B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $298.6M $5.0M $80.4M $80.4M $1.10B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $230.0M -$60.3M $36.4M $36.4M — —

3. TUYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $981.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TUYA compare to NABL and COUR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and COUR (Coursera Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $917.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TUYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUYA last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 514,145 shares), positioning the stock -7.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.73) and -20.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.61, TUYA sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($1.50 to $1.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: TUYA RQD Cockpit TUYA 12M Forecast TUYA Earnings & Move TUYA Dividends & DRIP TUYA Insiders & 13F TUYA Whale Options TUYA Profit Sankey TUYA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TUYA — Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tuya Inc. Each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $981.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of 48.2%, operating margin of 3.6%, and free cash flow yield of 7.96%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.21, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tuya Inc. Each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) is a NYSE-listed issuer. Its sector is Technology and its industry is Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. — for the specific products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model. The profile confirms only the sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. Each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported $321.8M in annual revenue (up from $298.6M in FY2024, +7.8% YoY) and $57.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($230.0M revenue, -$60.3M net income) through FY2025, TUYA scaled operating cash flow to $81.0M and free cash flow to $81.0M, backed by $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.56 – $2.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.6x trailing P/E and 44.3x EV/EBITDA against 3.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), TUYA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 48.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can TUYA sustain or expand its 3.6% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $321.8M and free cash flow of $81.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TUYA's 16.4x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TUYA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TUYA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TUYA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TUYA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TUYA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.95 (+21.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 6.21, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and cash of $890.7M against a 2025 net income of $5

Picked up a starter position in TUYA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.60. Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 6.21, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and cash of $890.7M against a 2025 net income of $57.9M.. Trading inside a $1.56–$2.61 52-week range with 7.96% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.60 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.20 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $1.60

Whale 13F flow scores only 5/20, the weakest pillar, leaving the stock without clear institutional accumulation to support the rating.

Careful chasing TUYA at $1.60. Whale 13F flow scores only 5/20, the weakest pillar, leaving the stock without clear institutional accumulation to support the rating.. Gross margin is 48.2%, but operating margin is 3.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.20 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%