What is YSG's 12-month stock price target?

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.47 (-17.9% from $1.79), with a bull-case target of $7.44 and a bear-case floor of $1.15.

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / YSG / forecast

SLSN (38) WNW (49) AXIL (47) ODD (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Where is YSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSG last traded at $1.79 (-20.44% on volume of 168,781 shares), positioning the stock -30.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -44.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.21). Across its 52-week range of $2.15 to $7.09, YSG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.60 to $1.98).

Q: Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates YSG E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 18/100.

$1.79 -20.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.72

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $211.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market cap $211.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #993 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $60.1M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?

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Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.72 (-3.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY YSG SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (44% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 78.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.42+6.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.58-7.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.39-25.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.79-12.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YSG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YSG currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.59) and Max Pain ($1.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “YSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 18%NO 82%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your YSG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.79: 5586.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.15

$6,425

$-3,575 (-35.8%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.47

$8,212

$-1,788 (-17.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.44

$41,564

+$31,564 (+315.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSG)

✓Walkthrough of YSG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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YSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.49%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-03O $2.35H $2.35L $1.79C $1.79VOL 42.8K

RES: $2.49SUP: $2.04SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $3.21

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YSG Butterfly Map → + Track YSG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #993 of 1009 ⚔️ SLSN vs YSG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (YSG vs. SLSN, WNW, AXIL, ODD)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) ranks #993 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #683 by equity capitalization ($211.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. ODD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with YSG at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
YSG ACTIVE Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A)	E	18/100	—	78.2%	-6.5%	-20.44%	$211.2M	Benchmark Subject
SLSN Solesence Inc.	D-	38/100	32.9x	25.9%	9.7%	+0.69%	$60.1M	/slsn-vs-ysg →
WNW Meiwu Technology Company Limited	D	49/100	—	10.1%	-22.0%	-2.98%	$52.9M	/wnw-vs-ysg →
AXIL AXIL Brands Inc.	D	47/100	13.6x	69.3%	38.5%	+7.79%	$37.7M	/axil-vs-ysg →
ODD ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)	B	75/100	11.1x	72.7%	85.0%	-2.12%	$1.23B	/odd-vs-ysg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819580 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported GAAP revenue of $614.6M (+32.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $464.9M , and +27.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.6M, operating cash flow of -$13.5M, and free cash flow of -$19.6M (+51.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, YSG closed FY2025 with $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$614.6M	-$11.6M	-$13.5M	-$19.6M	$550.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$464.9M	-$97.0M	-$33.4M	-$40.6M	$544.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$481.0M	-$747.8M	-$15.1M	-$15.1M	—	—

3. YSG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?

Where is YSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSG last traded at $1.79 (-20.44% on volume of 168,781 shares), positioning the stock -30.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -44.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.21). Across its 52-week range of $2.15 to $7.09, YSG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.60 to $1.98).

Direct Sub-Reports: YSG RQD Cockpit YSG 12M Forecast YSG Earnings & Move YSG Dividends & DRIP YSG Insiders & 13F YSG Whale Options YSG Profit Sankey YSG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

YSG — Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market capitalization $211.2M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.5%, gross margin of 78.2%, operating margin of -4.3%, and free cash flow yield of -8.86%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

YSG is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry, and is listed on the NYSE. The profile identifies the company as an issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.2B. Gross margin of 78.2% is reported per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported $614.6M in annual revenue (up from $464.9M in FY2024, +32.2% YoY) and -$11.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($481.0M revenue, -$747.8M net income) through FY2025, YSG scaled operating cash flow to -$13.5M and free cash flow to -$19.6M, backed by $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.86% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.15 – $7.09 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Package Goods/Cosmetics (Consumer Discretionary), YSG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 78.2%.

Key Question #1: Can YSG sustain or expand its -4.3% operating margin and -6.5% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $614.6M and free cash flow of -$19.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is YSG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

YSG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YSG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 19d ago

Yatsen Group Expands Scientific Presence at Prestigious IFSCC Cosmetics Congress with Record 20 Research Presentations

Yatsen Holding Limited (NYSE: YSG) (Yatsen Group), a leading China-based beauty group, presented a record 20 research submissions at the 36th IFSCC Congress in Perth — nearly double its 2025 total and marking its fifth c

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 55d ago

Yatsen (YSG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Skincare surged 40%, but color cosmetics plunged 36% as margins compressed amid restructuring.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 55d ago

Yatsen (YSG) Reported 40.4% Skincare Growth but a Larger GAAP Operating Loss. Can Portfolio Mix Outrun Marketing Intensity?

Yatsen Holding Limited (NYSE:YSG) reported second-quarter 2026 total net revenues of RMB1.14 billion, up 5.1% year over year, as skincare net revenues increased 40.4%. Skincare represented 71.5% of total net revenues, co

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 61d ago

Yatsen Holding Ltd (YSG) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Skincare Surge Drives Revenue ...

Skincare revenues jump 40.4% to represent 71.5% of total sales, while the company navigates a deliberate downturn in color cosmetics and guides for a softer Q3.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 62d ago

Yatsen Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Yatsen (NYSE:YSG) reported second-quarter 2026 revenue growth of 5.1% as continued strength in its skincare portfolio offset a sharp decline in color cosmetics sales, while higher inventory provisions and increased marke

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 69d ago

Yatsen to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on September 2, 2026

Yatsen Holding Limited ("Yatsen" or the "Company") (NYSE: YSG), a leading China-based beauty group, today announced that it will release its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2026, on Wednesday, Septe

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 118d ago

Yatsen Group Announces Partnership with Sephora China, Cementing Position as a Science-Led Beauty Innovation Leader

Yatsen Group (NYSE: YSG), a world-class beauty innovation pioneer, recently announced a landmark collaboration to bring its flagship brand, Perfect Diary, to Sephora in China. This partnership integrates Yatsen's rigorou

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 161d ago

Yatsen Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Yatsen (NYSE:YSG) reported first-quarter 2026 revenue growth that management said reflected continued momentum in its skincare portfolio, even as higher marketing spending and platform traffic costs contributed to wider

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YSG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YSG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.72 (+20.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Gross margin of 78.2% and reported FY 2025 revenue of $614.6M, up from $464.9M in FY 2024, show a high-margin top line that is growing.

Gross margin of 78.2% and reported FY 2025 revenue of $614.6M, up from $464.9M in FY 2024, show a high-margin top line that is growing.. When you look under the hood at YSG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 1/20 with 78.2% gross margins and -6.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $7.09. My 12M target is $2.72.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.69 (-24.9%)

Spot @ $2.25

Negative ROIC of -6.5%, negative FCF yield of -8.86%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is not earning its cost of capital a

Careful chasing YSG at $2.25. Negative ROIC of -6.5%, negative FCF yield of -8.86%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is not earning its cost of capital and carries distress-range forensic risk.. Gross margin is 78.2%, but operating margin is -4.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.69 on multiple compression.