Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.56 -3.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.44

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.12B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Rapid7 Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.56 (-3.04% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RPD ranks #157 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPD compare to GDYN and BBAI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RPD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.2x, gross margin of 70.3%, and ROIC of 15.9%. By comparison, GDYN (Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 79.6x, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.08B) and BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTM leads on earnings multiple (10.5x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?
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Per RPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560327), Rapid7 Inc. generated $859.8M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $23.4M in net income, and $146.2M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.44 (-0.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 17% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (17)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$20 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE RPD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RPD SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$12.92+2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$13.22+33.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$17.60-5.9% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$16.56+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RPD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, RPD faces multiple-compression risk if 49.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.09) or 200D SMA ($9.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.01) toward Bear Floor ($13.27).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPD• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RPD Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
63.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.29>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE84% OF RANGE
L: $5$16.56H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (70% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on RPD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

15.9% ROIC with 70.3% gross margin and 12.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 0.29 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RPD
  • ✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RPD Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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RPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +155.16%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $17.08H $17.08L $16.56C $16.56VOL 1.63M
RES: $19.00SUP: $12.78SMA50: $13.09SMA200: $9.49
$19.44$15.80$12.16$8.52$4.88RES $19.00SUP $12.78$16.562026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
35.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPD)

Technology Rank #157 of 714 ⚔️ GDYN vs RPD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RPD vs. GDYN, BBAI, GTM, TUYA)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) ranks #157 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #343 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTM leads on earnings valuation at 10.5x trailing P/E, while RPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.9% ROIC and 70.3% gross margin. GDYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with RPD at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPD ACTIVE
Rapid7 Inc.
C 64/100 49.2x 70.3% 15.9% -3.04% $1.12B Benchmark Subject
GDYN
Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C+ 66/100 79.6x 34.6% -0.7% +40.78% $1.08B /gdyn-vs-rpd →
BBAI
BigBear.ai Inc.
E 28/100 — 22.3% -27.5% -2.62% $1.25B /bbai-vs-rpd →
GTM
ZoomInfo Technologies Inc
D+ 52/100 10.5x 84.0% 6.7% -2.68% $1.27B /gtm-vs-rpd →
TUYA
Tuya Inc. each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 56/100 17.6x 48.2% 6.9% -3.61% $981.3M /tuya-vs-rpd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001560327

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) reported GAAP revenue of $859.8M (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $844.0M , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $23.4M, operating cash flow of $153.8M, and free cash flow of $146.2M (-13.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPD closed FY2025 with $1.73B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.29, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $859.8M $23.4M $153.8M $146.2M $1.73B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $844.0M $25.5M $171.7M $168.2M $1.65B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $777.7M -$152.8M $104.3M $104.3M — —

3. RPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rapid7 Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $16.56 (-3.04% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, RPD ranks #157 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPD compare to GDYN and BBAI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RPD carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 49.2x, gross margin of 70.3%, and ROIC of 15.9%. By comparison, GDYN (Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 79.6x, ROIC -0.7%, cap $1.08B) and BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.5%, cap $1.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTM leads on earnings multiple (10.5x) while RPD leads on capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPD?

Per RPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560327), Rapid7 Inc. generated $859.8M in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $23.4M in net income, and $146.2M in free cash flow against $1.73B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 49x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPD last traded at $16.56 (-3.04% on volume of 1,633,305 shares), positioning the stock +26.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.09) and +74.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.49). Across its 52-week range of $4.97 to $18.70, RPD sits at the 84.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($14.49 to $18.63).

RPD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RPD stock right now?

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 70% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 49x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is RPD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RPD's 12-month base price target is $17.01 (range $13.27 to $20.07), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RPD — Rapid7 Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:30Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RPD scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 15.9% and an FCF yield of 12.7%. These are real cash-generation strengths, but the pillar score sits in the lower half, which suggests the cash engine is not enough to carry the rating alone against weak operating margins.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar, indicating that large holders have been building or maintaining exposure.
  • Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderately favorable, pointing to a mildly constructive insider signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broad market, so it neither cushions nor amplifies market direction, and the score is mid-range.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects Altman Z of 0.29, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Altman Z reading is low, which is the main balance-sheet caution in the rating.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on institutional positioning and cash generation. The valuation tradeoff is significant: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 49.2 and an EV/EBITDA of 50.2, which leaves little room for error if growth or margins disappoint. The forensic pillar flags balance-sheet fragility that a careful investor would want to weigh against the cash-flow strength. The overall rating reads as balanced rather than compelling in either direction.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
17.08$1.15B49.245.850.20.350%1.0$4.97 - $18.7215.9%

Business

Rapid7 Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry, per the profile. Per the profile, the company is described with a market capitalization of $1.2B. The source data does not specify its products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$859.8M$11.6M$23.4MN/A$146.2M$246.7MN/A
FY 2024$844.0M$35.0M$25.5MN/A$168.2M$334.7MN/A
FY 2023$777.7M$-84.3M$-152.8MN/A$104.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $777.7M in FY 2023 to $844.0M in FY 2024 and $859.8M in FY 2025, while operating income fell from $35.0M to $11.6M over the last two years. Per the market data, the operating margin is 1.3%, the net margin is 2.7%, and the gross margin is 70.3%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.29, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Per the market data, ROIC is 15.9%. The Altman Z reading is low, and the balance sheet posture is therefore flagged as a forensic concern, though the Piotroski score is comparatively supportive.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items are flagged YELLOW on a market-wire basis and relate to RPD. The headlines include claims about AI-related security news and possible undervaluation, a GuruFocus GF Score of 56/100, a Stock Titan report on AI operational incidents, and Simply Wall St commentary asking whether the stock is fully valued. The feed presents a mix of valuation commentary and sector-theme coverage. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so there are no structured signal catalysts to cite. The news flow contains no concrete earnings, guidance, or contract events in the source data, and the valuation framing across headlines is divergent, with some pieces calling the stock undervalued and another questioning its full valuation.

Open Questions

  • What specific products, customers, and revenue drivers account for RPD's $859.8M of FY 2025 revenue?
  • Why did operating income decline from $35.0M in FY 2024 to $11.6M in FY 2025, and is that trend expected to continue?
  • What is the company's reported debt and EPS for the periods shown, given that both are listed as N/A in the financials?
  • What is the source of the Altman Z-Score of 0.29, and how does the company's leverage profile support or contradict it?
  • What institutional and insider ownership figures sit behind the whale and insider pillar scores, since the holders data is empty?

RPD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RPD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RPD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.56?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RPD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RPD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.45 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RPD (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $17.08?

Welcome to the RPD (Rapid7 Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.9% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (49.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.01 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $17.08

Pump the brakes on RPD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RPD, but look at what you are paying: 49.2x trailing P/E with 70.3% gross margins. Unless Rapid7 Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.67 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $17.08

RPD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RPD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $17.08 (52-wk range $4.97 - $18.72), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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