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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OI
PACK (36) GPK (54) SON (52) REYN (70) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.20 +1.56% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.20

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $788.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $5.20 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $788.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $272.8M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?
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Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.20 (+0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (9)Macro (3)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$18 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE OI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OI SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($168.0M FCF) & 17.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (33) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$5.90+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$5.91+8.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$6.43-19.1% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$5.20-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OI currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.20) and Max Pain ($5.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
3330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $5$5.20H: $17
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (17.3% gross margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on OI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-10.0% ROIC with 17.3% gross margin and 20.63% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (27)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OI
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $5.29H $5.29L $5.12C $5.20VOL 6.60M
RES: $6.44SUP: $4.63SMA50: $6.20SMA200: $9.36
$13.63$11.29$8.95$6.61$4.27RES $6.44SUP $4.63$5.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OI Butterfly Map → + Track OI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OI)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #764 of 1009 ⚔️ PACK vs OI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OI vs. PACK, GPK, SON, REYN)

Industry: Containers/Packaging (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, O-I Glass Inc. (OI) ranks #764 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #535 by equity capitalization ($788.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SON leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while REYN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and 24.6% gross margin. REYN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OI at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OI ACTIVE
O-I Glass Inc.
D- 37/100 — 17.3% -10.0% +1.56% $788.2M Benchmark Subject
PACK
Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 39.3% -2.2% -0.94% $272.8M /pack-vs-oi →
GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
D+ 54/100 5.9x 18.2% 7.8% +4.25% $2.65B /gpk-vs-oi →
SON
Sonoco Products Company
D+ 52/100 4.9x 20.9% 11.4% +0.50% $4.94B /son-vs-oi →
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
B- 70/100 16.5x 24.6% 13.4% +4.32% $4.98B /reyn-vs-oi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000812074 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported GAAP revenue of $6.43B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.53B , and -9.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$129.0M, operating cash flow of $600.0M, and free cash flow of $168.0M (+231.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OI closed FY2025 with $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.43B -$129.0M $600.0M $168.0M $9.24B $4.84B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.53B -$106.0M $489.0M -$128.0M $8.65B $4.55B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.11B -$103.0M $818.0M $818.0M — —

3. OI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, O-I Glass Inc. (NYSE: OI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $5.20 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $788.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OI ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OI compare to PACK and GPK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Containers/Packaging), OI carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.3%, and ROIC of -10.0%. By comparison, PACK (Ranpak Holdings Corp (Class A)) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.2%, cap $272.8M) and GPK (Graphic Packaging Holding Company) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SON leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while REYN leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OI?

Per OI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000812074), O-I Glass Inc. generated $6.43B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), -$129.0M in net income, and $168.0M in free cash flow against $9.24B in total assets and $4.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OI last traded at $5.20 (+1.56% on volume of 6,055,229 shares), positioning the stock -16.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.20) and -44.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.36). Across its 52-week range of $5.00 to $16.91, OI sits at the 1.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($4.62 to $5.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: OI RQD Cockpit OI 12M Forecast OI Earnings & Move OI Dividends & DRIP OI Insiders & 13F OI Whale Options OI Profit Sankey OI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OI — O-I Glass Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.20 (+1.56% 1D, market capitalization $788.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -10.0%, gross margin of 17.3%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 20.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 3.74x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

O-I Glass Inc. (OI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Containers/Packaging industry, profile. Per the market data, gross margin is 17.3%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), O-I Glass Inc. (OI) reported $6.43B in annual revenue (up from $6.53B in FY2024, -1.6% YoY) and -$129.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.11B revenue, -$103.0M net income) through FY2025, OI scaled operating cash flow to $600.0M and free cash flow to $168.0M, backed by $9.24B in total assets against $4.84B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 20.63% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.00 – $16.91 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are mapped.

  • Key Question #1: Can OI sustain or expand its — operating margin and -10.0% ROIC against Containers/Packaging peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.43B and free cash flow of $168.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.84B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OI's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for O-I Glass Inc. (OI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.20?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.40 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is strong enough to produce a 20.63% FCF yield at a $5.29 share price.

Don't sleep on OI's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Cash generation is strong enough to produce a 20.63% FCF yield at a $5.29 share price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (37/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Containers/Packaging. If gross margin (17.3%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.15 (-18.9%)
Spot @ $5.12

Debt/Equity of 3.74 and negative ROIC of -10% leave the balance sheet exposed while earnings decline.

I respect the product at O-I Glass Inc., but the stock at $5.12 is a different story. Debt/Equity of 3.74 and negative ROIC of -10% leave the balance sheet exposed while earnings decline.. FCF yield is 20.63% and RQD sits at 37/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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