Nephros Inc. (NEPH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.17 -3.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.15

Nephros Inc. (NEPH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $34.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Nephros Inc. (NASDAQ: NEPH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $3.17 (-3.06% 1D, market cap $34.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NEPH ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEPH compare to TELA and CVRX in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NEPH carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.8x, gross margin of 61.9%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, TELA (TELA Bio Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $36.6M) and CVRX (CVRx Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEPH leads on earnings multiple (29.8x) while NEPH leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEPH?
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Per NEPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001196298), Nephros Inc. generated $18.8M in revenue (+32.7% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $13.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (62% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.15 (-0.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 8.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (3)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.3% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE NEPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEPH SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.5% FCF Margin ($1.6M FCF) & 61.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$3.59-1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$3.52-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$3.51-9.7% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$3.17+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NEPH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, NEPH faces multiple-compression risk if 29.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 59.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.86) or 200D SMA ($3.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.18) toward Bear Floor ($2.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
3830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE14% OF RANGE
L: $3$3.17H: $6
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (62% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: B+RQD 16 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on NEPH

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (80)

18.9% ROIC with 61.9% gross margin and 4.50% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

18/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NEPH
  • ✓Strong cash generator (62% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NEPH Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NEPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.26%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.27H $3.27L $3.17C $3.17VOL 12.4K
RES: $5.70SUP: $2.99SMA50: $3.86SMA200: $3.66
$5.01$4.44$3.87$3.29$2.72RES $5.70SUP $2.99$3.172026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEPH)

Health Care Rank #176 of 1016 ⚔️ TELA vs NEPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NEPH vs. TELA, CVRX, BEAT, XTNT)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nephros Inc. (NEPH) ranks #176 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #784 by equity capitalization ($34.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEPH leads on earnings valuation at 29.8x trailing P/E, while NEPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.9% ROIC and 61.9% gross margin. XTNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with NEPH at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEPH ACTIVE
Nephros Inc.
C- 59/100 29.8x 61.9% 18.9% -3.06% $34.5M Benchmark Subject
TELA
TELA Bio Inc.
D- 35/100 — 67.7% -35.0% -11.95% $36.6M /tela-vs-neph →
CVRX
CVRx Inc.
E 31/100 — 85.3% -35.0% -1.05% $37.6M /cvrx-vs-neph →
BEAT
Heartbeam Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% +2.06% $31.0M /beat-vs-neph →
XTNT
Xtant Medical Holdings Inc.
C 65/100 — 62.9% 12.8% -3.51% $39.3M /xtnt-vs-neph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001196298

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nephros Inc. (NEPH) reported GAAP revenue of $18.8M (+32.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.2M , and +32.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.2M, operating cash flow of $1.6M, and free cash flow of $1.6M (+392.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEPH closed FY2025 with $13.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.8M $1.2M $1.6M $1.6M $13.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $14.2M $74.0K -$492.0K -$547.0K $11.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.2M -$1.6M $827.0K $827.0K — —

3. NEPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nephros Inc. (NASDAQ: NEPH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $3.17 (-3.06% 1D, market cap $34.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NEPH ranks #176 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEPH compare to TELA and CVRX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), NEPH carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 29.8x, gross margin of 61.9%, and ROIC of 18.9%. By comparison, TELA (TELA Bio Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $36.6M) and CVRX (CVRx Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEPH leads on earnings multiple (29.8x) while NEPH leads on capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEPH?

Per NEPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001196298), Nephros Inc. generated $18.8M in revenue (+32.7% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $13.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (62% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEPH last traded at $3.17 (-3.06% on volume of 12,421 shares), positioning the stock -17.88% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.86) and -13.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.66). Across its 52-week range of $2.66 to $6.42, NEPH sits at the 13.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.77 to $3.57).

NEPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NEPH stock right now?

Nephros Inc. (NEPH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 62% profit margin (19% return on capital), mixed timing at 30x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is NEPH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NEPH's 12-month base price target is $3.18 (range $2.48 to $6.74), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEPH — Nephros Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:48:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEPH scores 59 out of 100, equating to a C- grade and a "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral" verdict. The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 18.9% and an FCF yield of 4.5%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business currently converts capital into returns at a respectable rate relative to its market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score very low. For a prospective investor, this implies limited evidence of large institutional conviction behind the stock.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores moderately well. The pillar is supported by the rating but the underlying insider transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity produce a middling score, indicating the stock tracks broad market movement without a clear macro tailwind.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 support a reasonably sound balance sheet.

Investment implications: the rating's strengths are cash generation and balance sheet quality; its weaknesses are institutional demand and macro fit. Valuation is the central tradeoff. Per the Market Data section, P/E (TTM) is 29.8 and EV/EBITDA is 26.3, which are elevated multiples for a company with a 6.1% operating margin. A prospective investor would need to weigh the 18.9% ROIC against these multiples and the thin institutional support. This is an educational summary of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
3.27$35.5M29.82526.30.110%1.0$2.66 - $6.4218.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$18.8M$1.1M$1.2MN/A$1.6M$5.4MN/A
FY 2024$14.2M$0.0M$0.1MN/A$-0.5M$3.8MN/A
FY 2023$14.2M$-1.6M$-1.6MN/A$0.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $14.2M in FY 2024 to $18.8M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $0.1M to $1.2M. Per the market data, operating margin is 6.1% and net margin is 6.4%, with ROIC at 18.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt figures are not reported in the financials table.

Open Questions

  • What is the debt balance and maturity profile, given that debt is reported as N/A across all periods?
  • What drove the swing from a $1.6M operating loss in FY 2023 to $1.1M operating income in FY 2025?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is their recent transaction activity?
  • Does the FY 2024 revenue figure ($14.2M) correctly match the FY 2023 figure, or does it reflect a reporting issue?
  • Which company is the subject of the Nephron Pharmaceuticals CEO news, and is it related to NEPH?

NEPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nephros Inc. (NEPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEPH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.17?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEPH 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEPH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $3.53 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEPH (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $3.27?

Welcome to the NEPH (Nephros Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.62 (-19.9%)
Spot @ $3.27

Pump the brakes on NEPH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEPH, but look at what you are paying: 29.8x trailing P/E with 61.9% gross margins. Unless Nephros Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.19 (+28.1%)
Spot @ $3.27

NEPH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEPH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.27 (52-wk range $2.66 - $6.42), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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