What is GEF's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GEF.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GEF / options

BELFB (61) OTF (35) ARIS (46) BELFA (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$82.82 +1.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.81

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.79B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.41B) and OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?

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Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.81 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GEF SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$78.51+3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$81.56+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$83.17-0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$82.82-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GEF currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($82.47) and Max Pain ($86.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GEF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±5.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GEF)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GEF.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEF)

✓Walkthrough of GEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

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GEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.37%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL

2026-11-03O $82.19H $82.82L $81.99C $82.82VOL 339.9K

RES: $88.29SUP: $79.55SMA50: $82.47SMA200: $74.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEF Butterfly Map → + Track GEF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEF)

Industrials Rank #196 of 486 ⚔️ BELFB vs GEF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEF vs. BELFB, OTF, ARIS, BELFA)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #170 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GEF at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GEF ACTIVE Greif Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	4.5x	22.2%	3.9%	+1.01%	$3.79B	Benchmark Subject
BELFB Bel Fuse Inc.	C-	61/100	45.9x	39.1%	15.5%	-0.47%	$3.41B	/belfb-vs-gef →
OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.	D-	35/100	6.1x	—	9.0%	+2.52%	$4.36B	/otf-vs-gef →
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation	D	46/100	—	—	—	+1.73%	$2.98B	/aris-vs-gef →
BELFA Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	36.5x	39.1%	15.5%	+0.34%	$2.73B	/belfa-vs-gef →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000043920 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.93B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.35B , and +229.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $840.0M, operating cash flow of $58.6M, and free cash flow of $58.6M (-83.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEF closed FY2025 with $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$3.93B	$840.0M	$58.6M	$58.6M	$5.50B	$655.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-10-31	$4.35B	$268.8M	$356.0M	$356.0M	$6.59B	$2.42B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-31	$1.20B	$359.2M	$649.5M	$649.5M	—	—

3. GEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?

Where is GEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEF last traded at $82.82 (+1.01% on volume of 381,888 shares), positioning the stock +0.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.47) and +11.02% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.60). Across its 52-week range of $55.75 to $90.57, GEF sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($78.18 to $87.46).

Direct Sub-Reports: GEF RQD Cockpit GEF 12M Forecast GEF Earnings & Move GEF Dividends & DRIP GEF Insiders & 13F GEF Whale Options GEF Profit Sankey GEF News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GEF — Greif Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market capitalization $3.79B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of 22.2%, operating margin of 4.3%, and free cash flow yield of 1.54%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Diversified Equities industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.79B. The business operates with a gross margin of 22.2%, an operating margin of 4.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9% (free cash flow yield of 1.54%). Within the Diversified Equities peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported $3.93B in annual revenue (up from $4.35B in FY2024, -9.7% YoY) and $840.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.20B revenue, $359.2M net income) through FY2025, GEF scaled operating cash flow to $58.6M and free cash flow to $58.6M, backed by $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.54% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $55.75 – $90.57 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 4.5x trailing P/E and 25.1x EV/EBITDA against 4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be assessed from the source data.

Key Question #1: Can GEF sustain or expand its 4.3% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Diversified Equities peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.93B and free cash flow of $58.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $655.1M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEF's 4.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GEF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GEF Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Greif Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Greif Shares Rise After Upgrade From Raymond James

Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Does Unusual Options Activity Change The Bull Case For Greif Stock (GEF)?

Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $83.40 According to Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Is Greif (GEF) Still Undervalued Following Its Recent Share Price Run?

Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greif (NYSE:GEF) Share Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greif (NYSE:GEF) SVP Timothy Bergwall Sells 2,000 Shares of Company Stock

MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 11d ago

Packaging Corp Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Favorable Price & Mix

PKG Q3'26 earnings beat estimates, driven by favorable price and mix, higher shipments, and contributions from Greif operations.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GEF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $82.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GEF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $94.29 (+15.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forward P/E of 4.2 and trailing P/E of 4.5 signal low earnings multiples, with Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.22 supporting ba

Forward P/E of 4.2 and trailing P/E of 4.5 signal low earnings multiples, with Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.22 supporting balance-sheet strength.. When you look under the hood at GEF, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 22.2% gross margins and 3.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $90.57. My 12M target is $94.29.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 4.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Equities. If gross margin (22.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.23 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $81.99

ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54% drive a 5/20 Fundamental Cash Engine score, with FY 2025 revenue and operating income both declinin

Fading this rally in GEF at $81.99. ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54% drive a 5/20 Fundamental Cash Engine score, with FY 2025 revenue and operating income both declining year over year.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $81.99 (52-wk range $55.75–$90.57), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.