OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$24.11 -4.59% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.86

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $5.41B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $24.11 (-4.59% 1D, market cap $5.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?
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For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #280 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.86 (-1.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$46 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE OGC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OGC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OGC SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 3.8% FCF Margin ($151.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$27.11-2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$26.40-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$25.96-7.1% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$24.11-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OGC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OGC currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.75) and Max Pain ($25.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OGC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OGC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
38.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE17% OF RANGE
L: $20$24.11H: $43
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OGC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OGC
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OGC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OGC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OGC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.34%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $25.27H $25.27L $24.11C $24.11VOL 630.6K
RES: $34.79SUP: $23.81SMA50: $27.75SMA200: $30.17
$35.66$31.93$28.20$24.47$20.74RES $34.79SUP $23.81$24.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OGC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OGC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OGC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OGC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OGC)

Industrials Rank #280 of 485 ⚔️ OTF vs OGC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (OGC vs. OTF, GEF, BELFB, ARIS)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) ranks #280 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #138 by equity capitalization ($5.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with OGC at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OGC ACTIVE
OceanaGold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -4.59% $5.41B Benchmark Subject
OTF
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
D- 35/100 6.1x — 9.0% -1.14% $4.36B /otf-vs-ogc →
GEF
Greif Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 4.5x 22.2% 3.9% -0.24% $3.79B /gef-vs-ogc →
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
C- 61/100 45.9x 39.1% 15.5% +0.18% $3.41B /belfb-vs-ogc →
ARIS
Aris Mining Corporation
D 46/100 — — — -9.13% $2.98B /aris-vs-ogc →

2. OGC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $5.41B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. OGC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OGC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, OceanaGold Corporation (NYSE: OGC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $24.11 (-4.59% 1D, market cap $5.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, OGC ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OGC compare to OTF and GEF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), OGC carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B) and GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.5x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $3.79B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OGC?

For OceanaGold Corporation (OGC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #280 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OGC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OGC last traded at $24.11 (-4.59% on volume of 630,590 shares), positioning the stock -13.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.75) and -20.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.17). Across its 52-week range of $20.18 to $43.33, OGC sits at the 17.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($22.28 to $25.94).

OGC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OGC stock right now?

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is OGC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OGC's 12-month base price target is $22.7 (range $17.71 to $45.5), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OGC — OceanaGold Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:06Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OGC scores 45 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 12 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 0%; for a prospective investor, the absence of measured returns on capital and free cash flow means the score offers little evidence of a self-funding business at present. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 3 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, the lowest of the five, which signals weak smart-money support in the source data. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 9 of 20 for SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating limited insider-level conviction. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 8 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity profile that the rating treats as a drag. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; this is the strongest pillar, suggesting the balance sheet is more stable than the cash-generation and flow signals. Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is the most defensible element while its returns, institutional flow, and insider signals are weak. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash generation and renewed accumulation, which the current data does not demonstrate. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data.

Business

Per the profile, OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector and Diversified Equities industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $5.7B.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged to OGC and carrying a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. The items are general coverage pieces: a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote and history page (published 1h ago), a StockInvest.us forecast piece (3h ago), a second Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page (6h ago), a Seeking Alpha item on a Mining Forum Americas 2026 presentation dated 2026-10-07 (9h ago), a TradingView estimates page (12h ago), and a kalkine.ca piece on Toronto Stock Exchange catalysts (15h ago). The summaries are generic and do not disclose specific earnings, guidance, or transactional events, so no specific catalyst is confirmed by the source text. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded. The YELLOW designations are the only risk-level markers provided.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Industrials classification and Diversified Equities industry from the profile. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects cannot be traced from this dataset.

Open Questions

  • What are OGC's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • Why does the rating show ROIC and FCF yield at 0%, and do these reflect true zero figures or missing data?
  • What are the company's P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS, which are all absent from the market data?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the direction of recent 13F and Form 4 activity?
  • What specific operational or market events underlie the YELLOW-flagged news items, and what is the consensus analyst rating and price target?

OGC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OGC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OGC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $24.11?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OGC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OGC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.24 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OGC (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $25.27?

Welcome to the OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.23 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $25.27

Pump the brakes on OGC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OGC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless OceanaGold Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $31.33 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $25.27

OGC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OGC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $25.27 (52-wk range $20.18 - $43.33), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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