What is KRT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KRT's 12-month base price target is $58.83 (range $44.26 to $69.42), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / KRT

MYE (61) SWIM (57) NWL (40) CMT (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell KRT stock right now?

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy — BUY) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36.8% gross margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$53.97 -0.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.02

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 78/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36.8% gross margin, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.08B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Karat Packaging Inc. (NASDAQ: KRT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 78/100 at a spot price of $53.97 (-0.77% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KRT ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KRT compare to MYE and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), KRT carries a Roarable B+ (78/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.4x, gross margin of 36.8%, and ROIC of 29.3%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.11B) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $860.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMT leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRT?

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Per KRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758021), Karat Packaging Inc. generated $467.7M in revenue (+10.7% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $33.1M in free cash flow against $287.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.02 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 78/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.6% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (78/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KRT SCORES 78/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.75 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.1% FCF Margin ($33.1M FCF) & 36.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.3) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$53.86+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$53.95+1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$54.47-0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$53.97+7.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → B+ (78)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 78/100 (B+) score, KRT faces multiple-compression risk if 34.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($51.79) or 200D SMA ($36.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.83) toward Bear Floor ($44.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 78%NO 22%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

54.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

7.75>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE94% OF RANGE

L: $21$53.97H: $56

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (36.8% gross margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on KRT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (85)

29.3% ROIC with 36.8% gross margin and 3.05% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 7.75 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (72)

31/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KRT

✓Strong cash generator (36.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (KRT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +86.55%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-03O $54.39H $54.39L $53.97C $53.97VOL 106.6K

RES: $58.06SUP: $54.82SMA50: $51.79SMA200: $36.04

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KRT Butterfly Map → + Track KRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

26.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KRT)

Industrials Rank #8 of 486 ⚔️ MYE vs KRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KRT vs. MYE, SWIM, NWL, CMT)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (78/100, grade B+) and #247 by equity capitalization ($1.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMT leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 78/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KRT ACTIVE Karat Packaging Inc.	B+	78/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	-0.77%	$1.08B	Benchmark Subject
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	61/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-2.70%	$1.11B	/mye-vs-krt →
SWIM Latham Group Inc.	D+	57/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+0.69%	$860.0M	/swim-vs-krt →
NWL Newell Brands Inc.	D-	40/100	—	33.8%	0.5%	+1.97%	$2.21B	/nwl-vs-krt →
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc	D	48/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	-0.53%	$198.2M	/cmt-vs-krt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758021 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) reported GAAP revenue of $467.7M (+10.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $422.6M , and +15.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $31.5M, operating cash flow of $33.8M, and free cash flow of $33.1M (-29.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, KRT closed FY2025 with $287.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.75, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$467.7M	$31.5M	$33.8M	$33.1M	$287.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$422.6M	$30.0M	$48.0M	$47.0M	$294.5M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$405.7M	$32.5M	$53.4M	$53.4M	—	—

3. KRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KRT compare to MYE and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KRT?

Where is KRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KRT last traded at $53.97 (-0.77% on volume of 106,597 shares), positioning the stock +4.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($51.79) and +49.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.04). Across its 52-week range of $20.61 to $56.06, KRT sits at the 94.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($50.79 to $57.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: KRT RQD Cockpit KRT 12M Forecast KRT Earnings & Move KRT Dividends & DRIP KRT Insiders & 13F KRT Whale Options KRT Profit Sankey KRT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 78/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KRT — Karat Packaging Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 78/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $53.97 (-0.77% 1D, market capitalization $1.08B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 29.3%, gross margin of 36.8%, operating margin of 8.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.05%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.75, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer.. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 36.8% and a net margin of 6.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) reported $467.7M in annual revenue (up from $422.6M in FY2024, +10.7% YoY) and $31.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($405.7M revenue, $32.5M net income) through FY2025, KRT scaled operating cash flow to $33.8M and free cash flow to $33.1M, backed by $287.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 78/100): Strong cash generator (36.8% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $20.61 – $56.06 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 34.4x trailing P/E and 24.9x EV/EBITDA against 8.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Plastic Products (Industrials), KRT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 36.8%.

Key Question #1: Can KRT sustain or expand its 8.9% operating margin and 29.3% ROIC against Plastic Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $467.7M and free cash flow of $33.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is KRT's 32.0x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KRT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

Karat Packaging (KRT) Stock Looks Undervalued Based On Future Cash Flow

Yahoo Finance report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Specialty Equipment Distributors Stocks Q2 In Review: Karat Packaging (NASDAQ:KRT) Vs Peers

Yahoo Finance report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Karat Packaging (KRT) Beat Expectations, Is The Stock Already Fully Valued?

Simply Wall St report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Should Karat Packaging’s Online-Driven Earnings Beat Require Action From Karat Packaging (KRT) Investors?

Yahoo Finance report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Spotlight On 3 Industrials Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields

Benzinga report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Will Earnings Beat Change Karat Packaging Stock Narrative

Simply Wall St report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(KRT) Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers

Stock Traders Daily report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

Karat Packaging stock holds at EUR 48.60 in late quote

ad-hoc-news.de report covering Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.22 (+19.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (ROIC 29.3%, FCF yield 3.05%) and Forensic Balance Sheet (Altman Z 7.75, Piotroski F 8/

Don't sleep on KRT's setup in Industrials. Per the RQD rating, the Fundamental Cash Engine (ROIC 29.3%, FCF yield 3.05%) and Forensic Balance Sheet (Altman Z 7.75, Piotroski F 8/9) pillars score 17 and 18 of 20.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (78/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 34.4x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Plastic Products. If gross margin (36.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.72 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $53.97

Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 34.4 and EV/EBITDA of 24.9 near the top of its 52-week range, with beta of 1.0

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on KRT: Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 34.4 and EV/EBITDA of 24.9 near the top of its 52-week range, with beta of 1.0 and reported FCF falling from $53.4M to $33.1M.. At 34.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Plastic Products triggers a 12-15% air pocket.