Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $114.74 (+3.80% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #394 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B) and PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.6% FCF Margin ($128.4M FCF) & 23.4% Gross Margin
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, MCRI faces multiple-compression risk if 19.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($117.50) or 200D SMA ($112.91) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($114.22) toward Bear Floor ($89.09).
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) surged +3.80% to $114.74, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($88.34 – $135.93). Stretched risk/reward at 20x P/E (19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo Finance report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
(AP) — Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) on Tuesday reported net income of $32 million in its third quarter.
Monarch Casino (MCRI) offers high ROIC, no debt and strong cash flow, but weak revenue growth makes it a quality watchlist candidate, not a clear pass.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MCRI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MCRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) ranks #394 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #414 by equity capitalization ($1.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLCO leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while MCRI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 23.4% gross margin. SHO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with MCRI at 57/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCRI
ACTIVE
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 19.8x | 23.4% | 18.9% | +3.80% | $1.98B | Benchmark Subject |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 30.3x | 30.6% | 8.5% | +2.64% | $1.89B | /xhr-vs-mcri → |
| PENN PENN Entertainment Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | -13.3% | +7.11% | $2.13B | /penn-vs-mcri → |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | — | — | — | +0.55% | $2.38B | /sho-vs-mcri → |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited | D | 44/100 | 8.2x | — | 10.6% | +4.57% | $1.55B | /mlco-vs-mcri → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) reported GAAP revenue of $545.1M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $522.2M , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $101.4M, operating cash flow of $164.7M, and free cash flow of $128.4M (+37.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MCRI closed FY2025 with $712.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $545.1M | $101.4M | $164.7M | $128.4M | $712.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $522.2M | $72.8M | $140.7M | $93.3M | $691.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $501.5M | $82.4M | $173.0M | $173.0M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (NASDAQ: MCRI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $114.74 (+3.80% 1D, market cap $1.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MCRI ranks #394 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), MCRI carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 23.4%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $1.89B) and PENN (PENN Entertainment Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -13.3%, cap $2.13B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLCO leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while MCRI leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).
Per MCRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000907242), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. generated $545.1M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $101.4M in net income, and $128.4M in free cash flow against $712.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23.4% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
MCRI last traded at $114.74 (+3.80% on volume of 209,877 shares), positioning the stock -2.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($117.50) and +1.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($112.91). Across its 52-week range of $88.34 to $135.93, MCRI sits at the 55.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($109.46 to $120.02).
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $114.74 (+3.80% 1D, market capitalization $1.98B).
. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Hotels/Resorts industry..0B. Per the market data, gross margin is 23.4%, operating margin is 0%, and net margin is 18.6%.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) reported $545.1M in annual revenue (up from $522.2M in FY2024, +4.4% YoY) and $101.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($501.5M revenue, $82.4M net income) through FY2025, MCRI scaled operating cash flow to $164.7M and free cash flow to $128.4M, backed by $712.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.
The only sector context provided is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Hotels/Resorts.
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Yahoo Finance report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Quiver Quantitative report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. (MCRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Long MCRI at $110.54 targeting $145.91. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 17 of 20 on an 18.9% ROIC and 6.41% FCF yield.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $88.34 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 6/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $110.54 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
I respect the product at Monarch Casino & Resort Inc., but the stock at $110.54 is a different story. The rating's Whale/13F Flow pillar scores only 6 of 20, signaling weak institutional accumulation.. FCF yield is 6.41% and RQD sits at 57/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?
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