Stock Ratings / Technology / KDK / options

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Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.22 -4.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $256.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KDK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #461 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?

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Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KDK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KDK SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.74-31% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.20-13.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.04+17.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.22-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KDK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KDK currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.50) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KDK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KDK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KDK)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KDK.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KDK)

✓Walkthrough of KDK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KDK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -85.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $1.31H $1.31L $1.22C $1.22VOL 23.56M

RES: $3.27SUP: $0.69SMA50: $2.50SMA200: $5.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KDK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KDK Butterfly Map → + Track KDK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KDK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KDK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KDK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KDK)

Technology Rank #461 of 714 ⚔️ SMRT vs KDK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KDK vs. SMRT, TRVG, GLOO, DMRC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) ranks #461 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #459 by equity capitalization ($256.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SMRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 32.7% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with KDK at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KDK ACTIVE Kodiak AI Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-4.69%	$256.8M	Benchmark Subject
SMRT SmartRent Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	32.7%	-35.0%	-1.46%	$262.5M	/smrt-vs-kdk →
TRVG trivago N.V.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-6.02%	$269.8M	/trvg-vs-kdk →
GLOO Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.68%	$272.8M	/gloo-vs-kdk →
DMRC Digimarc Corporation	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+0.68%	$237.2M	/dmrc-vs-kdk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853138

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, KDK closed FY2025 with $159.4M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$159.4M	$29.9M

3. KDK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?

Where is KDK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KDK last traded at $1.22 (-4.69% on volume of 5,510,856 shares), positioning the stock -51.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -79.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.94). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $11.35, KDK sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).

KDK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is KDK's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for KDK.

Direct Sub-Reports: KDK RQD Cockpit KDK 12M Forecast KDK Earnings & Move KDK Dividends & DRIP KDK Insiders & 13F KDK Whale Options KDK Profit Sankey KDK News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

SMRT E

SmartRent Inc. (Class A)

Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)

Ribbon Communications Inc.

44 /100

KDK Core Snapshot

Market Cap $256.8M

Trailing / Fwd P/E — / —

Gross Profit Margin —

Return on Capital (ROIC) —

Free Cash Flow Yield —

12M Base Price Target $1.14

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KDK Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event TradingView • 9h ago

KDK Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:KDK

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

Kodiak AI stock gains amid Stoneridge partnership announcement

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Investing.com • 15h ago

Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates Kodiak AI stock rating on driverless progress

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Moomoo • 18h ago

Tracking Cathie Wood: Adds 566K Kodiak AI, Trims 10x Genomics and Robinhood

Peer / Ecosystem Wire Benzinga • 21h ago

Full Transcript: Kodiak AI Q2 2026 Earnings Call

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KDK — Kodiak AI Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:17:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KDK scores 44 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, followed by macro fit and insider conviction. The fundamental pillar is also low, reflecting the zero ROIC and zero FCF yield in the market data. The balance sheet pillar is the relative strength, supported by the Altman Z, Piotroski, and leverage readings. For a prospective investor, the rating signals that the current evidence favors caution: the cash-generation engine is not yet demonstrated in the source data, and positioning signals are weak. Upside would depend on improvement in institutional accumulation and on the company converting its balance sheet strength into operating returns. Valuation cannot be assessed with confidence because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	N/A	$50.8M	$29.9M

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 reports zero revenue, zero operating income, and zero net income, with EPS and FCF not applicable. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% and ROIC is 0%. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Cash of $50.8M against debt of $29.9M indicates a net cash position in the reported period, but the absence of reported revenue and earnings means the source data does not show a profitable operating history.

Open Questions

What are KDK's reported revenue and operating results beyond FY 2025, given zero reported revenue and net income in the only financial period provided?
What are the terms and scale of the Stoneridge partnership, and does it translate into reported revenue?
Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and what would a valuation look like on an earnings basis?
Who holds the 13F and insider positions behind the low whale and insider pillar scores?
What supply-chain dependencies exist, since the Butterfly graph records none?

KDK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KDK Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 9h ago

KDK Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:KDK

TradingView report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 12h ago

Kodiak AI stock gains amid Stoneridge partnership announcement

Yahoo Finance report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 15h ago

Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates Kodiak AI stock rating on driverless progress

Investing.com report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 18h ago

Tracking Cathie Wood: Adds 566K Kodiak AI, Trims 10x Genomics and Robinhood

Moomoo report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 21h ago

Full Transcript: Kodiak AI Q2 2026 Earnings Call

Benzinga report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE 富途牛牛 • 1d ago

Tracking Cathie Wood: Significant increase in Kodiak AI holdings; reduced positions in 10x Genomics and Robinhood

富途牛牛 report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A truck company's safety argument is 96% complete. Kodiak plans driverless service by year-end.

Stock Titan report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Kodiak AI (NasdaqGM:KDK) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KDK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.22?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KDK 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.13 (-11.7%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KDK (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $1.28?

Welcome to the KDK (Kodiak AI Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.00 (-21.9%)

Spot @ $1.28

Pump the brakes on KDK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KDK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Kodiak AI Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.47 (+14.8%)

Spot @ $1.28

KDK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KDK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.28 (52-wk range $0.96 - $11.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.