TradingView report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why KDK Stock dropped -4.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #461 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?
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Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KDK Turnaround Squeeze
While KDK currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.50) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.92.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why KDK Stock dropped -4.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) dropped -4.69% to $1.22, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $11.35). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $11.35) with RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $7.2M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
富途牛牛 report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kodiak AI Kodiak's Autonomy Readiness Measure ("ARM") for long-haul driverless operations has increased to 99%, putting Kodiak ahead of pace to launch driverless long-haul commercial service by the end of 2026. MOUNTAIN
Kodiak AI, Inc. ("Kodiak") (NASDAQ:KDK), a leading provider of Physical AI-powered autonomous driving technology, today announced that its Autonomy Readiness Measure ("ARM") for long-haul driverless
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KDK)
- ✓Walkthrough of KDK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
KDK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KDK today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KDK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KDK)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KDK vs. SMRT, TRVG, GLOO, DMRC)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) ranks #461 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #459 by equity capitalization ($256.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SMRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 32.7% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with KDK at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDK
ACTIVE
Kodiak AI Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -4.69% | $256.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| SMRT SmartRent Inc. (Class A) | E | 30/100 | — | 32.7% | -35.0% | -1.46% | $262.5M | /smrt-vs-kdk → |
| TRVG trivago N.V. | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -6.02% | $269.8M | /trvg-vs-kdk → |
| GLOO Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A) | E | 28/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.68% | $272.8M | /gloo-vs-kdk → |
| DMRC Digimarc Corporation | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | +0.68% | $237.2M | /dmrc-vs-kdk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853138In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, KDK closed FY2025 with $159.4M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $159.4M | $29.9M |
3. KDK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #461 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?
Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KDK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KDK last traded at $1.22 (-4.69% on volume of 5,510,856 shares), positioning the stock -51.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -79.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.94). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $11.35, KDK sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).
KDK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KDK stock moving today?
Why KDK Stock dropped -4.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
KDK — Kodiak AI Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, KDK scores 44 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 9/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 4/20, followed by macro fit and insider conviction. The fundamental pillar is also low, reflecting the zero ROIC and zero FCF yield in the market data. The balance sheet pillar is the relative strength, supported by the Altman Z, Piotroski, and leverage readings. For a prospective investor, the rating signals that the current evidence favors caution: the cash-generation engine is not yet demonstrated in the source data, and positioning signals are weak. Upside would depend on improvement in institutional accumulation and on the company converting its balance sheet strength into operating returns. Valuation cannot be assessed with confidence because P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | N/A | N/A | $50.8M | $29.9M |
Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 reports zero revenue, zero operating income, and zero net income, with EPS and FCF not applicable. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% and ROIC is 0%. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Cash of $50.8M against debt of $29.9M indicates a net cash position in the reported period, but the absence of reported revenue and earnings means the source data does not show a profitable operating history.
Open Questions
- What are KDK's reported revenue and operating results beyond FY 2025, given zero reported revenue and net income in the only financial period provided?
- What are the terms and scale of the Stoneridge partnership, and does it translate into reported revenue?
- Why are P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS unavailable, and what would a valuation look like on an earnings basis?
- Who holds the 13F and insider positions behind the low whale and insider pillar scores?
- What supply-chain dependencies exist, since the Butterfly graph records none?
KDK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
富途牛牛 report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
KDK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.22?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KDK (D • RQD 44/100) a Buy at $1.28?
Welcome to the KDK (Kodiak AI Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 44/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on KDK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KDK, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Kodiak AI Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
KDK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KDK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.28 (52-wk range $0.96 - $11.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.