Seeking Alpha report covering Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why DIN Stock surged +2.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is DIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dine Brands Global Inc. (NYSE: DIN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $36.49 (+2.76% 1D, market cap $449.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIN ranks #224 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does DIN compare to LOCO and KRUS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), DIN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.0x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $465.6M) and KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIN?
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Per DIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000049754), Dine Brands Global Inc. generated $879.3M in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($53.4M FCF) & 40.9% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.8% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.8) create a -10 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIN Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, DIN faces multiple-compression risk if 26.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.89) or 200D SMA ($31.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.80) toward Bear Floor ($29.48).
Why DIN Stock surged +2.76% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) surged +2.76% to $36.49, trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($23.23 – $39.68). Solid 41% profit margin (41% profit margin), mixed timing at 26x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($23.23 – $39.68) with RSI-14 at 68.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.8% around $36.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 40.9% gross margin and $53.4M annual free cash flow.
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PASADENA, Calif., November 02, 2026--This Veterans Day, Wednesday, November 11, Applebee’s will continue its longstanding tradition of honoring those who serve and have served our country. All Active Duty Military, Veter
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DIN Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
DIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIN)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIN vs. LOCO, KRUS, BRCB, PTLO)
Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) ranks #224 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #595 by equity capitalization ($449.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DIN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIN
ACTIVE
Dine Brands Global Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 26.0x | 40.9% | — | +2.76% | $449.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc. | C | 65/100 | 17.7x | — | 11.7% | +1.77% | $465.6M | /loco-vs-din → |
| KRUS Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A) | E | 18/100 | — | — | -1.9% | +3.52% | $424.8M | /krus-vs-din → |
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A) | E | 34/100 | — | — | 1.6% | +2.07% | $520.8M | /brcb-vs-din → |
| PTLO Portillo's Inc. (Class A) | D- | 42/100 | 17.9x | — | 4.9% | +6.37% | $369.8M | /ptlo-vs-din → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000049754In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) reported GAAP revenue of $879.3M (+8.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $812.3M , and +5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $89.0M, and free cash flow of $53.4M (-43.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIN closed FY2025 with $1.74B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-28 | $879.3M | $17.1M | $89.0M | $53.4M | $1.74B | $1.19B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $812.3M | $64.9M | $108.2M | $94.1M | $1.79B | $1.09B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $831.1M | $97.2M | $131.1M | $131.1M | — | — |
3. DIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Dine Brands Global Inc. (NYSE: DIN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $36.49 (+2.76% 1D, market cap $449.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIN ranks #224 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DIN compare to LOCO and KRUS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), DIN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.0x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $465.6M) and KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIN?
Per DIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000049754), Dine Brands Global Inc. generated $879.3M in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DIN last traded at $36.49 (+2.76% on volume of 580,246 shares), positioning the stock +18.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.89) and +15.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.60). Across its 52-week range of $23.23 to $39.68, DIN sits at the 80.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($32.55 to $40.43).
DIN — Dine Brands Global Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $36.49 (+2.76% 1D, market capitalization $449.5M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 40.9%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 12.00%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry. The company's product, customer base, and revenue model beyond the sector classification are — The reported gross margin is 40.9% (per the market data).
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) reported $879.3M in annual revenue (up from $812.3M in FY2024, +8.2% YoY) and $17.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($831.1M revenue, $97.2M net income) through FY2025, DIN scaled operating cash flow to $89.0M and free cash flow to $53.4M, backed by $1.74B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.23 – $39.68 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 26.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), DIN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 40.9%.
- Key Question #1: Can DIN sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $879.3M and free cash flow of $53.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.19B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is DIN's 24.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
DIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
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DIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.49?
A 12% FCF yield and 6.96% dividend yield combined with a reported buyout proposal provide cash-generation and event support.
A 12% FCF yield and 6.96% dividend yield combined with a reported buyout proposal provide cash-generation and event support.. When you look under the hood at DIN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 40.9% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $39.68. My 12M target is $40.84.
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $35.51 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.
A 0% ROIC and 0% operating margin, alongside declining net income and rising debt, undercut the cash-engine thesis.
Careful chasing DIN at $35.51. A 0% ROIC and 0% operating margin, alongside declining net income and rising debt, undercut the cash-engine thesis.. Gross margin is 40.9%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $29.47 on multiple compression.