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iBio Inc. (IBIO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$0.80 +4.06% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.80

iBio Inc. (IBIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $49.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, iBio Inc. (NASDAQ: IBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.80 (+4.06% 1D, market cap $49.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IBIO ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBIO compare to GANX and SER in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IBIO carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GANX (Gain Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M) and SER (Serina Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBIO?
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Per IBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001420720), iBio Inc. generated $400.0K in revenue (+77.8% YoY), -$18.4M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $64.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.80 (+0.54%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (23/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510023
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (5)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.3% Base Target
$4 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE IBIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (23/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IBIO SCORES 23/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 4% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$0.78+5.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
18
Grade E$0.82-6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$0.77+3.9% Next Q
Current
23
Grade E$0.80-11.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (15) → E (23)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IBIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IBIO currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.07) and Max Pain ($0.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.01.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IBIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $45,269

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $815/yr
$11.6K
Yr 1
$13.5K
Yr 2
$15.7K
Yr 3
$18.3K
Yr 4
$21.3K
Yr 5
$24.7K
Yr 6
$28.8K
Yr 7
$33.5K
Yr 8
$38.9K
Yr 9
$45.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IBIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IBIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IBIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.37%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $0.81H $0.81L $0.77C $0.80VOL 214.3K
RES: $1.19SUP: $0.58SMA50: $1.07SMA200: $1.68
$2.27$1.84$1.42$0.99$0.56RES $1.19SUP $0.58$0.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +77.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBIO)

Health Care Rank #952 of 1016 ⚔️ GANX vs IBIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (IBIO vs. GANX, SER, HYPD, CNTB)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, iBio Inc. (IBIO) ranks #952 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #746 by equity capitalization ($49.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IBIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IBIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GANX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 41/100 (D-) compared with IBIO at 23/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBIO ACTIVE
iBio Inc.
E 23/100 — — -35.0% +4.06% $49.4M Benchmark Subject
GANX
Gain Therapeutics Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $49.3M /ganx-vs-ibio →
SER
Serina Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -4.64% $49.3M /ser-vs-ibio →
HYPD
Hyperion DeFi Inc.
D- 38/100 — 62.7% -35.0% -7.76% $49.7M /hypd-vs-ibio →
CNTB
Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited
E 26/100 — — -35.0% -3.13% $50.5M /cntb-vs-ibio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0001420720 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), iBio Inc. (IBIO) reported GAAP revenue of $400.0K (+77.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $225.0K , and -99.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.4M, operating cash flow of -$15.3M, and free cash flow of -$15.3M (+18.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBIO closed FY2025 with $64.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $400.0K -$18.4M -$15.3M -$15.3M $64.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $225.0K -$24.9M -$18.6M -$18.8M $21.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $82.2M -$65.0M -$30.4M -$30.4M — —

3. IBIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, iBio Inc. (NASDAQ: IBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.80 (+4.06% 1D, market cap $49.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, IBIO ranks #952 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBIO compare to GANX and SER in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), IBIO carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GANX (Gain Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M) and SER (Serina Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $49.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IBIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBIO?

Per IBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001420720), iBio Inc. generated $400.0K in revenue (+77.8% YoY), -$18.4M in net income, and -$15.3M in free cash flow against $64.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBIO last traded at $0.80 (+4.06% on volume of 307,120 shares), positioning the stock -25.23% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.07) and -52.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.68). Across its 52-week range of $0.69 to $3.82, IBIO sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.90).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 23/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

IBIO — iBio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-06-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

iBio Inc. (IBIO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 23/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.80 (+4.06% 1D, market capitalization $49.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

The profile identifies iBio Inc. As a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. The profile reports market capitalization of $0.1B, which is consistent with the $52.3M figure in market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-06-30), iBio Inc. (IBIO) reported $400.0K in annual revenue (up from $225.0K in FY2024, +77.8% YoY) and -$18.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($82.2M revenue, -$65.0M net income) through FY2025, IBIO scaled operating cash flow to -$15.3M and free cash flow to -$15.3M, backed by $64.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 23/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.69 – $3.82 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals.. An investor should note the absence of mapped ripples rather than assume any.

  • Key Question #1: Can IBIO sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $400.0K and free cash flow of -$15.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is IBIO's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

IBIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for iBio Inc. (IBIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IBIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBIO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.97 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Two third-party price target actions (raised to $5.6, implying 509% upside) point to analyst optimism that the stock's current $0.81 pr

Long IBIO at $0.77 targeting $0.97. Two third-party price target actions (raised to $5.6, implying 509% upside) point to analyst optimism that the stock's current $0.81 price is well below its estimated value.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $0.69 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.77 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.61 (-20.8%)
Spot @ $0.77

A -35% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, Altman Z of 0.2, and -60% operating margin indicate the business is not generating cash and carries elevated

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short IBIO above $0.77. A -35% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, Altman Z of 0.2, and -60% operating margin indicate the business is not generating cash and carries elevated distress risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $3.82.

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