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Stock Ratings / Health Care / HYPD
IBIO (23) GANX (41) SER (31) CNTB (26) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.22 -8.13% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.17

Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows β†’
ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $49.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HYPD Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HYPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Hyperion DeFi Inc. (NASDAQ: HYPD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $3.22 (-8.13% 1D, market cap $49.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, HYPD ranks #515 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HYPD compare to IBIO and GANX in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), HYPD carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IBIO (iBio Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.4M) and GANX (Gain Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HYPD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYPD leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYPD?
β–Ό

Per HYPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001682639), Hyperion DeFi Inc. generated $813.5K in revenue (+1318.8% YoY), -$45.3M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $51.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.17 (-1.65%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510038
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (11)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE HYPD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY HYPD SCORES 38/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 51% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$3.47-17.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$2.86-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$2.85+13% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$3.22-7.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (46) β†’ D- (38)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYPD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While HYPD currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.43) and Max Pain ($3.38) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.21.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYPDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œHYPD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 38%NO 62%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
49.430 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE19% OF RANGE
L: $2$3.22H: $7
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on HYPD

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with 62.7% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (30)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HYPD
  • βœ“Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYPD)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of HYPD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) β†’$100K Arena
HYPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.44%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $3.50H $3.50L $3.22C $3.22VOL 356.4K
RES: $4.24SUP: $2.66SMA50: $3.43SMA200: $3.36
$5.73$4.81$3.89$2.97$2.05RES $4.24SUP $2.66$3.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HYPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ HYPD Butterfly Map β†’ + Track HYPD β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYPD today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYPD)

Health Care Rank #515 of 1016 βš”οΈ IBIO vs HYPD Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (HYPD vs. IBIO, GANX, SER, CNTB)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) ranks #515 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #745 by equity capitalization ($49.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HYPD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HYPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 62.7% gross margin. GANX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 41/100 (D-) compared with HYPD at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HYPD ACTIVE
Hyperion DeFi Inc.
D- 38/100 β€” 62.7% -35.0% -8.13% $49.7M Benchmark Subject
IBIO
iBio Inc.
E 23/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -5.52% $49.4M /ibio-vs-hypd β†’
GANX
Gain Therapeutics Inc.
D- 41/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -5.04% $49.3M /ganx-vs-hypd β†’
SER
Serina Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +2.65% $49.3M /ser-vs-hypd β†’
CNTB
Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited
E 26/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -3.97% $50.5M /cntb-vs-hypd β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001682639

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) reported GAAP revenue of $813.5K (+1318.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $57.3K , and +21380.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$45.3M, operating cash flow of -$14.8M, and free cash flow of -$14.8M (+51.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYPD closed FY2025 with $51.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $813.5K -$45.3M -$14.8M -$14.8M $51.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $57.3K -$49.8M -$30.1M -$30.3M $3.7M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.8K -$27.3M -$23.8M -$23.8M β€” β€”

3. HYPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HYPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Hyperion DeFi Inc. (NASDAQ: HYPD) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $3.22 (-8.13% 1D, market cap $49.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, HYPD ranks #515 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HYPD compare to IBIO and GANX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), HYPD carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, IBIO (iBio Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.4M) and GANX (Gain Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HYPD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYPD leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYPD?

Per HYPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001682639), Hyperion DeFi Inc. generated $813.5K in revenue (+1318.8% YoY), -$45.3M in net income, and -$14.8M in free cash flow against $51.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HYPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HYPD last traded at $3.22 (-8.13% on volume of 356,350 shares), positioning the stock -6.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.43) and -4.17% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.36). Across its 52-week range of $2.34 to $6.87, HYPD sits at the 19.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($2.82 to $3.62).

HYPD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HYPD stock right now?

Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell β€” SELL) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HYPD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HYPD's 12-month base price target is $2.93 (range $2.29 to $7.21), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: HYPD RQD Cockpit HYPD 12M Forecast HYPD Earnings & Move HYPD Dividends & DRIP HYPD Insiders & 13F HYPD Whale Options HYPD Profit Sankey HYPD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 38/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HYPD β€” Hyperion DeFi Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HYPD scores 50 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental cash engine scores 9 of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. Whale/13F flow scores 14 of 20, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider conviction scores 5 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 11 of 20, reflecting a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Forensic balance sheet scores 11 of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which together signal that the business is not currently generating returns on capital and that insider activity does not provide meaningful confirmation. The strongest pillar relative to its maximum is whale/13F flow, which indicates some institutional interest, though the source data does not quantify the size or direction of those positions. The balance sheet pillar is moderate: the Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score are presented as mid-range readings rather than clear strength. Upside drivers would need to come from a shift in operating performance toward positive returns on capital, which the current data does not show. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data, leaving the market capitalization of $54.1M without an earnings-based reference point. Second-order risk lies in the combination of negative margins and a 0% FCF yield, which constrain the company's ability to self-fund operations.

Open Questions

  • What is the size and timing of the buyback and legacy debt retirement referenced in the news feed, and how do they change the cash and debt position?
  • What is the company's product pipeline and revenue model, given that the profile offers no product description?
  • What drove the -8.26% single-session move and the 17% climb cited in news coverage on the same market?
  • What are the components of the Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, and how were the Debt/Equity and balance sheet values derived?
  • Why are P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA absent, and what earnings path does management project?

HYPD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hyperion DeFi Inc. (HYPD) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to HYPD Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HYPD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.22?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HYPD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HYPD:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $3.48 (+8.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HYPD (D β€’ RQD 50/100) a Buy at $3.22?

Welcome to the HYPD (Hyperion DeFi Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.54 (-21.1%)
Spot @ $3.22

Pump the brakes on HYPD β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HYPD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 62.7% gross margins. Unless Hyperion DeFi Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.99 (+23.9%)
Spot @ $3.22

HYPD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HYPD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.22 (52-wk range $2.34 - $6.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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