Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why GEF Stock advanced +1.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.41B) and OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?
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Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)
Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEF Turnaround Squeeze
While GEF currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($82.47) and Max Pain ($86.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.53.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why GEF Stock advanced +1.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) advanced +1.01% to $82.82, trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($55.75 – $90.57). Stretched risk/reward at 5x P/E (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($55.75 – $90.57) with RSI-14 at 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.6% around $82.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 22.2% gross margin and $58.6M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PKG Q3'26 earnings beat estimates, driven by favorable price and mix, higher shipments, and contributions from Greif operations.
Wells Fargo analyst Richard Carlson maintains Greif (NYSE:GEF) with a Equal-Weight and lowers the price target from $90 to $88.
PKG heads into Q3 earnings with revenue and profit growth expected, fueled by strong packaging demand, pricing gains and Greif acquisition benefits.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEF)
- ✓Walkthrough of GEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
GEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEF today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEF)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEF vs. BELFB, OTF, ARIS, BELFA)
Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #170 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GEF at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEF
ACTIVE
Greif Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | 4.5x | 22.2% | 3.9% | +1.01% | $3.79B | Benchmark Subject |
| BELFB Bel Fuse Inc. | C- | 61/100 | 45.9x | 39.1% | 15.5% | -0.47% | $3.41B | /belfb-vs-gef → |
| OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. | D- | 35/100 | 6.1x | — | 9.0% | +2.52% | $4.36B | /otf-vs-gef → |
| ARIS Aris Mining Corporation | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | +1.73% | $2.98B | /aris-vs-gef → |
| BELFA Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A) | C- | 60/100 | 36.5x | 39.1% | 15.5% | +0.34% | $2.73B | /belfa-vs-gef → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000043920 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.93B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.35B , and +229.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $840.0M, operating cash flow of $58.6M, and free cash flow of $58.6M (-83.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEF closed FY2025 with $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $3.93B | $840.0M | $58.6M | $58.6M | $5.50B | $655.1M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-10-31 | $4.35B | $268.8M | $356.0M | $356.0M | $6.59B | $2.42B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-10-31 | $1.20B | $359.2M | $649.5M | $649.5M | — | — |
3. GEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.
How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.41B) and OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?
Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is GEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
GEF last traded at $82.82 (+1.01% on volume of 381,888 shares), positioning the stock +0.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.47) and +11.02% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.60). Across its 52-week range of $55.75 to $90.57, GEF sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($78.18 to $87.46).
GEF — Greif Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market capitalization $3.79B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of 22.2%, operating margin of 4.3%, and free cash flow yield of 1.54%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Diversified Equities industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.79B. The business operates with a gross margin of 22.2%, an operating margin of 4.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9% (free cash flow yield of 1.54%). Within the Diversified Equities peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported $3.93B in annual revenue (up from $4.35B in FY2024, -9.7% YoY) and $840.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.20B revenue, $359.2M net income) through FY2025, GEF scaled operating cash flow to $58.6M and free cash flow to $58.6M, backed by $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.54% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $55.75 – $90.57 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 4.5x trailing P/E and 25.1x EV/EBITDA against 4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be assessed from the source data.
- Key Question #1: Can GEF sustain or expand its 4.3% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Diversified Equities peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.93B and free cash flow of $58.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $655.1M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEF's 4.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
GEF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
PKG Q3'26 earnings beat estimates, driven by favorable price and mix, higher shipments, and contributions from Greif operations.
GEF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $82.82?
Forward P/E of 4.2 and trailing P/E of 4.5 signal low earnings multiples, with Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.22 supporting ba
Forward P/E of 4.2 and trailing P/E of 4.5 signal low earnings multiples, with Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.22 supporting balance-sheet strength.. When you look under the hood at GEF, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 22.2% gross margins and 3.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $90.57. My 12M target is $94.29.
@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 4.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Equities. If gross margin (22.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54% drive a 5/20 Fundamental Cash Engine score, with FY 2025 revenue and operating income both declinin
Fading this rally in GEF at $81.99. ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54% drive a 5/20 Fundamental Cash Engine score, with FY 2025 revenue and operating income both declining year over year.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $81.99 (52-wk range $55.75–$90.57), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.