What is GEF's 12-month stock price target?

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $80.15 (-2.2% from $81.99), with a bull-case target of $95.1 and a bear-case floor of $62.52.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / GEF / forecast

BELFB (61) OTF (35) ARIS (46) BELFA (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates GEF D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

$81.99 -0.24% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.80

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.79B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GEF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $81.99 (-0.24% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #195 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.41B) and OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?

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Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $81.80 (-0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GEF SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$78.51+3.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$81.56+2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$83.17-1.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$81.99-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GEF currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($82.47) and Max Pain ($86.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GEF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GEF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $81.99: 122.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $62.52

$7,625

$-2,375 (-23.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $80.15

$9,776

$-224 (-2.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $95.10

$11,599

+$1,599 (+16.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$83	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$89	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$71	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEF)

✓Walkthrough of GEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.11%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $82.19H $82.19L $81.99C $81.99VOL 339.9K

RES: $88.29SUP: $79.55SMA50: $82.47SMA200: $74.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEF Butterfly Map → + Track GEF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEF)

Industrials Rank #195 of 485 ⚔️ BELFB vs GEF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEF vs. BELFB, OTF, ARIS, BELFA)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) ranks #195 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #169 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GEF at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GEF ACTIVE Greif Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	4.5x	22.2%	3.9%	-0.24%	$3.79B	Benchmark Subject
BELFB Bel Fuse Inc.	C-	61/100	45.9x	39.1%	15.5%	+0.18%	$3.41B	/belfb-vs-gef →
OTF Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.	D-	35/100	6.1x	—	9.0%	-1.14%	$4.36B	/otf-vs-gef →
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation	D	46/100	—	—	—	-9.13%	$2.98B	/aris-vs-gef →
BELFA Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)	C-	60/100	36.5x	39.1%	15.5%	+0.90%	$2.73B	/belfa-vs-gef →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000043920

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.93B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.35B , and +229.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $840.0M, operating cash flow of $58.6M, and free cash flow of $58.6M (-83.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEF closed FY2025 with $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$3.93B	$840.0M	$58.6M	$58.6M	$5.50B	$655.1M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-10-31	$4.35B	$268.8M	$356.0M	$356.0M	$6.59B	$2.42B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-31	$1.20B	$359.2M	$649.5M	$649.5M	—	—

3. GEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?

Where is GEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEF last traded at $81.99 (-0.24% on volume of 339,927 shares), positioning the stock -0.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($82.47) and +9.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.60). Across its 52-week range of $55.75 to $90.57, GEF sits at the 75.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($77.40 to $86.58).

Direct Sub-Reports: GEF RQD Cockpit GEF 12M Forecast GEF Earnings & Move GEF Dividends & DRIP GEF Insiders & 13F GEF Whale Options GEF Profit Sankey GEF News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GEF — Greif Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:22:50Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GEF scores 53 out of 100, equating to a D+ grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. The lowest-scoring pillar, cited with ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54%. For a prospective investor, this indicates limited cash generation relative to the capital employed and the price paid.
Whale / 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Described as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Reflects Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves per the market data section.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Cited as Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.22. This pillar is the strongest relative to its maximum.

The balance-sheet and sentiment pillars provide partial offset but do not change the overall verdict. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 4.5 and forward P/E of 4.2 contrast sharply with EV/EBITDA of 25.1, and reconciling these requires data not present in the sources.

Business

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Diversified Equities industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.79B. The business operates with a gross margin of 22.2%, an operating margin of 4.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9% (free cash flow yield of 1.54%). Within the Diversified Equities peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, five items were reported:

Two items headlined around options-market activity and a possible stock spike (Yahoo Finance, TradingView), flagged YELLOW.
A Raymond James upgrade reported as a shares rise (Yahoo Finance), flagged GREEN and categorized as a CATALYST.
An article on unusual options activity and the bull case (Simply Wall St), flagged GREEN.
A MarketBeat report citing a consensus target price of $83.40 (MarketBeat), flagged YELLOW.
An article questioning whether the stock remains undervalued after a share price run (Simply Wall St), flagged YELLOW.

Risk watch items: the news flow is largely sentiment and valuation commentary; no operational or regulatory event is described. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are reported.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be assessed from the source data.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the analyst data section, no analyst coverage is supplied.40, which is not verified against a structured analyst data feed. Per the holders section, no insider, 13F, or Congressional holder data is supplied. —

Open Questions

What drives the gap between the reported net margin of 21.4% and operating margin of 4.3%, given FY 2025 net income exceeds operating income?
What are Greif's products, customers, and principal revenue sources, given the business description is not in the source data?
Which 13F holders and insiders account for the accumulation and cluster-flow signals referenced in the RQD pillars?
What explains the FY 2023 revenue figure of — and the absence of cash and debt for that period?
What analyst coverage, rating distribution, and price targets exist beyond the single headline reference to a $83.40 consensus target?

GEF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GEF Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 19h ago

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Greif Stock?

Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Greif Shares Rise After Upgrade From Raymond James

Yahoo Finance report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Does Unusual Options Activity Change The Bull Case For Greif Stock (GEF)?

Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $83.40 According to Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Is Greif (GEF) Still Undervalued Following Its Recent Share Price Run?

Simply Wall St report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greif (NYSE:GEF) Share Price Crosses Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Time to Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Greif (NYSE:GEF) SVP Timothy Bergwall Sells 2,000 Shares of Company Stock

MarketBeat report covering Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 11d ago

Packaging Corp Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Favorable Price & Mix

PKG Q3'26 earnings beat estimates, driven by favorable price and mix, higher shipments, and contributions from Greif operations.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GEF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $81.99?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GEF 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $88.77 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GEF (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $82.19?

Welcome to the GEF (Greif Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.57 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $82.19

Pump the brakes on GEF — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GEF, but look at what you are paying: 4.5x trailing P/E with 22.2% gross margins. Unless Greif Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $104.38 (+27.0%)

Spot @ $82.19

GEF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GEF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $82.19 (52-wk range $55.75 - $90.57), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.