Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.67 (-4.00% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TH ranks #657 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), TH carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.5%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $1.55B) and HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
Per TH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712189), Target Hospitality Corp. generated $274.8M in revenue (+3.4% YoY), -$37.1M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $530.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27% FCF Margin ($74.1M FCF) & 15.5% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 7.09 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment
While TH currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.90) and Max Pain ($14.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.85.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) dropped -4.00% to $13.67, trading at 49% of its 52-week range ($5.97 – $21.76). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Target Hospitality Corp. ("Target Hospitality," "Target" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: TH), one of North America's largest providers of vertically integrated modular accommodations and value-added hospitality services, toda
Here is how Marriott International (MAR) and Target Hospitality (TH) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +3.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TH today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) ranks #657 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #470 by equity capitalization ($1.36B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. XHR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with TH at 45/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TH
ACTIVE
Target Hospitality Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | 15.5% | -7.2% | -4.00% | $1.36B | Benchmark Subject |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited | D | 44/100 | 8.2x | — | 10.6% | +2.60% | $1.55B | /mlco-vs-th → |
| HBNB Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +1.93% | $1.11B | /hbnb-vs-th → |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 30.3x | 30.6% | 8.5% | -1.30% | $1.89B | /xhr-vs-th → |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 19.8x | 23.4% | 18.9% | -1.09% | $1.98B | /mcri-vs-th → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) reported GAAP revenue of $274.8M (+3.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $265.9M , and -24.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.1M, operating cash flow of $74.1M, and free cash flow of $74.1M (-51.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, TH closed FY2025 with $530.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.09, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $274.8M | -$37.1M | $74.1M | $74.1M | $530.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $265.9M | $71.4M | $151.7M | $151.7M | $725.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $365.6M | $173.7M | $156.8M | $156.8M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $13.67 (-4.00% 1D, market cap $1.36B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TH ranks #657 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), TH carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.5%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $1.55B) and HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
Per TH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001712189), Target Hospitality Corp. generated $274.8M in revenue (+3.4% YoY), -$37.1M in net income, and $74.1M in free cash flow against $530.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
TH last traded at $13.67 (-4.00% on volume of 2,816,976 shares), positioning the stock -23.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.90) and -7.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.83). Across its 52-week range of $5.97 to $21.76, TH sits at the 48.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($12.23 to $15.11).
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TH scores 45 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 13 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -7.2% and an FCF yield of 5.22%. Whale 13F Flow scores 6 of 20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 6 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity noted in the rating. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 11 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 7.09, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.
For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to a company where the balance sheet is the strongest relative input (Altman Z 7.09, Debt/Equity 0.5), while the operating and ownership signals are weak. The negative ROIC and the Piotroski score of 3/9 limit the upside case from the fundamental side, and the low 13F and insider scores suggest little smart-money conviction in the current tape. The 5.22% FCF yield is a potential valuation support, but the rating treats it as insufficient to offset deteriorating profitability. The 52-week range of $5.97 to $21.76 against a current price of $14.24 illustrates how wide the trading range has been, which is itself an investor-relevant volatility consideration. The overall rating is a distribution warning rather than a valuation call, so the relevant question for an investor is whether the cash generation and balance sheet can stabilize before earnings recover.
Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Hotels/Resorts industry. The Financial Trend data shows revenue of $274.8M for FY 2025, but the source does not attribute that revenue to specific segments or customer types.
Per the recent news section, six headlines cover TH within the last 15 hours. The Yahoo Finance item carrying a "CATALYST" label is headlined "Wall Street Analysts Think Target Hospitality (TH) Could Surge 39.76%: Read This Before Placing a Bet," and is tagged GREEN. Other headlines are tagged YELLOW and labeled MARKET WIRE, including a StockInvest.us forecast piece, an Investing.com report that "TDR Capital II investments LP sells $202.4m Target Hospitality stock," a TradingView estimates page, a Yahoo Finance cash-flow valuation piece, and a MarketBeat item reporting that shares were down 7.7%. The institutional sale headline is the most concrete ownership-related item in the feed and is a risk watch item. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so the catalyst picture rests entirely on the news feed. The feed does not contain earnings, guidance, or contract announcements.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore — Sector and industry are recorded as Consumer Discretionary and Hotels/Resorts, and the rating's Macro Regime Fit pillar cites sector sensitivity without quantifying it in the source. An investor should watch whether the $202.4M institutional sale referenced in the news feed is part of a broader ownership shift, since the source does not resolve that question. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the supplied data.
Analyst data: —
Holders: —
The news feed references a TDR Capital II investments LP sale of $202.4m, but no SEC Form 4, 13F, or Congressional trade records are provided in the holders section.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Target Hospitality Corp. (TH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Here is why I am bullish on TH here at $13.67: Balance sheet strength (Altman Z 7.09, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 5.22% FCF yield give the stock a cash-based valuation floor.. Compare TH's -12.6% operating margin and -7.2% ROIC against the rest of Hotels/Resorts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $12.99 are getting bought.
@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Hotels/Resorts. If gross margin (15.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Careful chasing TH at $13.67. Operating income swung from $108.8M in FY 2024 to a $-34.7M loss in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -7.2% and a large institutional sale was reported.. Gross margin is 15.5%, but operating margin is -12.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $11.76 on multiple compression.
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