Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ONTO Stock dropped -9.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is ONTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE: ONTO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $201.57 (-9.16% 1D, market cap $10.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ONTO ranks #138 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ONTO compare to RRX and DRS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ONTO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 49.7%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, RRX (Regal Rexnord Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 39.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $10.90B) and DRS (Leonardo DRS Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 38.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONTO?
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Per ONTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0000704532), Onto Innovation Inc. generated $1.01B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $136.8K in net income, and $299.8M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $120.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.8% FCF Margin ($299.8M FCF) & 49.7% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ONTO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, ONTO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 47.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($261.92) or 200D SMA ($261.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($202.48) toward Bear Floor ($157.93).
Why ONTO Stock dropped -9.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) dropped -9.16% to $201.57, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($118.97 – $386.46). Solid 50% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($118.97 – $386.46) with RSI-14 at 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $201.57 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 49.7% gross margin and $299.8M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
AI is chewing through electricity, chips and data center capacity at the same time interest rates, demographics and an energy shock are reshaping how capital gets priced. That combination can punish some high-growth stor
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ONTO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ONTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONTO today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ONTO)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ONTO vs. RRX, DRS, PNR, LII)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) ranks #138 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #96 by equity capitalization ($10.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LII leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while LII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.9% ROIC and 33.4% gross margin. PNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with ONTO at 59/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO
ACTIVE
Onto Innovation Inc. | C- | 59/100 | — | 49.7% | 5.6% | -9.16% | $10.89B | Benchmark Subject |
| RRX Regal Rexnord Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 39.0x | 37.4% | 4.9% | -3.90% | $10.90B | /rrx-vs-onto → |
| DRS Leonardo DRS Inc. | C | 63/100 | 38.1x | 23.8% | 9.2% | -4.94% | $10.58B | /drs-vs-onto → |
| PNR Pentair plc. Ordinary Share | C+ | 69/100 | 16.1x | 40.5% | 12.5% | +0.64% | $10.51B | /pnr-vs-onto → |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 14.8x | 33.4% | 34.9% | -1.16% | $11.91B | /lii-vs-onto → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0000704532In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) reported GAAP revenue of $1.01B (+1.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $987.3M , and +23.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $136.8K, operating cash flow of $328.3M, and free cash flow of $299.8M (+40.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, ONTO closed FY2025 with $2.37B in total assets against $120.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-03 | $1.01B | $136.8K | $328.3M | $299.8M | $2.37B | $120.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-28 | $987.3M | $201.7K | $245.7M | $213.8M | $2.12B | $86.0M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-30 | $815.9M | $121.2K | $172.0M | $135.3M | $5.99B | $1.40B |
3. ONTO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ONTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Onto Innovation Inc. (NYSE: ONTO) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $201.57 (-9.16% 1D, market cap $10.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ONTO ranks #138 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ONTO compare to RRX and DRS in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ONTO carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 49.7%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, RRX (Regal Rexnord Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 39.0x, ROIC 4.9%, cap $10.90B) and DRS (Leonardo DRS Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 38.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $10.58B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LII leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while LII leads on capital efficiency (34.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ONTO?
Per ONTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0000704532), Onto Innovation Inc. generated $1.01B in revenue (+1.8% YoY), $136.8K in net income, and $299.8M in free cash flow against $2.37B in total assets and $120.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ONTO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ONTO last traded at $201.57 (-9.16% on volume of 1,085,275 shares), positioning the stock -23.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($261.92) and -22.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($261.07). Across its 52-week range of $118.97 to $386.46, ONTO sits at the 30.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($180.61 to $222.53).
ONTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ONTO stock moving today?
Why ONTO Stock dropped -9.16% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 50% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ONTO — Onto Innovation Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ONTO scores 59 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars break down as follows:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 5.6% and an FCF yield of 2.75%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business generates cash, but the return on invested capital and free-cash-flow yield are modest relative to the current share price.
- Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. This pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score signals that the source data does not show strong institutional accumulation momentum.
- Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. This pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The mid-range score indicates no decisive insider-buying signal in either direction.
- Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.1 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this suggests the stock is somewhat more volatile than the broad market and is exposed to sector-level swings.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, citing Altman Z of 26, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.05. For a prospective investor, the balance sheet is a clear strength and limits solvency risk.
Taken together, the rating points to a stock whose balance sheet is a clear strength, whose cash generation and institutional/insider signals are only moderate, and whose sector-sensitive valuation carries tradeoffs. Upside drivers would need to come from improving returns on capital and renewed institutional interest. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the EV/EBITDA of 67.8 against a 2.75% FCF yield. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1005.3M | $132.9M | $0.1M | N/A | $299.8M | $346.1M | $120.2M |
| FY 2024 | $987.3M | $187.1M | $0.2M | N/A | $213.8M | $212.9M | $86.0M |
| FY 2023 | $815.9M | $116.1M | $0.1M | N/A | $135.3M | N/A | $1401.4M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $815.9M in FY 2023 to $1005.3M in FY 2025, while reported net income remained near breakeven across all three periods. Per the market data, net margin is 0% and ROIC is 5.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.05. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 cash of $346.1M exceeds debt of $120.2M.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the news wire, six items reference ONTO: a Yahoo Finance Singapore market-wire item, a Seeking Alpha piece titled "Onto Innovation: Fall Buyers Rewarded With 2027 Growth" (marked as a catalyst), a Trefis item on a six-day winning streak with a 17% gain (catalyst), a Yahoo Finance item noting the stock declined while the market improved, a Yahoo! Finance Canada market-wire item, and a Yahoo Finance valuation piece asking whether the stock's valuation makes sense. The news wire assigns green-light tags to the Seeking Alpha and Trefis items and yellow-light tags to the remaining four. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the reported EPS and P/E (TTM) figures, given that the source lists them as unavailable and reports net income near $0.1M–$0.2M?
- What drives the gap between the 67.8 EV/EBITDA and the 2.75% FCF yield?
- Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is their recent activity?
- What is the consensus analyst rating and price target?
- What customers, end markets, and supply-chain dependencies sit behind the reported revenue?
ONTO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ONTO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $201.57?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ONTO (C- • RQD 59/100) a Buy at $221.89?
Welcome to the ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 59/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ONTO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ONTO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 49.7% gross margins. Unless Onto Innovation Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ONTO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ONTO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $221.89 (52-wk range $118.97 - $386.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.