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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / IQ / earnings
CNVS (25) BBY (76) IZM (47) AZUL (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

iQIYI Inc. (IQ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.7% Move

$0.86 +3.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86

iQIYI Inc. (IQ) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $796.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, iQIYI Inc. (NASDAQ: IQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (+3.77% 1D, market cap $796.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IQ ranks #939 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IQ compare to CNVS and BBY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), IQ carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.1%, and ROIC of 2.0%. By comparison, CNVS (Cineverse Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.2%, cap $38.9M) and BBY (Best Buy Co. Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 26.2%, cap $20.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IQ?
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Per IQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001722608), iQIYI Inc. generated $3.90B in revenue (-2.5% YoY), -$29.5M in net income, and $1.4M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.86 (+0.49%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (4)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.1% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE IQ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IQ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IQ SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.4M FCF) & 21.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$0.99-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$0.92-8.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$0.84+2.4% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$0.86-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IQ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IQ currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.96) and Max Pain ($0.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IQ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IQ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 25%NO 75%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.7% Swing Band

±$0.07 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-8.7%)Spot $0.86$0.93 (+8.7%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IQ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 25/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.5%

Model Bullish Setup (25/100)Model Risk Weight (75/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$3.90B-$29.5M$1.4M21.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$4.00B$104.7M$278.2M24.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$4.49B$271.2M$472.1M21.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IQ)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IQ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IQ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.20%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $0.84H $0.86L $0.83C $0.86VOL 6.20M
RES: $1.65SUP: $0.80SMA50: $0.96SMA200: $1.24
$2.04$1.71$1.37$1.04$0.71RES $1.65SUP $0.80$0.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IQ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IQ Butterfly Map → + Track IQ →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
1.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IQ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IQ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IQ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IQ)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #939 of 1009 ⚔️ CNVS vs IQ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IQ vs. CNVS, BBY, IZM, AZUL)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Video Chains (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, iQIYI Inc. (IQ) ranks #939 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #533 by equity capitalization ($796.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBY leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while BBY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.2% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. BBY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with IQ at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IQ ACTIVE
iQIYI Inc.
E 25/100 — 21.1% 2.0% +3.77% $796.8M Benchmark Subject
CNVS
Cineverse Corp. (Class A)
E 25/100 — — -33.2% +8.22% $38.9M /cnvs-vs-iq →
BBY
Best Buy Co. Inc.
B+ 76/100 19.7x 22.5% 26.2% +0.51% $20.06B /bby-vs-iq →
IZM
ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)
D 47/100 — 3.3% — -3.22% $1.6M /izm-vs-iq →
AZUL
Azul S.A. each representing two (2)
D 49/100 — — — +5.25% $801.7M /azul-vs-iq →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001722608 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), iQIYI Inc. (IQ) reported GAAP revenue of $3.90B (-2.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.00B , and -13.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$29.5M, operating cash flow of $15.1M, and free cash flow of $1.4M (-99.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, IQ closed FY2025 with $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.90B -$29.5M $15.1M $1.4M $6.68B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.00B $104.7M $289.1M $278.2M $6.27B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.49B $271.2M $472.1M $472.1M — —

3. IQ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IQ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, iQIYI Inc. (NASDAQ: IQ) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $0.86 (+3.77% 1D, market cap $796.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IQ ranks #939 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IQ compare to CNVS and BBY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), IQ carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.1%, and ROIC of 2.0%. By comparison, CNVS (Cineverse Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -33.2%, cap $38.9M) and BBY (Best Buy Co. Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 26.2%, cap $20.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IQ?

Per IQ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001722608), iQIYI Inc. generated $3.90B in revenue (-2.5% YoY), -$29.5M in net income, and $1.4M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IQ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IQ last traded at $0.86 (+3.77% on volume of 6,893,099 shares), positioning the stock -10.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.96) and -30.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.24). Across its 52-week range of $0.81 to $2.32, IQ sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.7% ($1.00 to $0.93).

Direct Sub-Reports: IQ RQD Cockpit IQ 12M Forecast IQ Earnings & Move IQ Dividends & DRIP IQ Insiders & 13F IQ Whale Options IQ Profit Sankey IQ News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IQ — iQIYI Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

iQIYI Inc. (IQ) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.86 (+3.77% 1D, market capitalization $796.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.0%, gross margin of 21.1%, operating margin of 0.8%, and free cash flow yield of 0.18%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Per the Consumer Discretionary sector and Consumer Electronics/Video Chains industry classification in the profile, iQIYI Inc. Trades on NASDAQ under the ticker IQ. FY 2025 revenue was $3.90B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), iQIYI Inc. (IQ) reported $3.90B in annual revenue (up from $4.00B in FY2024, -2.5% YoY) and -$29.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.49B revenue, $271.2M net income) through FY2025, IQ scaled operating cash flow to $15.1M and free cash flow to $1.4M, backed by $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 0.18% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.81 – $2.32 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 9.0x EV/EBITDA against 0.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream supplier links, sector correlation links, or proprietary signals are recorded. Source data therefore does not identify any 2nd-order supply-chain bottlenecks. The one ripple signal the investor should track is the Nasdaq compliance risk flagged in the 24/7 Wall St. Headline, since a listing-compliance issue is a potential second-order event that could affect liquidity and institutional eligibility, though the source does not detail its mechanics.

  • Key Question #1: Can IQ sustain or expand its 0.8% operating margin and 2.0% ROIC against Consumer Electronics/Video Chains peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.90B and free cash flow of $1.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IQ's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IQ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for iQIYI Inc. (IQ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IQ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IQ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IQ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IQ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.97 (+16.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades near its 52-week low at $0.83 within a $0.81–$2.36 range, offering a low absolute entry price.

The street is overcomplicating iQIYI Inc. (IQ). The stock trades near its 52-week low at $0.83 within a $0.81–$2.36 range, offering a low absolute entry price.. With an RQD score of 25/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.90.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 25/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.83 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.77.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.66 (-20.5%)
Spot @ $0.83

A 2% ROIC, 0.2 Altman Z-Score, and 3/9 Piotroski F-Score point to forensic balance-sheet weakness alongside falling revenue and a FY 20

A 2% ROIC, 0.2 Altman Z-Score, and 3/9 Piotroski F-Score point to forensic balance-sheet weakness alongside falling revenue and a FY 2025 net loss.. Look at the math on IQ: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 2.0% ROIC and 0.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Consumer Electronics/Video Chains demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.73 before getting long.

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