Neonode Inc. (NEON) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.66 -4.37% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65

Neonode Inc. (NEON) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $11.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEON Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.66 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $11.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NEON ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEON compare to HTOO and LIQT in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HTOO (Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $12.6M) and LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEON?
β–Ό

Per NEON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000087050), Neonode Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (-33.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $26.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.1% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NEON RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NEON SCORES 44/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 98.7% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$0.87-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$0.77-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$0.74-10.8% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$0.66-6.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (52) β†’ D (44)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NEON currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.84) and Max Pain ($0.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.27.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEONβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNEON Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NEON)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NEON.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

πŸ† Enter Free $100K Paper Arena β†’
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEON)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NEON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NEON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.24%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $0.69H $0.69L $0.66C $0.66VOL 44.6K
RES: $0.94SUP: $0.74SMA50: $0.84SMA200: $1.26
$6.25$4.73$3.20$1.68$0.16RES $0.94SUP $0.74$0.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -33.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEON today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEON)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NEON vs. HTOO, LIQT, RAIN, CVV)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neonode Inc. (NEON) ranks #466 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #638 by equity capitalization ($11.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NEON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. HTOO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with NEON at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEON ACTIVE
Neonode Inc.
D 44/100 β€” 96.0% 85.0% -4.37% $11.6M Benchmark Subject
HTOO
Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” +1.80% $12.6M /htoo-vs-neon β†’
LIQT
LiqTech International Inc.
E 26/100 β€” 7.6% -35.0% -6.81% $10.6M /liqt-vs-neon β†’
RAIN
Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -12.04% $7.0M /rain-vs-neon β†’
CVV
CVD Equipment Corporation
E 24/100 β€” 28.3% -9.4% -3.09% $28.1M /cvv-vs-neon β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000087050

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neonode Inc. (NEON) reported GAAP revenue of $2.1M (-33.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.1M , and -46.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.3M (-83.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEON closed FY2025 with $26.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.1M $0 -$10.3M -$10.3M $26.9M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.1M $0 -$5.6M -$5.6M $18.4M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.8M $0 -$6.3M -$6.3M β€” β€”

3. NEON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.66 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $11.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NEON ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEON compare to HTOO and LIQT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HTOO (Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC β€”, cap $12.6M) and LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEON?

Per NEON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000087050), Neonode Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (-33.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $26.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEON last traded at $0.66 (-4.37% on volume of 105,960 shares), positioning the stock -21.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.84) and -47.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.26). Across its 52-week range of $0.63 to $3.11, NEON sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.74).

NEON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is NEON's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NEON.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 44/100 (D) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEON β€” Neonode Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEON scores 44 out of 100, a D grade labeled "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 0%), Whale/13F Flow at 5 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the highest-scoring pillar is the fundamental cash engine, yet its zero FCF yield means the high ROIC is not translating into free cash returned to shareholders. The weakest pillar, whale/13F flow, scores 5 of 20, indicating limited institutional support in the source data. The forensic balance sheet and insider conviction pillars sit at 10 and 8, reflecting moderate-to-weak balance sheet quality and limited insider signaling. Taken together, the rating frames the stock as a distribution-risk name, where upside would depend on a change in cash generation or institutional sponsorship that the source data does not show.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2.1M$7.4M$0.0MN/A$-10.3M$25.4MN/A
FY 2024$3.1M$-6.5M$0.0MN/A$-5.6M$16.4MN/A
FY 2023$3.8M$-5.7M$0.0MN/A$-6.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $3.8M in FY 2023 to $2.1M in FY 2025, while free cash flow was negative in each reported period. Market data reports a 96% gross margin, 75% operating margin, and 0% net margin, with ROIC of 85%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported debt is N/A in the financial table for all periods, so the debt posture cannot be fully characterized from these figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, four items reference NEON, each flagged YELLOW under the "MARKET WIRE" impact label:

  • A StockInvest.us forecast article asking whether to buy NEON (no further detail in source data).
  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart item (no further detail in source data).
  • An ad-hoc-news.de headline stating the company surpasses 100 million technology licenses, a potential positive operating catalyst.
  • An ad-hoc-news.de headline announcing a USD 14 million offering for NEON stock, a dilution-related risk watch item.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the cause of the revenue decline from $3.8M in FY 2023 to $2.1M in FY 2025, and what is the company's product and customer base?
  • What is the size, terms, and use of proceeds from the reported USD 14 million offering?
  • What are the reported debt figures, given that debt is N/A across all periods?
  • Why is EPS N/A across all reported periods, and what is the share count?
  • How does the 85% ROIC reconcile with 0% net margin and negative free cash flow?

NEON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neonode Inc. (NEON) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NEON Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.66?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEON 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEON:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.61 (-11.6%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEON (D β€’ RQD 44/100) a Buy at $0.69?

Welcome to the NEON (Neonode Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.54 (-21.7%)
Spot @ $0.69

Pump the brakes on NEON β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEON, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 96.0% gross margins. Unless Neonode Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.79 (+14.5%)
Spot @ $0.69

NEON cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEON, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.69 (52-wk range $0.63 - $3.11), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%