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Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.46 -1.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.45

Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $38.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CNVS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.46 (-1.35% 1D, market cap $38.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNVS ranks #946 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CNVS compare to IQ and IZM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), CNVS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -33.2%. By comparison, IQ (iQIYI Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $796.8M) and IZM (ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNVS?
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Per CNVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001173204), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) generated $65.7M in revenue (-15.9% YoY), -$8.7M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $68.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.45 (-0.43%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.1% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE CNVS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CNVS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CNVS SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 21.5 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$1.81-13.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$1.56-7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$1.45+0.7% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.46-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CNVS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CNVS currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.95) and Max Pain ($1.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CNVS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CNVS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
21.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.46H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CNVS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-33.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (20)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CNVS
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CNVS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CNVS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CNVS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.75%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.48H $1.48L $1.46C $1.46VOL 81.8K
RES: $2.35SUP: $1.33SMA50: $1.95SMA200: $2.41
$3.57$2.98$2.39$1.81$1.22RES $2.35SUP $1.33$1.462026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CNVS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CNVS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CNVS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CNVS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CNVS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #946 of 1009 ⚔️ IQ vs CNVS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CNVS vs. IQ, IZM, BBY, VRM)

Industry: Consumer Electronics/Video Chains (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) ranks #946 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #836 by equity capitalization ($38.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BBY leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while BBY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.2% ROIC and 22.5% gross margin. BBY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CNVS at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CNVS ACTIVE
Cineverse Corp. (Class A)
E 25/100 — — -33.2% -1.35% $38.9M Benchmark Subject
IQ
iQIYI Inc.
E 25/100 — 21.1% 2.0% -0.83% $796.8M /iq-vs-cnvs →
IZM
ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)
D 47/100 — 3.3% — -7.82% $1.6M /izm-vs-cnvs →
BBY
Best Buy Co. Inc.
B+ 76/100 19.7x 22.5% 26.2% -4.72% $20.06B /bby-vs-cnvs →
VRM
Vroom Inc.
D 44/100 — — -35.0% -5.45% $39.0M /vrm-vs-cnvs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001173204 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) reported GAAP revenue of $65.7M (-15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $78.2M , and +33.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$8.7M, operating cash flow of -$26.5M, and free cash flow of -$26.5M (-252.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CNVS closed FY2025 with $68.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $65.7M -$8.7M -$26.5M -$26.5M $68.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $78.2M $3.8M $17.4M $17.4M $80.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $49.1M -$21.3M -$10.6M -$10.6M — —

3. CNVS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CNVS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CNVS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.46 (-1.35% 1D, market cap $38.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CNVS ranks #946 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CNVS compare to IQ and IZM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Consumer Electronics/Video Chains), CNVS carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -33.2%. By comparison, IQ (iQIYI Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.0%, cap $796.8M) and IZM (ICZOOM Group Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BBY leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while BBY leads on capital efficiency (26.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CNVS?

Per CNVS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001173204), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) generated $65.7M in revenue (-15.9% YoY), -$8.7M in net income, and -$26.5M in free cash flow against $68.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CNVS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CNVS last traded at $1.46 (-1.35% on volume of 81,813 shares), positioning the stock -25.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.95) and -39.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.41). Across its 52-week range of $1.40 to $3.44, CNVS sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.28 to $1.64).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CNVS — Cineverse Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.46 (-1.35% 1D, market capitalization $38.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -33.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -23.1%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Consumer Electronics/Video Chains industry. The profile states a market capitalization of $0.0B, which conflicts with the $39.4M figure in the market data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) reported $65.7M in annual revenue (up from $78.2M in FY2024, -15.9% YoY) and -$8.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($49.1M revenue, -$21.3M net income) through FY2025, CNVS scaled operating cash flow to -$26.5M and free cash flow to -$26.5M, backed by $68.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.40 – $3.44 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -23.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context is the classification as Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Electronics/Video Chains. Investors should treat the absence of mapped dependencies as a gap in analysis rather than evidence of an insulated business.

  • Key Question #1: Can CNVS sustain or expand its -23.1% operating margin and -33.2% ROIC against Consumer Electronics/Video Chains peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $65.7M and free cash flow of -$26.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CNVS's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CNVS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cineverse Corp. (Class A) (CNVS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CNVS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CNVS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.46?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CNVS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CNVS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.85 (+26.7%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades near the bottom of its 52-week range at 1.48 with a beta of 1.0 and a $39.4M market capitalization, offering a low abs

The stock trades near the bottom of its 52-week range at 1.48 with a beta of 1.0 and a $39.4M market capitalization, offering a low absolute entry price if operations stabilize.. When you look under the hood at CNVS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -33.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $3.44. My 12M target is $1.85.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Consumer Electronics/Video Chains. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.14 (-21.9%)
Spot @ $1.46

Free cash flow was -$26.5M against $2.5M of cash in FY 2025, with ROIC of -33.2% and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9, signaling weak

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CNVS: Free cash flow was -$26.5M against $2.5M of cash in FY 2025, with ROIC of -33.2% and a Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9, signaling weak cash generation and fundamental quality.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Consumer Electronics/Video Chains triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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