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Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$1.79 -20.44% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.72

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $211.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market cap $211.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #993 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $60.1M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?
β–Ό

Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.72 (-3.87%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (18/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510018
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.9% Base Target
$7 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE YSG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (18/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY YSG SCORES 18/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (44% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 78.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$2.42+6.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
23
Grade E$2.58-7.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$2.39-25.1% Next Q
Current
18
Grade E$1.79-12.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (26) β†’ E (18)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YSG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While YSG currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.59) and Max Pain ($1.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.44.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œYSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $40,809

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $245/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.6K
Yr 4
$20.2K
Yr 5
$23.3K
Yr 6
$26.8K
Yr 7
$30.8K
Yr 8
$35.5K
Yr 9
$40.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of YSG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.49%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $2.35H $2.35L $1.79C $1.79VOL 42.8K
RES: $2.49SUP: $2.04SMA50: $2.59SMA200: $3.21
$6.36$5.12$3.88$2.64$1.41RES $2.49SUP $2.04$1.792026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #993 of 1009 βš”οΈ SLSN vs YSG Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (YSG vs. SLSN, WNW, AXIL, ODD)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) ranks #993 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #683 by equity capitalization ($211.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. ODD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with YSG at 18/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YSG ACTIVE
Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A)
E 18/100 β€” 78.2% -6.5% -20.44% $211.2M Benchmark Subject
SLSN
Solesence Inc.
D- 38/100 32.9x 25.9% 9.7% +0.69% $60.1M /slsn-vs-ysg β†’
WNW
Meiwu Technology Company Limited
D 49/100 β€” 10.1% -22.0% -2.98% $52.9M /wnw-vs-ysg β†’
AXIL
AXIL Brands Inc.
D 47/100 13.6x 69.3% 38.5% +7.79% $37.7M /axil-vs-ysg β†’
ODD
ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)
B 75/100 11.1x 72.7% 85.0% -2.12% $1.23B /odd-vs-ysg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001819580 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported GAAP revenue of $614.6M (+32.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $464.9M , and +27.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.6M, operating cash flow of -$13.5M, and free cash flow of -$19.6M (+51.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, YSG closed FY2025 with $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $614.6M -$11.6M -$13.5M -$19.6M $550.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $464.9M -$97.0M -$33.4M -$40.6M $544.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $481.0M -$747.8M -$15.1M -$15.1M β€” β€”

3. YSG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market cap $211.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #993 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $60.1M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $52.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?

Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSG last traded at $1.79 (-20.44% on volume of 168,781 shares), positioning the stock -30.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.59) and -44.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.21). Across its 52-week range of $2.15 to $7.09, YSG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.8% ($1.60 to $1.98).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 18/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

YSG β€” Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.79 (-20.44% 1D, market capitalization $211.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -6.5%, gross margin of 78.2%, operating margin of -4.3%, and free cash flow yield of -8.86%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

YSG is classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Package Goods/Cosmetics industry, and is listed on the NYSE. The profile identifies the company as an issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.2B. Gross margin of 78.2% is reported per the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported $614.6M in annual revenue (up from $464.9M in FY2024, +32.2% YoY) and -$11.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($481.0M revenue, -$747.8M net income) through FY2025, YSG scaled operating cash flow to -$13.5M and free cash flow to -$19.6M, backed by $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -8.86% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.15 – $7.09 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Package Goods/Cosmetics (Consumer Discretionary), YSG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 78.2%.

  • Key Question #1: Can YSG sustain or expand its -4.3% operating margin and -6.5% ROIC against Package Goods/Cosmetics peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $614.6M and free cash flow of -$19.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is YSG's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

YSG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to YSG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 61d ago
Yatsen Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Yatsen (NYSE:YSG) reported second-quarter 2026 revenue growth of 5.1% as continued strength in its skincare portfolio offset a sharp decline in color cosmetics sales, while higher inventory provisions and increased marke

Read Full Source β†—
🟒 CATALYST Yahoo Finance β€’ 160d ago
Yatsen Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

Yatsen (NYSE:YSG) reported first-quarter 2026 revenue growth that management said reflected continued momentum in its skincare portfolio, even as higher marketing spending and platform traffic costs contributed to wider

Read Full Source β†—
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YSG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.79?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YSG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on YSG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.72 (+20.9%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Gross margin of 78.2% and reported FY 2025 revenue of $614.6M, up from $464.9M in FY 2024, show a high-margin top line that is growing.

Gross margin of 78.2% and reported FY 2025 revenue of $614.6M, up from $464.9M in FY 2024, show a high-margin top line that is growing.. When you look under the hood at YSG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 1/20 with 78.2% gross margins and -6.5% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $7.09. My 12M target is $2.72.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.69 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $2.25

Negative ROIC of -6.5%, negative FCF yield of -8.86%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is not earning its cost of capital a

Careful chasing YSG at $2.25. Negative ROIC of -6.5%, negative FCF yield of -8.86%, and an Altman Z of 0.2 indicate the business is not earning its cost of capital and carries distress-range forensic risk.. Gross margin is 78.2%, but operating margin is -4.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.69 on multiple compression.

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