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Stock Ratings / Industrials / KBDC / dividends
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Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$13.07 +1.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.08

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $850.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KBDC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (NYSE: KBDC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $13.07 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $850.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KBDC ranks #388 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KBDC compare to HSLV and CNL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), KBDC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $860.9M) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $973.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBDC leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while KBDC leads on capital efficiency (-8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBDC?
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Per KBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747172), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. generated $331.0M in revenue (+41.0% YoY), $93.7M in net income, and -$98.7M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.08 (+0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$17 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE KBDC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KBDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KBDC SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$12.45+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$12.46+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$12.84+1.8% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$13.07-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (24) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KBDC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KBDC currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.93) and Max Pain ($13.72) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KBDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KBDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 32%NO 68%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KBDC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KBDC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KBDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.90%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $13.04H $13.07L $12.88C $13.07VOL 506.4K
RES: $13.07SUP: $11.86SMA50: $12.93SMA200: $13.78
$15.80$14.81$13.82$12.82$11.83RES $13.07SUP $11.86$13.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KBDC Butterfly Map → + Track KBDC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KBDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KBDC)

Industrials Rank #388 of 486 ⚔️ HSLV vs KBDC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KBDC vs. HSLV, CNL, PSUS, SLSR)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) ranks #388 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #264 by equity capitalization ($850.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBDC leads on earnings valuation at 9.2x trailing P/E, while KBDC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PSUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with KBDC at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KBDC ACTIVE
Kayne Anderson BDC Inc.
E 32/100 9.2x — -8.4% +1.48% $850.6M Benchmark Subject
HSLV
Highlander Silver Corp.
D- 42/100 — — — -0.95% $860.9M /hslv-vs-kbdc →
CNL
Collective Mining Ltd.
D 45/100 — — — -2.67% $973.8M /cnl-vs-kbdc →
PSUS
Pershing Square USA Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — +0.53% $983.5M /psus-vs-kbdc →
SLSR
Solaris Resources Inc.
D 44/100 — — — +2.75% $1.09B /slsr-vs-kbdc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747172 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $331.0M (+41.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $234.7M , and +55.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $93.7M, operating cash flow of -$98.7M, and free cash flow of -$98.7M (+81.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KBDC closed FY2025 with $2.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $331.0M $93.7M -$98.7M -$98.7M $2.29B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $234.7M $131.9M -$544.5M -$544.5M $2.08B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $213.3M $77.1M -$110.1M -$110.1M — —

3. KBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (NYSE: KBDC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $13.07 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $850.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, KBDC ranks #388 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KBDC compare to HSLV and CNL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), KBDC carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $860.9M) and CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $973.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBDC leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while KBDC leads on capital efficiency (-8.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBDC?

Per KBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747172), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. generated $331.0M in revenue (+41.0% YoY), $93.7M in net income, and -$98.7M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KBDC last traded at $13.07 (+1.48% on volume of 211,493 shares), positioning the stock +1.08% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.93) and -5.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.78). Across its 52-week range of $12.14 to $15.87, KBDC sits at the 24.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($12.53 to $13.61).

Direct Sub-Reports: KBDC RQD Cockpit KBDC 12M Forecast KBDC Earnings & Move KBDC Dividends & DRIP KBDC Insiders & 13F KBDC Whale Options KBDC Profit Sankey KBDC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

KBDC — Kayne Anderson BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $13.07 (+1.48% 1D, market capitalization $850.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -11.46%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) is a NYSE-listed issuer...9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) reported $331.0M in annual revenue (up from $234.7M in FY2024, +41.0% YoY) and $93.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($213.3M revenue, $77.1M net income) through FY2025, KBDC scaled operating cash flow to -$98.7M and free cash flow to -$98.7M, backed by $2.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -11.46% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.14 – $15.87 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 9.2x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Diversified Equities (Industrials), KBDC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can KBDC sustain or expand its — operating margin and -8.4% ROIC against Diversified Equities peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $331.0M and free cash flow of -$98.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is KBDC's 8.6x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

KBDC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to KBDC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

KBDC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.07?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON KBDC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on KBDC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.58 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low earnings multiples (P/E 9.2 TTM, forward P/E 8.6) and positive reported net income in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and FY 2023 could offer v

Low earnings multiples (P/E 9.2 TTM, forward P/E 8.6) and positive reported net income in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and FY 2023 could offer valuation support if cash generation improves.. When you look under the hood at KBDC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -8.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (6/20) has been quietly accumulating below $15.87. My 12M target is $15.58.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 9.2x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Equities. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.05 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $12.88

Negative ROIC (-8.4%), negative FCF yield (-11.46%), Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and a news headline citing increased non-accruals point

Careful chasing KBDC at $12.88. Negative ROIC (-8.4%), negative FCF yield (-11.46%), Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and a news headline citing increased non-accruals point to fundamental and credit-quality stress.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $10.05 on multiple compression.

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