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Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$36.49 +2.76% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.60

Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $449.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DIN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dine Brands Global Inc. (NYSE: DIN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $36.49 (+2.76% 1D, market cap $449.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIN ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DIN compare to LOCO and KRUS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), DIN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.0x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $465.6M) and KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIN?
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Per DIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000049754), Dine Brands Global Inc. generated $879.3M in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.60 (+0.31%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$45 Bull$38 Base$29 Bear
📬 FREE DIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DIN SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($53.4M FCF) & 40.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (68.8) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$30.92+4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$32.16-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$32.01+14% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$36.49+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DIN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, DIN faces multiple-compression risk if 26.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($30.89) or 200D SMA ($31.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.80) toward Bear Floor ($29.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DIN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $36.49: 274.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $29.48
$8,079
$-1,921 (-19.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $37.80
$10,359
+$359 (+3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $44.60
$12,223
+$2,223 (+22.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DIN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $35.16H $36.49L $35.16C $36.49VOL 962.0K
RES: $37.80SUP: $25.82SMA50: $30.89SMA200: $31.60
$38.59$35.14$31.69$28.23$24.78RES $37.80SUP $25.82$36.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #222 of 1009 ⚔️ LOCO vs DIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DIN vs. LOCO, KRUS, BRCB, PTLO)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) ranks #222 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #593 by equity capitalization ($449.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCO leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while LOCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and — gross margin. DIN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DIN ACTIVE
Dine Brands Global Inc.
C+ 66/100 26.0x 40.9% — +2.76% $449.5M Benchmark Subject
LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 17.7x — 11.7% +1.77% $465.6M /loco-vs-din →
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 — — -1.9% +3.52% $424.8M /krus-vs-din →
BRCB
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. (Class A)
E 34/100 — — 1.6% +2.07% $520.8M /brcb-vs-din →
PTLO
Portillo's Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 17.9x — 4.9% +6.37% $369.8M /ptlo-vs-din →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0000049754 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) reported GAAP revenue of $879.3M (+8.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $812.3M , and +5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $17.1M, operating cash flow of $89.0M, and free cash flow of $53.4M (-43.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DIN closed FY2025 with $1.74B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $879.3M $17.1M $89.0M $53.4M $1.74B $1.19B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $812.3M $64.9M $108.2M $94.1M $1.79B $1.09B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $831.1M $97.2M $131.1M $131.1M — —

3. DIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dine Brands Global Inc. (NYSE: DIN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $36.49 (+2.76% 1D, market cap $449.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 14/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DIN ranks #222 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DIN compare to LOCO and KRUS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), DIN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.0x, gross margin of 40.9%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LOCO (El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $465.6M) and KRUS (Kura Sushi USA Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.9%, cap $424.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCO leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while LOCO leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DIN?

Per DIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0000049754), Dine Brands Global Inc. generated $879.3M in revenue (+8.2% YoY), $17.1M in net income, and $53.4M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (40.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DIN last traded at $36.49 (+2.76% on volume of 580,246 shares), positioning the stock +18.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($30.89) and +15.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($31.60). Across its 52-week range of $23.23 to $39.68, DIN sits at the 80.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($32.55 to $40.43).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DIN — Dine Brands Global Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $36.49 (+2.76% 1D, market capitalization $449.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of 40.9%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 12.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Restaurants industry. The company's product, customer base, and revenue model beyond the sector classification are — The reported gross margin is 40.9% (per the market data).

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) reported $879.3M in annual revenue (up from $812.3M in FY2024, +8.2% YoY) and $17.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($831.1M revenue, $97.2M net income) through FY2025, DIN scaled operating cash flow to $89.0M and free cash flow to $53.4M, backed by $1.74B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Strong cash generator (40.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.23 – $39.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 26.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), DIN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 40.9%.

  • Key Question #1: Can DIN sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $879.3M and free cash flow of $53.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.19B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DIN's 24.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DIN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.84 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A 12% FCF yield and 6.96% dividend yield combined with a reported buyout proposal provide cash-generation and event support.

A 12% FCF yield and 6.96% dividend yield combined with a reported buyout proposal provide cash-generation and event support.. When you look under the hood at DIN, Fundamental Cash Engine is 15/20 with 40.9% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (14/20) has been quietly accumulating below $39.68. My 12M target is $40.84.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $35.51 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.47 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $35.51

A 0% ROIC and 0% operating margin, alongside declining net income and rising debt, undercut the cash-engine thesis.

Careful chasing DIN at $35.51. A 0% ROIC and 0% operating margin, alongside declining net income and rising debt, undercut the cash-engine thesis.. Gross margin is 40.9%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $29.47 on multiple compression.

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