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Stock Ratings / Technology / NEON / earnings
HTOO (46) LIQT (26) RAIN (36) CVV (24) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Neonode Inc. (NEON) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.66 -4.37% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65

Neonode Inc. (NEON) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NEON Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.66 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $11.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NEON ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEON compare to HTOO and LIQT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HTOO (Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.6M) and LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEON?
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Per NEON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000087050), Neonode Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (-33.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $26.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.65 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.1% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE NEON RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEON SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 98.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$0.87-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$0.77-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$0.74-10.8% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$0.66-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEON currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.84) and Max Pain ($0.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEON• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEON Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.08 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.66$0.74 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NEON Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -33.7%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.1M$0-$10.3M98%
FY 20242024-12-31$3.1M$0-$5.6M96.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.8M$0-$6.3M92%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEON)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NEON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
NEON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.24%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-02O $0.69H $0.69L $0.66C $0.66VOL 44.6K
RES: $0.94SUP: $0.74SMA50: $0.84SMA200: $1.26
$6.25$4.73$3.20$1.68$0.16RES $0.94SUP $0.74$0.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEON Butterfly Map → + Track NEON →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -33.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEON today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEON)

Technology Rank #466 of 714 ⚔️ HTOO vs NEON Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NEON vs. HTOO, LIQT, RAIN, CVV)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neonode Inc. (NEON) ranks #466 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #638 by equity capitalization ($11.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NEON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. HTOO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with NEON at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEON ACTIVE
Neonode Inc.
D 44/100 — 96.0% 85.0% -4.37% $11.6M Benchmark Subject
HTOO
Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — +1.80% $12.6M /htoo-vs-neon →
LIQT
LiqTech International Inc.
E 26/100 — 7.6% -35.0% -6.81% $10.6M /liqt-vs-neon →
RAIN
Rain Enhancement Technologies Holdco Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 — — -35.0% -12.04% $7.0M /rain-vs-neon →
CVV
CVD Equipment Corporation
E 24/100 — 28.3% -9.4% -3.09% $28.1M /cvv-vs-neon →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000087050

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Neonode Inc. (NEON) reported GAAP revenue of $2.1M (-33.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.1M , and -46.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$10.3M, and free cash flow of -$10.3M (-83.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEON closed FY2025 with $26.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.1M $0 -$10.3M -$10.3M $26.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.1M $0 -$5.6M -$5.6M $18.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.8M $0 -$6.3M -$6.3M — —

3. NEON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Neonode Inc. (NASDAQ: NEON) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $0.66 (-4.37% 1D, market cap $11.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NEON ranks #466 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEON compare to HTOO and LIQT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NEON carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, HTOO (Fusion Fuel Green PLC (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $12.6M) and LIQT (LiqTech International Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $10.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEON leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEON?

Per NEON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000087050), Neonode Inc. generated $2.1M in revenue (-33.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$10.3M in free cash flow against $26.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEON last traded at $0.66 (-4.37% on volume of 105,960 shares), positioning the stock -21.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.84) and -47.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.26). Across its 52-week range of $0.63 to $3.11, NEON sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.74).

NEON Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NEON's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Neonode Inc. (NEON)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NEON stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for NEON, spanning a range between $1 and $0.74.

Direct Sub-Reports: NEON RQD Cockpit NEON 12M Forecast NEON Earnings & Move NEON Dividends & DRIP NEON Insiders & 13F NEON Whale Options NEON Profit Sankey NEON News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEON — Neonode Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEON scores 44 out of 100, a D grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 11 of 20 (ROIC 85%; FCF yield 0%), Whale/13F Flow at 5 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the highest-scoring pillar is the fundamental cash engine, yet its zero FCF yield means the high ROIC is not translating into free cash returned to shareholders. The weakest pillar, whale/13F flow, scores 5 of 20, indicating limited institutional support in the source data. The forensic balance sheet and insider conviction pillars sit at 10 and 8, reflecting moderate-to-weak balance sheet quality and limited insider signaling. Taken together, the rating frames the stock as a distribution-risk name, where upside would depend on a change in cash generation or institutional sponsorship that the source data does not show.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2.1M$7.4M$0.0MN/A$-10.3M$25.4MN/A
FY 2024$3.1M$-6.5M$0.0MN/A$-5.6M$16.4MN/A
FY 2023$3.8M$-5.7M$0.0MN/A$-6.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $3.8M in FY 2023 to $2.1M in FY 2025, while free cash flow was negative in each reported period. Market data reports a 96% gross margin, 75% operating margin, and 0% net margin, with ROIC of 85%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2 of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported debt is N/A in the financial table for all periods, so the debt posture cannot be fully characterized from these figures.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, four items reference NEON, each flagged YELLOW under the "MARKET WIRE" impact label:

  • A StockInvest.us forecast article asking whether to buy NEON (no further detail in source data).
  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada seasonal returns chart item (no further detail in source data).
  • An ad-hoc-news.de headline stating the company surpasses 100 million technology licenses, a potential positive operating catalyst.
  • An ad-hoc-news.de headline announcing a USD 14 million offering for NEON stock, a dilution-related risk watch item.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the cause of the revenue decline from $3.8M in FY 2023 to $2.1M in FY 2025, and what is the company's product and customer base?
  • What is the size, terms, and use of proceeds from the reported USD 14 million offering?
  • What are the reported debt figures, given that debt is N/A across all periods?
  • Why is EPS N/A across all reported periods, and what is the share count?
  • How does the 85% ROIC reconcile with 0% net margin and negative free cash flow?

NEON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neonode Inc. (NEON) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEON Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.66?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEON 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEON:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.61 (-11.6%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEON (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $0.69?

Welcome to the NEON (Neonode Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.54 (-21.7%)
Spot @ $0.69

Pump the brakes on NEON — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEON, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 96.0% gross margins. Unless Neonode Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.79 (+14.5%)
Spot @ $0.69

NEON cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEON, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.69 (52-wk range $0.63 - $3.11), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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