PSUS (46) SLSR (44) HSLV (42) DEC (51) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.50 -6.58% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.36

Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $973.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CNL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Collective Mining Ltd. (NASDAQ: CNL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $10.50 (-6.58% 1D, market cap $973.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CNL ranks #288 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNL compare to PSUS and SLSR in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), CNL carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PSUS (Pershing Square USA Ltd.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $983.5M) and SLSR (Solaris Resources Inc.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CNL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNL?

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For Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #288 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.36 (-1.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CNL SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.7% FCF Margin ($27.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$11.58-0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$11.55-2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.23-6.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.50-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNL currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.89) and Max Pain ($11.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $23.07.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CNL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

39.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE

L: $10$10.50H: $22

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CNL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CNL

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNL)

✓Walkthrough of CNL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CNL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.52%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $11.24H $11.24L $10.50C $10.50VOL 351.8K

RES: $17.28SUP: $9.99SMA50: $12.89SMA200: $15.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CNL Butterfly Map → + Track CNL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNL)

Industrials Rank #288 of 485 ⚔️ PSUS vs CNL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CNL vs. PSUS, SLSR, HSLV, DEC)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) ranks #288 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #254 by equity capitalization ($973.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CNL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and — gross margin. DEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with CNL at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CNL ACTIVE Collective Mining Ltd.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-6.58%	$973.8M	Benchmark Subject
PSUS Pershing Square USA Ltd.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-2.06%	$983.5M	/psus-vs-cnl →
SLSR Solaris Resources Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-4.80%	$1.09B	/slsr-vs-cnl →
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp.	D-	42/100	—	—	—	-7.84%	$860.9M	/hslv-vs-cnl →
DEC Diversified Energy Company	D	51/100	—	—	11.5%	-1.16%	$1.11B	/dec-vs-cnl →

2. CNL Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) operates in Diversified Equities (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $973.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. CNL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CNL compare to PSUS and SLSR in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNL?

Where is CNL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNL last traded at $10.50 (-6.58% on volume of 351,845 shares), positioning the stock -18.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.89) and -31.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.22). Across its 52-week range of $9.77 to $21.97, CNL sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($9.20 to $11.80).

CNL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CNL stock right now?

Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CNL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CNL's 12-month base price target is $9.89 (range $7.71 to $23.07), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: CNL RQD Cockpit CNL 12M Forecast CNL Earnings & Move CNL Dividends & DRIP CNL Insiders & 13F CNL Whale Options CNL Profit Sankey CNL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CNL — Collective Mining Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CNL carries an RQD Score of 47 with a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield supporting the current price. Any upside case must rest on factors outside current cash generation.
Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The lowest-scoring pillar signals weak institutional conviction in the source data.
Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, indicating limited insider-led conviction in the data provided.
Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is weighed in this pillar. A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the broad market in the source's framing, offering no defensive cushion.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, suggesting a comparatively sound balance sheet relative to the other four.

Valuation tradeoffs: P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, so a valuation multiple comparison cannot be made. The stock's 52-week range of $9.77 to $21.97 and current price of $11.24 show the shares trade near the lower portion of that range, per the market data section. Taken together, the scores point to a weak fundamental and flow profile, with the balance sheet as the main offset.

Business

Per the profile, Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Diversified Equities industry. Per the market data section, its market capitalization is $1.0B. The source data does not describe the company's products, customers, or revenue model. Not available in source data for the remaining business detail.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six headlines are listed, all relating to CNL:

Yahoo Finance (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reported that the stock could be undervalued as a new high-grade zone extends Apollo.
Yahoo Finance (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reported the stock still looks overvalued after a 4.8x run.
MarketBeat (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reported shares gapped down.
Simply Wall St (GREEN, CATALYST) reported drilling results reignited the bargain question.
Yahoo Finance (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reported the stock is down 5.4% following a new high-grade tungsten-gold discovery at Apollo Guayabales.
kalkine.ca (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE) reported the stock slid -4.31% on 7 October 2026.

Per the news section, the only item tagged as a CATALYST is the Simply Wall St drilling report (GREEN). The remaining items are tagged MARKET WIRE with YELLOW signals, which flag caution. Risk watch items include the reported gap-down and the multi-session declines. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies are therefore not available in source data. Sector and industry correlation beyond the Industrials / Diversified Equities classification is not available in source data. The news headlines reference a tungsten-gold discovery at Apollo Guayabales, which is a commodity-linked development, but the source data does not map that exposure to any supply-chain node.

Open Questions

What are CNL's reported revenue, operating income, and net income by period, given that the financials section is empty?
What are the forward earnings and valuation multiples (P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA) needed to test the stock's price against its fundamentals?
Who are the institutional holders and insiders, and what is their recent buying or selling activity?
What drives the Apollo project economics, and how much of the stock's value depends on the tungsten-gold discovery?
What is the company's business model, and what revenue stream, if any, supports the current $1.04B market capitalization?

CNL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Collective Mining (TSX:CNL) Could Be 47% Undervalued As New High Grade Zone Extends Apollo

Yahoo Finance report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

Collective Mining (TSX:CNL) Stock Still Looks Overvalued After A 4.8x Run

Yahoo Finance report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Collective Mining (NASDAQ:CNL) Shares Gap Down - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Collective Mining (TSX:CNL) Drilling Results Reignite The Question Of Whether The Stock Is A Bargain

Simply Wall St report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Collective Mining (TSX:CNL) Is Down 5.4% After New High-Grade Tungsten-Gold Discovery At Apollo Guayabales

Yahoo Finance report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE kalkine.ca • 1d ago

Collective Mining Ltd. (TSX:CNL) Slides -4.31% on 7 October 2026: Why the Stock Is in Focus and What Investors Watch Next

kalkine.ca report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine Media • 1d ago

Collective Mining (TSX:CNL): What Does Apollo Report Confirm?

Kalkine Media report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Collective Mining (TSX:CNL) Drill Hits Put Its Valuation Case Back In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.50?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNL 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $12.14 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CNL (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $11.24?

Welcome to the CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Diversified Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.43 (-25.0%)

Spot @ $11.24

Pump the brakes on CNL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CNL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Collective Mining Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.39 (+28.0%)

Spot @ $11.24

CNL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CNL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.24 (52-wk range $9.77 - $21.97), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.