How profitable is Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PTON converted $2.5B of revenue into a 50.9% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $333.0M in free cash flow (13.4% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / PTON / financials

CALY (52) YETI (74) MAT (67) GOLF (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$5.30 +3.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.32

Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.28B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PTON Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PTON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-03, Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PTON) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $5.30 (+3.52% 1D, market cap $2.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, PTON ranks #722 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PTON compare to CALY and YETI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), PTON carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.9%, and ROIC of -24.3%. By comparison, CALY (Callaway Golf Company) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $2.71B) and YETI (YETI Holdings Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 23.5%, cap $3.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTON?

▼

Per PTON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001639825), Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) generated $2.49B in revenue (-7.8% YoY), -$118.9M in net income, and $333.0M in free cash flow against $2.16B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.32 (+0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 13.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PTON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PTON SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.4% FCF Margin ($333.0M FCF) & 50.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.6) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$5.22+4.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$5.45-2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$5.30+0% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.30-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PTON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PTON currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.12) and Max Pain ($5.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PTON• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PTON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How PTON Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$333.0M (13.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.80B

FY24

Rev $2.70B

FY25

Rev $2.49B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$2.49B	50.9%	-1.5%	-$118.9M	$333.0M	-45%
FY 2024	$2.70B	44.7%	-19.6%	-$551.9M	-$66.1M	-45%
FY 2023	$2.80B	50.9%	-42.8%	-$1.26B	-$387.6M	-24.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PTON)

✓Walkthrough of PTON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PTON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.11%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $5.28H $5.30L $5.12C $5.30VOL 5.45M

RES: $7.05SUP: $4.44SMA50: $5.12SMA200: $5.21

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PTON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PTON Butterfly Map → + Track PTON →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -7.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PTON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PTON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PTON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PTON)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #722 of 1009 ⚔️ CALY vs PTON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (PTON vs. CALY, YETI, MAT, GOLF)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) ranks #722 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #398 by equity capitalization ($2.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MAT leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while YETI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 57.4% gross margin. YETI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with PTON at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PTON ACTIVE Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	50.9%	-24.3%	+3.52%	$2.28B	Benchmark Subject
CALY Callaway Golf Company	D+	52/100	—	42.1%	5.6%	+6.20%	$2.71B	/caly-vs-pton →
YETI YETI Holdings Inc.	B	74/100	19.5x	57.4%	23.5%	+4.03%	$3.19B	/yeti-vs-pton →
MAT Mattel Inc.	C+	67/100	11.1x	48.7%	13.0%	+0.71%	$4.41B	/mat-vs-pton →
GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp.	D+	57/100	26.5x	47.7%	13.8%	+4.88%	$4.98B	/golf-vs-pton →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001639825 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) reported GAAP revenue of $2.49B (-7.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.70B , and -11.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$118.9M, operating cash flow of $333.0M, and free cash flow of $333.0M (+603.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, PTON closed FY2025 with $2.16B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-06-30	$2.49B	-$118.9M	$333.0M	$333.0M	$2.16B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-06-30	$2.70B	-$551.9M	-$66.1M	-$66.1M	$2.11B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-06-30	$2.80B	-$1.26B	-$387.6M	-$387.6M	—	—

3. PTON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PTON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PTON compare to CALY and YETI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PTON?

Where is PTON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PTON last traded at $5.30 (+3.52% on volume of 7,639,218 shares), positioning the stock +3.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.12) and +1.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.21). Across its 52-week range of $3.65 to $7.92, PTON sits at the 38.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($4.89 to $5.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: PTON RQD Cockpit PTON 12M Forecast PTON Earnings & Move PTON Dividends & DRIP PTON Insiders & 13F PTON Whale Options PTON Profit Sankey PTON News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PTON — Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.30 (+3.52% 1D, market capitalization $2.28B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -24.3%, gross margin of 50.9%, operating margin of -1.5%, and free cash flow yield of 14.15%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified under Consumer Discretionary, within the Recreational Games/Products/Toys industry. It operates with a market capitalization of $2.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) reported $2.49B in annual revenue (up from $2.70B in FY2024, -7.8% YoY) and -$118.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.80B revenue, -$1.26B net income) through FY2025, PTON scaled operating cash flow to $333.0M and free cash flow to $333.0M, backed by $2.16B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.15% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.65 – $7.92 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream dependencies, no sector-correlation links, and no proprietary signals. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data.

Key Question #1: Can PTON sustain or expand its -1.5% operating margin and -24.3% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.49B and free cash flow of $333.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is PTON's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PTON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PTON Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

$1,000 Invested in Peloton Interactive (PTON) at Its 52-Week Low Is Worth This Much Today

Yahoo Finance report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

Peloton Interactive Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy PTON?

StockInvest.us report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Peloton Interactive (PTON) Unveils New Treadmills, Is The Valuation Already Full?

Yahoo Finance report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Peloton Interactive (PTON) Stock Climbed, So What Is Driving Attention Now?

Simply Wall St report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Transcript: Peloton Interactive Q4 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Benzinga report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) Stock Sale Revealed by Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar

MarketBeat report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Peloton's live call starts at 8:30 a.m. on Nov. 5.

Stock Titan report covering Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A) (PTON) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 3d ago

Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy on Peloton Interactive, Lowers Price Target to $8

Canaccord Genuity analyst Susan Anderson maintains Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $10 to $8.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PTON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PTON 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.71 (+31.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

FY 2025 free cash flow of $333.0M and cash of $1.18B compare favorably against negative FCF in the two prior periods, and the FCF yie

Don't sleep on PTON's setup in Consumer Discretionary. FY 2025 free cash flow of $333.0M and cash of $1.18B compare favorably against negative FCF in the two prior periods, and the FCF yield is 14.15%.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (40/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $5.12 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.30 (-16.0%)

Spot @ $5.12

ROIC is -24.3%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, and net losses persist in FY 2025 at -$118.9M.

I respect the product at Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $5.12 is a different story. ROIC is -24.3%, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, and net losses persist in FY 2025 at -$118.9M.. FCF yield is 14.15% and RQD sits at 40/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?