How profitable is O-I Glass Inc. (OI)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), OI converted $6.4B of revenue into a 17.3% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $168.0M in free cash flow (2.6% FCF margin).

Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OI / financials

PACK (36) GPK (54) SON (52) REYN (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$5.20 +1.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.20

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $788.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $5.20 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $788.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $272.8M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?

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Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.20 (+0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OI SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($168.0M FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (33) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.90+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.91+8.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.43-19.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.20-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OI currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.20) and Max Pain ($5.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How OI Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$168.0M (2.6% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $7.11B

FY24

Rev $6.53B

FY25

Rev $6.43B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$6.43B	17.3%	0%	-$129.0M	$168.0M	-10%
FY 2024	$6.53B	16%	0.6%	-$106.0M	-$128.0M	0.6%
FY 2023	$7.11B	17.3%	0.9%	-$103.0M	$818.0M	-10%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OI)

✓Walkthrough of OI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $5.29H $5.29L $5.12C $5.20VOL 6.60M

RES: $6.44SUP: $4.63SMA50: $6.20SMA200: $9.36

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OI Butterfly Map → + Track OI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #764 of 1009 ⚔️ PACK vs OI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OI vs. PACK, GPK, SON, REYN)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, O-I Glass Inc. (OI) ranks #764 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #535 by equity capitalization ($788.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OI at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OI ACTIVE O-I Glass Inc.	D-	37/100	—	17.3%	-10.0%	+1.56%	$788.2M	Benchmark Subject
PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)	D-	36/100	—	39.3%	-2.2%	-0.94%	$272.8M	/pack-vs-oi →
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company	D+	54/100	5.9x	18.2%	7.8%	+4.25%	$2.65B	/gpk-vs-oi →
SON Sonoco Products Company	D+	52/100	4.9x	20.9%	11.4%	+0.50%	$4.94B	/son-vs-oi →
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.	B-	70/100	16.5x	24.6%	13.4%	+4.32%	$4.98B	/reyn-vs-oi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000812074 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported GAAP revenue of $6.43B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.53B , and -9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$129.0M, operating cash flow of $600.0M, and free cash flow of $168.0M (+231.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OI closed FY2025 with $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$6.43B	-$129.0M	$600.0M	$168.0M	$9.24B	$4.84B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.53B	-$106.0M	$489.0M	-$128.0M	$8.65B	$4.55B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.11B	-$103.0M	$818.0M	$818.0M	—	—

3. OI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?

Where is OI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OI last traded at $5.20 (+1.56% on volume of 6,055,229 shares), positioning the stock -16.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.20) and -44.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.36). Across its 52-week range of $5.00 to $16.91, OI sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($4.62 to $5.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: OI RQD Cockpit OI 12M Forecast OI Earnings & Move OI Dividends & DRIP OI Insiders & 13F OI Whale Options OI Profit Sankey OI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OI — O-I Glass Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.20 (+1.56% 1D, market capitalization $788.2M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.0%, gross margin of 17.3%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 20.63%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.74x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Containers/Packaging industry, profile. Per the market data, gross margin is 17.3%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported $6.43B in annual revenue (up from $6.53B in FY2024, -1.6% YoY) and -$129.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.11B revenue, -$103.0M net income) through FY2025, OI scaled operating cash flow to $600.0M and free cash flow to $168.0M, backed by $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 20.63% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.00 – $16.91 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped.

Key Question #1: Can OI sustain or expand its — operating margin and -10.0% ROIC against Containers/Packaging peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.43B and free cash flow of $168.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.84B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is OI's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for O-I Glass Inc. (OI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Earnings Preview: O-I Glass (OI) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline

Yahoo Finance report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Despite Some Troubles, O-I Glass Is Ridiculously Cheap (NYSE:OI)

Seeking Alpha report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

Why is O-I Glass stock plunging today?

Investing.com report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH GuruFocus • 1d ago

UBS Downgrades O-I Glass (OI) to Neutral, Cuts Price Target Amid European EBIT Collapse

GuruFocus report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH TradingView • 1d ago

O-I Glass, Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $6.5, Implies 15% Upside

TradingView report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Morningstar • 1d ago

OI Investors Have Opportunity to Lead O-I Glass, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit

Morningstar report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Research Analysts Set Expectations for O-I Glass Q2 Earnings

MarketBeat report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The National Law Review • 1d ago

Lost Money on O-I Glass, Inc. Shares? The Law Offices of Frank R

The National Law Review report covering O-I Glass Inc. (OI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.40 (+25.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is strong enough to produce a 20.63% FCF yield at a $5.29 share price.

Don't sleep on OI's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Cash generation is strong enough to produce a 20.63% FCF yield at a $5.29 share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (37/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Containers/Packaging. If gross margin (17.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.15 (-18.9%)

Spot @ $5.12

Debt/Equity of 3.74 and negative ROIC of -10% leave the balance sheet exposed while earnings decline.

I respect the product at O-I Glass Inc., but the stock at $5.12 is a different story. Debt/Equity of 3.74 and negative ROIC of -10% leave the balance sheet exposed while earnings decline.. FCF yield is 20.63% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?