How profitable is Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TUYA converted $321.8M of revenue into a 48.2% gross margin, 3.6% operating margin, and $81.0M in free cash flow (25.2% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Technology / TUYA / financials

NABL (58) COUR (44) GDYN (66) RPD (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.60 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60

Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $981.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TUYA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (NYSE: TUYA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market cap $981.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TUYA ranks #268 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TUYA compare to NABL and COUR in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), TUYA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.6x, gross margin of 48.2%, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, NABL (N-able Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.5%, cap $978.5M) and COUR (Coursera Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $917.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TUYA leads on earnings multiple (17.6x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

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Per TUYA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829118), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share generated $321.8M in revenue (+7.8% YoY), $57.9M in net income, and $81.0M in free cash flow against $1.13B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.60 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 25.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TUYA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TUYA SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$1.72-1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$1.70-4.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$1.62-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.60-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TUYA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TUYA faces multiple-compression risk if 17.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 45.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.73) or 200D SMA ($2.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.59) toward Bear Floor ($1.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TUYA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TUYA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TUYA Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$81.0M (25.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $230.0M

FY24

Rev $298.6M

FY25

Rev $321.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$321.8M	48.2%	3.6%	$57.9M	$81.0M	6.9%
FY 2024	$298.6M	47.4%	-15.9%	$5.0M	$80.4M	-10.6%
FY 2023	$230.0M	48.2%	-46%	-$60.3M	$36.4M	6.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TUYA)

✓Walkthrough of TUYA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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TUYA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.33%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $1.66H $1.66L $1.60C $1.60VOL 994.6K

RES: $1.71SUP: $1.56SMA50: $1.73SMA200: $2.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TUYA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TUYA Butterfly Map → + Track TUYA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

10.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TUYA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TUYA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TUYA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TUYA)

Technology Rank #268 of 714 ⚔️ NABL vs TUYA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TUYA vs. NABL, COUR, GDYN, RPD)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) ranks #268 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #351 by equity capitalization ($981.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TUYA leads on earnings valuation at 17.6x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. GDYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TUYA at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TUYA ACTIVE Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share	D+	56/100	17.6x	48.2%	6.9%	0.00%	$981.3M	Benchmark Subject
NABL N-able Inc.	D+	58/100	—	76.9%	2.5%	-2.32%	$978.5M	/nabl-vs-tuya →
COUR Coursera Inc.	D	44/100	—	54.6%	-35.0%	+9.22%	$917.5M	/cour-vs-tuya →
GDYN Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)	C+	66/100	79.6x	34.6%	-0.7%	+2.47%	$1.08B	/gdyn-vs-tuya →
RPD Rapid7 Inc.	C	64/100	49.2x	70.3%	15.9%	-10.30%	$1.12B	/rpd-vs-tuya →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829118

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported GAAP revenue of $321.8M (+7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $298.6M , and +39.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $57.9M, operating cash flow of $81.0M, and free cash flow of $81.0M (+0.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, TUYA closed FY2025 with $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$321.8M	$57.9M	$81.0M	$81.0M	$1.13B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$298.6M	$5.0M	$80.4M	$80.4M	$1.10B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$230.0M	-$60.3M	$36.4M	$36.4M	—	—

3. TUYA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TUYA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TUYA compare to NABL and COUR in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TUYA?

Where is TUYA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TUYA last traded at $1.60 (0.00% on volume of 514,145 shares), positioning the stock -7.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.73) and -20.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.02). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.61, TUYA sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($1.50 to $1.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: TUYA RQD Cockpit TUYA 12M Forecast TUYA Earnings & Move TUYA Dividends & DRIP TUYA Insiders & 13F TUYA Whale Options TUYA Profit Sankey TUYA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TUYA — Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tuya Inc. Each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.60 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $981.3M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of 48.2%, operating margin of 3.6%, and free cash flow yield of 7.96%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 6.21, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tuya Inc. Each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) is a NYSE-listed issuer. Its sector is Technology and its industry is Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. — for the specific products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model. The profile confirms only the sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tuya Inc. Each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) reported $321.8M in annual revenue (up from $298.6M in FY2024, +7.8% YoY) and $57.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($230.0M revenue, -$60.3M net income) through FY2025, TUYA scaled operating cash flow to $81.0M and free cash flow to $81.0M, backed by $1.13B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.56 – $2.61 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 17.6x trailing P/E and 44.3x EV/EBITDA against 3.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), TUYA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 48.2%.

Key Question #1: Can TUYA sustain or expand its 3.6% operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $321.8M and free cash flow of $81.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is TUYA's 16.4x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TUYA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share (TUYA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TUYA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo • 11h ago

Tuya (TUYA) Stock Could Be Undervalued After a 71% Five Year Fall

Tuya stock has had a difficult stretch over the past few years, which puts fresh focus on whether the current US$1.60 share price makes sense relative to what the business is actually earning. For investors looking at Tu

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 8d ago

Conow Launches Award-Winning Atlas 6000 AC in Germany, Advancing AI-Driven Home Energy Management

Co-built with Tuya Smart, the 6kWh AC-coupled battery upgrades existing rooftop solar systems with Level 4 AI energy managementMUNICH, Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Conow, an AI-native digital energy ecosystem brand

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 24d ago

Has Tuya (NYSE:TUYA) Fallen Enough To Trade At A Discount?

Tuya trades around US$1.72 after a bumpy few years for shareholders, and the recent share price level raises a simple question for you as an investor. Is the current quote a fair reflection of what the business earns tod

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 24d ago

Tuya (TUYA) Forecasts Significant Operating Margin Expansion

Tuya (NYSE: TUYA) outlined a shift toward a profitable SaaS profile, centered on its cloud-agnostic IoT software platform. Management highlighted forecasted operating margin expansion, tied to a larger mix of software su

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 24d ago

Tuya (TUYA) And The AI IoT Story Behind Its Undervalued View

Tuya (TUYA) has drawn attention after recent trading left the stock near US$1.70. The share price has declined over the past month and past 3 months as investors reassess this China-based AI cloud platform provider. Rece

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 27d ago

Tuya's 2026 Outlook: Software Strategy Drives Sustained Margin Expansion

This under-the-radar small-cap tech stock boasts a Superscore of 76 from our Hidden Gems Primary database, part of The Motley Fool's Moneyball Database system. Here's why.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 58d ago

Tuya Smart Brings Full-Stack AI into Everyday Life at IFA 2026

Tuya Smart (NYSE: TUYA; HKEX: 2391), a global AI cloud platform service provider, is showcasing its latest advances in physical AI at IFA 2026 under the theme "Hey Tuya."

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 59d ago

Tuya Smart Unveils Doova at IFA 2026, an AI Home Companion Robot Designed to Support Independently Living Seniors

Tuya Smart (NYSE: TUYA; HKEX: 2391), a global AI cloud platform service provider, today unveiled Doova, its new AI home companion robot, at IFA 2026. Designed for seniors living alone, Doova moves beyond the traditional

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🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TUYA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.60?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TUYA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.95 (+21.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 6.21, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and cash of $890.7M against a 2025 net income of $5

Picked up a starter position in TUYA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.60. Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with an Altman Z of 6.21, a Piotroski F of 8/9, and cash of $890.7M against a 2025 net income of $57.9M.. Trading inside a $1.56–$2.61 52-week range with 7.96% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software multiples expand this quarter.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.60 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.20 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $1.60

Whale 13F flow scores only 5/20, the weakest pillar, leaving the stock without clear institutional accumulation to support the rating.

Careful chasing TUYA at $1.60. Whale 13F flow scores only 5/20, the weakest pillar, leaving the stock without clear institutional accumulation to support the rating.. Gross margin is 48.2%, but operating margin is 3.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.20 on multiple compression.