iBio Inc. (IBIO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$0.77 -5.52% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76

iBio Inc. (IBIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $49.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, iBio Inc. (NASDAQ: IBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.77 (-5.52% 1D, market cap $49.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IBIO ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBIO compare to GANX and SER in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IBIO carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GANX (Gain Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M) and SER (Serina Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBIO?
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Per IBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001420720), iBio Inc. generated $400.0K in revenue (+77.8% YoY), -$18.4M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $64.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76 (-1.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.6% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE IBIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IBIO SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$0.78+5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$0.82-6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
26
Grade E$0.77+0% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$0.77-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IBIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IBIO currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.07) and Max Pain ($0.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IBIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.10 Expected Swing
$1.00 (-12.5%)Spot $0.77$0.87 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IBIO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 23/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 77.8%

Model Bullish Setup (23/100)Model Risk Weight (77/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$400.0K-$18.4M-$15.3M52%
FY 20242024-06-30$225.0K-$24.9M-$18.8M52%
FY 20232023-06-30$0-$65.0M-$30.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IBIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IBIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IBIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.27%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.81H $0.81L $0.77C $0.77VOL 214.3K
RES: $1.19SUP: $0.58SMA50: $1.07SMA200: $1.68
$2.27$1.84$1.42$0.99$0.56RES $1.19SUP $0.58$0.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBIO)

Health Care Rank #952 of 1016 ⚔️ GANX vs IBIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (IBIO vs. GANX, SER, HYPD, CNTB)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, iBio Inc. (IBIO) ranks #952 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #746 by equity capitalization ($49.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IBIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IBIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GANX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 41/100 (D-) compared with IBIO at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBIO ACTIVE
iBio Inc.
E 23/100 — — -35.0% -5.52% $49.4M Benchmark Subject
GANX
Gain Therapeutics Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -5.04% $49.3M /ganx-vs-ibio →
SER
Serina Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +2.65% $49.3M /ser-vs-ibio →
HYPD
Hyperion DeFi Inc.
D- 38/100 — 62.7% -35.0% -8.13% $49.7M /hypd-vs-ibio →
CNTB
Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited
E 26/100 — — -35.0% -3.97% $50.5M /cntb-vs-ibio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001420720

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), iBio Inc. (IBIO) reported GAAP revenue of $400.0K (+77.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $225.0K ) , GAAP net income of -$18.4M, operating cash flow of -$15.3M, and free cash flow of -$15.3M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBIO closed FY2025 with $64.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $400.0K -$18.4M -$15.3M -$15.3M $64.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $225.0K -$24.9M -$18.6M -$18.8M $21.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $0 -$65.0M -$30.4M -$30.4M — —

3. IBIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, iBio Inc. (NASDAQ: IBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.77 (-5.52% 1D, market cap $49.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IBIO ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBIO compare to GANX and SER in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IBIO carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GANX (Gain Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M) and SER (Serina Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBIO?

Per IBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001420720), iBio Inc. generated $400.0K in revenue (+77.8% YoY), -$18.4M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $64.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBIO last traded at $0.77 (-5.52% on volume of 214,298 shares), positioning the stock -28.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.07) and -54.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.68). Across its 52-week range of $0.69 to $3.82, IBIO sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.87).

IBIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IBIO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, iBio Inc. (IBIO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is IBIO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for IBIO, spanning a range between $1 and $0.87.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBIO — iBio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, iBio Inc. scores 23 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 3 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 0%. For an investor, this means the business is not currently generating cash returns on capital; any upside depends on future operational change rather than existing earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning scored weakly. The rating does not provide a breakdown, so the investor should not infer institutional confidence from this pillar.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored weakly. Recent news references a director option grant, but the rating does not characterize it as a conviction signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity were scored. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is sensitive to broad market moves at the same magnitude as the market, without a cushion from its own fundamentals.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. Per the rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings signal elevated financial distress risk, which is the core reason the rating carries a "Forensic Risk" label.

Taken together, the valuation tradeoff is stark: at a market cap of $52.3M against operating margin of -60% and net margin of -60%, the equity is priced on expectations rather than demonstrated cash generation. Upside drivers would need to come from catalysts that change the cash trajectory; the rating itself indicates the present fundamentals do not support that view. The 52-week range of $0.69 to $3.82 against a current price of $0.81 illustrates how far the stock has already retraced, which underscores volatility rather than confirming a floor.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-06-30)$0.4M$-18.6M$-18.4MN/A$-15.3M$28.7MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-06-30)$0.2M$-16.6M$-24.9MN/A$-18.8M$7.0MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-06-30)$0.0M$-29.3M$-65.0MN/A$-30.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue has remained minimal across the three reported periods while operating losses persisted. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin -60%, and net margin -60%, with ROIC at -35%. The Roarable RQD rating reports an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, both consistent with financial stress. The rating reports Debt/Equity of 0.5, but debt values are absent from the SEC financials ("N/A"), so the balance sheet posture cannot be fully reconstructed from the source data. Reported cash rose from $7.0M in FY 2024 to $28.7M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed:

  • Market wire (2026-10-07): An item references a presentation at the 2026 EASD Annual Meeting, flagged YELLOW.
  • Catalyst (TradingView): A 12-month price target raise to $5.6, implying 509% upside, flagged GREEN. The source is a third-party target report, not a company disclosure.
  • Market wire (The Globe and Mail): Shareholders approved governance and capital structure changes, flagged YELLOW. The source does not specify the terms.
  • Risk watch (BioPharm International): Coverage of the Activin E antibody IBIO-610 in obese primates shifting semaglutide weight loss toward fat, flagged RED. This is preclinical-context reporting in the source headline and summary.
  • Risk watch (TradingView): A 12-month price target cut to $5.53, implying 447% upside, flagged RED.
  • Market wire (Stock Titan): A director received 38,000 options at a $0.78 exercise price, flagged YELLOW.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue source and product pipeline, given revenue of $0.4M against operating losses of $18.6M in FY 2025?
  • What are the debt levels, since the financials report debt as N/A while the rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What terms were approved in the shareholder governance and capital structure changes, and do they involve dilution?
  • How much cash runway remains at the current operating loss rate, given reported cash of $28.7M?
  • Which analyst firms issued the price target changes, and what assumptions drive a 447% to 509% implied upside?

IBIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for iBio Inc. (IBIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IBIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.77?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBIO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.71 (-12.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IBIO (E • RQD 23/100) a Buy at $0.81?

Welcome to the IBIO (iBio Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 23/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.62 (-23.5%)
Spot @ $0.81

Pump the brakes on IBIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IBIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless iBio Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.98 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $0.81

IBIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IBIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.81 (52-wk range $0.69 - $3.82), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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