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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / BALY
HBNB (50) HCMA (58) CVEO (44) TH (45) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bally's Corporation (BALY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$13.52 +0.15% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.50

Bally's Corporation (BALY) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $682.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BALY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Bally's Corporation (NYSE: BALY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $13.52 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $682.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BALY ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BALY compare to HBNB and HCMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), BALY carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.7%. By comparison, HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.11B) and HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BALY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVEO leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BALY?
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Per BALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747079), Bally's Corporation generated $2.44B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), -$701.1M in net income, and -$178.9M in free cash flow against $11.23B in total assets and $4.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.50 (-0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (12)SEC (3)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE BALY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BALY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BALY SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (48% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 46% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$13.76-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$13.69-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$13.50+0.1% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$13.52-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BALY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BALY currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.09) and Max Pain ($14.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BALY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BALY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
55.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE46% OF RANGE
L: $8$13.52H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on BALY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-4.7% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (18)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (37)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like BALY
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BALY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BALY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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BALY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.46%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $13.50H $13.52L $13.50C $13.52VOL 92.2K
RES: $14.19SUP: $7.12SMA50: $12.09SMA200: $12.89
$16.14$14.06$11.97$9.88$7.79RES $14.19SUP $7.12$13.522026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BALY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BALY Butterfly Map → + Track BALY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BALY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BALY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BALY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BALY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #940 of 1009 ⚔️ HBNB vs BALY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (BALY vs. HBNB, HCMA, CVEO, TH)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bally's Corporation (BALY) ranks #940 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #552 by equity capitalization ($682.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BALY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CVEO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.9% ROIC and 23.7% gross margin. HCMA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with BALY at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BALY ACTIVE
Bally's Corporation
E 25/100 — — -4.7% +0.15% $682.3M Benchmark Subject
HBNB
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — +1.93% $1.11B /hbnb-vs-baly →
HCMA
HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
D+ 58/100 — — — 0.00% $400.5M /hcma-vs-baly →
CVEO
Civeo Corporation (Canada)
D 44/100 — 23.7% 0.9% +17.74% $371.8M /cveo-vs-baly →
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
D 45/100 — 15.5% -7.2% -4.00% $1.36B /th-vs-baly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747079 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bally's Corporation (BALY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.44B (-0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.45B , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$701.1M, operating cash flow of -$11.0M, and free cash flow of -$178.9M (-108.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, BALY closed FY2025 with $11.23B in total assets against $4.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.44B -$701.1M -$11.0M -$178.9M $11.23B $4.46B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.45B -$567.8M $114.0M -$85.8M $5.86B $3.30B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.45B -$187.5M $188.6M $188.6M — —

3. BALY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Bally's Corporation (NYSE: BALY) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $13.52 (+0.15% 1D, market cap $682.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, BALY ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BALY compare to HBNB and HCMA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), BALY carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.7%. By comparison, HBNB (Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp. (Class A)) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.11B) and HCMA (HCM III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BALY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CVEO leads on capital efficiency (0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BALY?

Per BALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747079), Bally's Corporation generated $2.44B in revenue (-0.6% YoY), -$701.1M in net income, and -$178.9M in free cash flow against $11.23B in total assets and $4.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BALY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BALY last traded at $13.52 (+0.15% on volume of 92,211 shares), positioning the stock +11.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.09) and +4.89% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.89). Across its 52-week range of $8.44 to $19.60, BALY sits at the 45.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($12.40 to $14.64).

Direct Sub-Reports: BALY RQD Cockpit BALY 12M Forecast BALY Earnings & Move BALY Dividends & DRIP BALY Insiders & 13F BALY Whale Options BALY Profit Sankey BALY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

BALY — Bally's Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Bally's Corporation (BALY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $13.52 (+0.15% 1D, market capitalization $682.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -11.4%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of 4.49x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bally's Corporation (BALY) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Hotels/Resorts industry. The news wire references casino operations, including Sydney and Gold Coast casino revenue.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Bally's Corporation (BALY) reported $2.44B in annual revenue (up from $2.45B in FY2024, -0.6% YoY) and -$701.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.45B revenue, -$187.5M net income) through FY2025, BALY scaled operating cash flow to -$11.0M and free cash flow to -$178.9M, backed by $11.23B in total assets against $4.46B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.44 – $19.60 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -11.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for BALY.

  • Key Question #1: Can BALY sustain or expand its -11.4% operating margin and -4.7% ROIC against Hotels/Resorts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.44B and free cash flow of -$178.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.46B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is BALY's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

BALY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bally's Corporation (BALY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BALY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BALY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.52?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BALY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on BALY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.09 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported cash balance rose from $171.2M in FY 2024 to $798.4M in FY 2025 while Sydney and Gold Coast casino revenue reportedly grew 9%

Don't sleep on BALY's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Reported cash balance rose from $171.2M in FY 2024 to $798.4M in FY 2025 while Sydney and Gold Coast casino revenue reportedly grew 9% quarter over quarter.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (25/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 25/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $13.52 and keeping dry powder in case we test $12.57.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.22 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $13.52

Net loss widened to -$701.1M in FY 2025 with an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and a $260M penalty reported in The St

I respect the product at Bally's Corporation, but the stock at $13.52 is a different story. Net loss widened to -$701.1M in FY 2025 with an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and a $260M penalty reported in The Star case.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 25/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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