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Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.79 -20.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.72

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $211.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market cap $211.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #993 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $60.1M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?
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Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.72 (-3.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.9% Base Target
$7 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE YSG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YSG SCORES 18/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (44% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 78.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$2.42+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$2.58-7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$2.39-25.1% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$1.79-12.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (18)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YSG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YSG currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.59) and Max Pain ($1.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $2$1.79H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 1 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on YSG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-6.5% ROIC with 78.2% gross margin and -8.86% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like YSG
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YSG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.49%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $2.35H $2.35L $1.79C $1.79VOL 42.8K
RES: $2.49SUP: $2.04SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $3.21
$6.36$5.12$3.88$2.64$1.41RES $2.49SUP $2.04$1.792026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #993 of 1009 ⚔️ SLSN vs YSG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (YSG vs. SLSN, WNW, AXIL, ODD)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) ranks #993 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #683 by equity capitalization ($211.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. ODD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with YSG at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YSG ACTIVE
Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A)
E 18/100 — 78.2% -6.5% -20.44% $211.2M Benchmark Subject
SLSN
Solesence Inc.
D- 38/100 32.9x 25.9% 9.7% +0.69% $60.1M /slsn-vs-ysg →
WNW
Meiwu Technology Company Limited
D 49/100 — 10.1% -22.0% -2.98% $52.9M /wnw-vs-ysg →
AXIL
AXIL Brands Inc.
D 47/100 13.6x 69.3% 38.5% +7.79% $37.7M /axil-vs-ysg →
ODD
ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)
B 75/100 11.1x 72.7% 85.0% -2.12% $1.23B /odd-vs-ysg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819580 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported GAAP revenue of $614.6M (+32.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $464.9M , and +27.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.6M, operating cash flow of -$13.5M, and free cash flow of -$19.6M (+51.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, YSG closed FY2025 with $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $614.6M -$11.6M -$13.5M -$19.6M $550.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $464.9M -$97.0M -$33.4M -$40.6M $544.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $481.0M -$747.8M -$15.1M -$15.1M — —

3. YSG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market cap $211.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #993 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $60.1M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?

Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSG last traded at $1.79 (-20.44% on volume of 168,781 shares), positioning the stock -30.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -44.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.21). Across its 52-week range of $2.15 to $7.09, YSG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.60 to $1.98).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 18/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

YSG — Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market capitalization $211.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.5%, gross margin of 78.2%, operating margin of -4.3%, and free cash flow yield of -8.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

YSG is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry, and is listed on the NYSE. The profile identifies the company as an issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.2B. Gross margin of 78.2% is reported per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported $614.6M in annual revenue (up from $464.9M in FY2024, +32.2% YoY) and -$11.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($481.0M revenue, -$747.8M net income) through FY2025, YSG scaled operating cash flow to -$13.5M and free cash flow to -$19.6M, backed by $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.86% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.15 – $7.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Package Goods/Cosmetics (Consumer Discretionary), YSG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 78.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can YSG sustain or expand its -4.3% operating margin and -6.5% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $614.6M and free cash flow of -$19.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is YSG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

YSG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YSG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 62d ago
Yatsen Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Yatsen (NYSE:YSG) reported second-quarter 2026 revenue growth of 5.1% as continued strength in its skincare portfolio offset a sharp decline in color cosmetics sales, while higher inventory provisions and increased marke

Read Full Source ↗
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 161d ago
Yatsen Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Yatsen (NYSE:YSG) reported first-quarter 2026 revenue growth that management said reflected continued momentum in its skincare portfolio, even as higher marketing spending and platform traffic costs contributed to wider

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YSG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YSG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on YSG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.72 (+20.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Gross margin of 78.2% and reported FY 2025 revenue of $614.6M, up from $464.9M in FY 2024, show a high-margin top line that is growing.

Gross margin of 78.2% and reported FY 2025 revenue of $614.6M, up from $464.9M in FY 2024, show a high-margin top line that is growing.. When you look under the hood at YSG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 1/20 with 78.2% gross margins and -6.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $7.09. My 12M target is $2.72.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.69 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $2.25

Negative ROIC of -6.5%, negative FCF yield of -8.86%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is not earning its cost of capital a

Careful chasing YSG at $2.25. Negative ROIC of -6.5%, negative FCF yield of -8.86%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is not earning its cost of capital and carries distress-range forensic risk.. Gross margin is 78.2%, but operating margin is -4.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.69 on multiple compression.

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