TELA Bio Inc. (TELA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.81 -11.95% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79

TELA Bio Inc. (TELA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $36.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TELA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, TELA Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: TELA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.81 (-11.95% 1D, market cap $36.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TELA ranks #604 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TELA compare to CVRX and NEPH in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), TELA carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 67.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CVRX (CVRx Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.6M) and NEPH (Nephros Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 29.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $34.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEPH leads on earnings multiple (29.8x) while NEPH leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TELA?
β–Ό

Per TELA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001561921), TELA Bio Inc. generated $80.3M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$38.8M in net income, and -$28.7M in free cash flow against $81.4M in total assets and $55.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.79 (-2.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510035
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (9)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TELA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TELA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TELA SCORES 35/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 67.7% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 4/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (37.6) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$1.07+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$1.09-11.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$0.96-15.6% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$0.81-8.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (43) β†’ D- (35)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TELA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TELA currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.02) and Max Pain ($0.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.58.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TELAβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTELA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TELA)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TELA.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TELA)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TELA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TELA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.69%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $0.92H $0.92L $0.81C $0.81VOL 330.1K
RES: $1.70SUP: $0.82SMA50: $1.02SMA200: $0.86
$1.56$1.30$1.04$0.78$0.52RES $1.70SUP $0.82$0.812026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TELA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TELA today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TELA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TELA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TELA)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TELA vs. CVRX, NEPH, XTNT, DAVI)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TELA Bio Inc. (TELA) ranks #604 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #779 by equity capitalization ($36.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEPH leads on earnings valuation at 29.8x trailing P/E, while NEPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 61.9% gross margin. XTNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TELA at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TELA ACTIVE
TELA Bio Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” 67.7% -35.0% -11.95% $36.6M Benchmark Subject
CVRX
CVRx Inc.
E 31/100 β€” 85.3% -35.0% -1.05% $37.6M /cvrx-vs-tela β†’
NEPH
Nephros Inc.
C- 59/100 29.8x 61.9% 18.9% -3.06% $34.5M /neph-vs-tela β†’
XTNT
Xtant Medical Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 β€” 62.9% 12.8% -3.51% $39.3M /xtnt-vs-tela β†’
DAVI
Davion Healthcare Plc
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -37.55% $42.0M /davi-vs-tela β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001561921

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TELA Bio Inc. (TELA) reported GAAP revenue of $80.3M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $69.3M , and +37.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$38.8M, operating cash flow of -$28.2M, and free cash flow of -$28.7M (+32.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TELA closed FY2025 with $81.4M in total assets against $55.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $80.3M -$38.8M -$28.2M -$28.7M $81.4M $55.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $69.3M -$37.8M -$41.6M -$42.6M $86.6M $41.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $58.5M -$46.7M -$40.9M -$40.9M β€” β€”

3. TELA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TELA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, TELA Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: TELA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $0.81 (-11.95% 1D, market cap $36.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TELA ranks #604 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TELA compare to CVRX and NEPH in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), TELA carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 67.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CVRX (CVRx Inc.) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.6M) and NEPH (Nephros Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 29.8x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $34.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEPH leads on earnings multiple (29.8x) while NEPH leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TELA?

Per TELA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001561921), TELA Bio Inc. generated $80.3M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$38.8M in net income, and -$28.7M in free cash flow against $81.4M in total assets and $55.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TELA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TELA last traded at $0.81 (-11.95% on volume of 330,115 shares), positioning the stock -20.59% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.02) and -5.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.86). Across its 52-week range of $0.50 to $1.50, TELA sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.91).

TELA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is TELA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TELA.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 35/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TELA β€” TELA Bio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TELA scores 39 out of 100 (letter grade D-), labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 0%, indicating the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow to shareholders. For a prospective investor, the upside case depends on a future inflection to positive cash generation that the source data does not yet show.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no holder records (see Analyst View section), so the basis for this pillar cannot be independently verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest-scoring pillar after the cash engine's weakness, and a low score signals limited insider-level confidence in the near term.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. The rating cites beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled to move in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion in a downturn.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 9 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.5. These collectively point to financial fragility: a Piotroski score of 4 out of 9 indicates weak fundamental health signals, and the high leverage ratio increases dependence on continued financing.

Taken together, the rating frames TELA as a high-risk speculative situation. The upside argument rests on a turnaround in operating economics that has not yet appeared in reported results; the downside risk is balance-sheet pressure and continued cash burn. This is an educational reading of the scored inputs, not a recommendation.

Business

TELA Bio Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $0.0B. Per the news wire, the company has received FDA 510(k) clearance for its Liora Monofilament Scaffold, described as a soft-tissue reinforcement product, which suggests its product line centers on surgical implant-type devices. Revenue figures are reported in the financials section. Customer and channel detail is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$80.3M$-33.8M$-38.8MN/A$-28.7M$50.8M$55.7M
FY 2024$69.3M$-34.1M$-37.8MN/A$-42.6M$52.7M$41.1M
FY 2023$58.5M$-44.1M$-46.7MN/A$-40.9MN/AN/A

Revenue grew from $58.5M (FY 2023) to $69.3M (FY 2024) and $80.3M (FY 2025), while operating losses remained in the $-33.8M to $-44.1M range across all three periods. Per the market data, gross margin is 67.7%, operating margin -42%, and net margin -48.3%, with ROIC of -35%. The forensic metrics cited in the RQD rating (Altman Z-Score 2.5; Piotroski F-Score 4/9; Debt/Equity 8.5) indicate a stressed but not distressed profile. Cash declined from $52.7M to $50.8M while debt rose from $41.1M to $55.7M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the most prominent catalysts are:

  • FDA 510(k) clearance for the Liora Monofilament Scaffold, reported across multiple outlets (Yahoo Finance, Quiver Quantitative, Stock Titan). This is the principal product-regulatory catalyst in the feed and is directly relevant to the company's stated soft-tissue reconstruction focus.
  • Director equity compensation: a Form 4 filing for director Joseph H. Capper (dated 15 October) and a Stock Titan report describing stock replacing cash pay in a 19,801-share award. This is routine governance activity and carries limited signal weight.
  • Upcoming earnings: a headline announcing the Third Quarter 2026 financial results release date.

Risk watch items: the news feed contains no revenue guidance, reimbursement detail, or commercial-adoption metrics for the cleared product, so the commercial impact of the clearance cannot be quantified from source data. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals (see next section). All news items carry a YELLOW light designation in the source feed.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector-correlation links are therefore not available in source data. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped dependencies is itself a gap: the company's reliance on specific component suppliers, surgical-channel customers, or reimbursement pathways cannot be assessed from these sources. The only sector-level context available is the Health Care / Medical-Dental Instruments classification and the beta of 1.0.

Open Questions

  • What commercial revenue, if any, is expected from the Liora Monofilament Scaffold following FDA 510(k) clearance, and on what timeline?
  • What is the company's cash runway given FY 2025 FCF of $-28.7M against cash of $50.8M, and how is the rise in debt to $55.7M being financed?
  • What are the Q3 2026 results when released, and do they show improvement in operating margin from the -42% level?
  • Who are the institutional holders and what is the 13F accumulation trend that the RQD rating's whale-flow pillar references?
  • What are the company's principal upstream suppliers and downstream customers, given that the supply-chain graph is empty?

TELA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TELA Bio Inc. (TELA) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TELA Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TELA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.81?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TELA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TELA:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.81 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TELA (D- β€’ RQD 39/100) a Buy at $0.92?

Welcome to the TELA (TELA Bio Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-22.8%)
Spot @ $0.92

Pump the brakes on TELA β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TELA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 67.7% gross margins. Unless TELA Bio Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.11 (+20.7%)
Spot @ $0.92

TELA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TELA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.92 (52-wk range $0.50 - $1.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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