Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$7.31 +0.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.31

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $860.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.31 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $860.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #153 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?
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Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.30 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$9 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE SWIM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SWIM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SWIM SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.11 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.6% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$6.09+3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$6.31+8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$6.84+6.9% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$7.31-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SWIM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, SWIM faces multiple-compression risk if 76.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.54) or 200D SMA ($6.17) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.28) toward Bear Floor ($5.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SWIM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SWIM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
73.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.11>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
9 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE62% OF RANGE
L: $5$7.31H: $9
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SWIM

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

3.5% ROIC with 33.4% gross margin and 4.45% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 2.11 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SWIM
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SWIM)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SWIM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SWIM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +26.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $7.26H $7.31L $7.26C $7.31VOL 928.1K
RES: $7.40SUP: $5.42SMA50: $6.54SMA200: $6.17
$8.09$7.15$6.22$5.28$4.35RES $7.40SUP $5.42$7.312026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SWIM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SWIM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SWIM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SWIM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SWIM)

Industrials Rank #153 of 485 ⚔️ KRT vs SWIM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SWIM vs. KRT, MYE, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) ranks #153 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #262 by equity capitalization ($860.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SWIM at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SWIM ACTIVE
Latham Group Inc.
D+ 57/100 76.8x 33.4% 3.5% +0.69% $860.0M Benchmark Subject
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.4x 36.8% 29.3% -0.77% $1.08B /krt-vs-swim →
MYE
Myers Industries Inc.
C- 61/100 32.7x 33.4% 10.4% -2.70% $1.11B /mye-vs-swim →
NWL
Newell Brands Inc.
D- 40/100 — 33.8% 0.5% +1.97% $2.21B /nwl-vs-swim →
CMT
Core Molding Technologies Inc
D 48/100 17.8x 17.4% 8.2% -0.53% $198.2M /cmt-vs-swim →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) reported GAAP revenue of $545.9M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $508.5M , and -3.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.1M, operating cash flow of $63.4M, and free cash flow of $38.0M (-7.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, SWIM closed FY2025 with $823.2M in total assets against $276.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.11, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $545.9M $11.1M $63.4M $38.0M $823.2M $276.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $508.5M -$17.9M $61.3M $41.2M $794.2M $278.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $566.5M -$2.4M $116.4M $116.4M — —

3. SWIM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SWIM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Latham Group Inc. (NASDAQ: SWIM) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $7.31 (+0.69% 1D, market cap $860.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, SWIM ranks #153 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SWIM compare to KRT and MYE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), SWIM carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.8x, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 3.5%. By comparison, KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B) and MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SWIM?

Per SWIM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833197), Latham Group Inc. generated $545.9M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $11.1M in net income, and $38.0M in free cash flow against $823.2M in total assets and $276.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 77x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SWIM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SWIM last traded at $7.31 (+0.69% on volume of 928,069 shares), positioning the stock +11.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.54) and +18.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.17). Across its 52-week range of $4.64 to $8.97, SWIM sits at the 61.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 73.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($6.75 to $7.87).

SWIM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SWIM stock right now?

Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 77x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SWIM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SWIM's 12-month base price target is $7.28 (range $5.68 to $9.42), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SWIM — Latham Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Latham Group Inc. scores 57 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 3.5% and an FCF yield of 4.45%. Both are low readings relative to the scale, and this is the weakest pillar, indicating the business currently generates modest returns on invested capital.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is moderate; the source data does not provide the underlying holder detail to explain it.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The score is below midpoint.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z of 2.11, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.68. This is the strongest pillar relative to the others.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a profile where the balance sheet metrics are comparatively supportive, while return-generation and valuation-related measures are weak. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 76.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21.7, which are elevated multiples against an ROIC of 3.5%. The upside case depends on earnings and cash conversion improving enough to justify those multiples; the downside risk is that the current valuation is not supported by the reported return profile. This is an analytical framing, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
7.26$854.1M76.871.421.70.090%1.0$4.64 - $8.973.5%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$545.9M$30.6M$11.1MN/A$38.0MN/A$276.6M
FY 2024$508.5M$18.3M$-17.9MN/A$41.2MN/A$278.3M
FY 2023$566.5M$16.1M$-2.4MN/A$116.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, net income moved from $-2.4M in FY 2023 to $-17.9M in FY 2024 and back to $11.1M in FY 2025, while operating income rose each year across the three periods. Per the market data, the net margin is 2% and ROIC is 3.5%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.11 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.68. Free cash flow declined from $116.4M in FY 2023 to $38.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials.

Open Questions

  • What drove the swing from a FY 2024 net loss of $-17.9M to a FY 2025 net income of $11.1M, and is that improvement repeatable?
  • Why did free cash flow decline from $116.4M in FY 2023 to $38.0M in FY 2025, and what is the cash conversion trajectory?
  • What is the current cash balance, given that cash is reported as N/A across all periods?
  • What is the basis for the William Blair rating reduction and the analyst downgrade referenced in the news section?
  • Which specific institutional holders and insider transactions underlie the 14/20 and 11/20 pillar scores?

SWIM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Latham Group Inc. (SWIM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SWIM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SWIM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.31?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SWIM 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SWIM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $7.84 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SWIM (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $7.26?

Welcome to the SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Plastic Products. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (76.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.88 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $7.26

Pump the brakes on SWIM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SWIM, but look at what you are paying: 76.8x trailing P/E with 33.4% gross margins. Unless Latham Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.22 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $7.26

SWIM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SWIM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Plastic Products and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.26 (52-wk range $4.64 - $8.97), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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