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Stock Ratings / Industrials / KBDC / insiders
HSLV (42) CNL (45) PSUS (46) SLSR (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$12.88 -1.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.83

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $850.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KBDC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (NYSE: KBDC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $12.88 (-1.23% 1D, market cap $850.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KBDC ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KBDC compare to HSLV and CNL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), KBDC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $860.9M) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $973.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBDC leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while KBDC leads on capital efficiency (-8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBDC?
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Per KBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747172), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $93.7M in net income, and -$98.7M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.83 (-0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$17 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE KBDC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KBDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KBDC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$12.45+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$12.46+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$12.84+0.3% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$12.88-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KBDC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KBDC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.93) and Max Pain ($13.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KBDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KBDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

KBDC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (KBDC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on KBDC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KBDC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KBDC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KBDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.15%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $13.04H $13.04L $12.88C $12.88VOL 506.4K
RES: $13.07SUP: $11.86SMA50: $12.93SMA200: $13.78
$15.80$14.81$13.82$12.82$11.83RES $13.07SUP $11.86$12.882026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KBDC Butterfly Map → + Track KBDC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KBDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KBDC)

Industrials Rank #387 of 485 ⚔️ HSLV vs KBDC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KBDC vs. HSLV, CNL, PSUS, SLSR)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) ranks #387 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #263 by equity capitalization ($850.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBDC leads on earnings valuation at 9.2x trailing P/E, while KBDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PSUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with KBDC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KBDC ACTIVE
Kayne Anderson BDC Inc.
E 32/100 9.2x — -8.4% -1.23% $850.6M Benchmark Subject
HSLV
Highlander Silver Corp.
D- 42/100 — — — -7.84% $860.9M /hslv-vs-kbdc →
CNL
Collective Mining Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -6.58% $973.8M /cnl-vs-kbdc →
PSUS
Pershing Square USA Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -2.06% $983.5M /psus-vs-kbdc →
SLSR
Solaris Resources Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -4.80% $1.09B /slsr-vs-kbdc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747172

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $93.7M, operating cash flow of -$98.7M, and free cash flow of -$98.7M (+81.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KBDC closed FY2025 with $2.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $93.7M -$98.7M -$98.7M $2.29B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $131.9M -$544.5M -$544.5M $2.08B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $77.1M -$110.1M -$110.1M — —

3. KBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (NYSE: KBDC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $12.88 (-1.23% 1D, market cap $850.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KBDC ranks #387 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KBDC compare to HSLV and CNL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), KBDC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $860.9M) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $973.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBDC leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while KBDC leads on capital efficiency (-8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBDC?

Per KBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747172), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $93.7M in net income, and -$98.7M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KBDC last traded at $12.88 (-1.23% on volume of 506,449 shares), positioning the stock -0.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.93) and -6.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.78). Across its 52-week range of $12.14 to $15.87, KBDC sits at the 19.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($12.35 to $13.41).

KBDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are KBDC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies KBDC leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: KBDC RQD Cockpit KBDC 12M Forecast KBDC Earnings & Move KBDC Dividends & DRIP KBDC Insiders & 13F KBDC Whale Options KBDC Profit Sankey KBDC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

KBDC — Kayne Anderson BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:19Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, KBDC scores 35 out of 100, grade D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7 / 20): Per the RQD rating and market data, ROIC is -8.4% and FCF yield is -11.46%. This pillar is weak because the business is not currently converting capital into positive cash returns on the metrics provided.
  • Whale 13F Flow (9 / 20): Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning are scored at a low-moderate level. The source data contains no 13F holdings detail, so the drivers behind this score cannot be verified here.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is scored low. No insider transactions appear in the holders section, so this score is not traceable to specific trades in the provided data.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4 / 20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is scored as a weak fit. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market; the low score reflects sector sensitivity rather than market beta alone.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score of 1 out of 9 is the weakest individual forensic signal in the source data, indicating poor fundamental health on the Piotroski checklist.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a valuation that looks inexpensive on earnings multiples (P/E 9.2 TTM, forward P/E 8.6) while cash generation and return on capital are negative. Upside drivers would require evidence that negative ROIC and FCF yield are turning positive. The main valuation tradeoff is that a low earnings multiple does not offset negative free cash flow. Second-order risk comes from the weak Piotroski reading and modest Altman Z, which together suggest limited financial cushion if conditions deteriorate. This is an educational summary of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) is a NYSE-listed issuer. Per the profile, its sector is Industrials and its industry is Diversified Equities. Per the profile, the company is described with a market capitalization of $0.9B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-118.2M$93.7MN/A$-98.7MN/AN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-83.8M$131.9MN/A$-544.5M$22.4MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-76.2M$77.1MN/A$-110.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each period, and margins are 0% for gross, operating, and net. Operating income is negative in all three periods while net income is positive, and FCF is negative throughout. Per the market data, ROIC is -8.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The Piotroski reading indicates weak fundamental health, and the balance sheet posture cannot be fully characterized because cash and debt are mostly N/A in the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items are listed, all tagged as YELLOW and MARKET WIRE:

  • A Seeking Alpha report headlined "Kayne Anderson BDC: Increased Discount And Non-Accruals" (1h ago). This headline is the most direct risk signal in the news set.
  • A TradingView estimates item and a Yahoo Finance UK seasonal returns chart (3h and 6h ago).
  • A Business Wire announcement of a Third Quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call (9h ago).
  • A TradingView item stating results are to be reported Nov. 5 with an earnings call Nov. 6 (12h ago). This is the nearest scheduled catalyst.
  • A Stock Traders Daily quant signal item (15h ago).

Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items are the non-accruals and discount language in the lead headline and the upcoming earnings date.

Open Questions

  • What drove the Q3 2026 earnings result, and does the reported non-accruals increase show up in the financials?
  • What are the cash and debt balances, which are reported as N/A for most periods?
  • Why is net income positive while operating income and FCF are negative in every reported period?
  • What is the EV/EBITDA figure, which is missing from the source data?
  • What institutional or insider positioning exists, given that the holders data is empty?

KBDC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KBDC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KBDC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.88?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KBDC 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KBDC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.48 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is KBDC (D- • RQD 35/100) a Buy at $13.04?

Welcome to the KBDC (Kayne Anderson BDC Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.30 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $13.04

Pump the brakes on KBDC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on KBDC, but look at what you are paying: 9.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.17 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $13.04

KBDC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on KBDC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.04 (52-wk range $12.14 - $15.87), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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