Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GPK scores 53 out of 100, a D+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 15 out of 20, with ROIC at 7.8% and FCF yield at 0%. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 6 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The insider conviction pillar scores 13 out of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The macro regime fit pillar scores 6 out of 20, with beta at 1.0 and a sector sensitivity read. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity of 1.51.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture. The cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars carry the score, while the flow and macro-fit pillars drag it down. The 0% FCF yield means the rating does not credit the stock with free-cash-flow support at the current price. The low P/E multiples in the market data sit alongside this weak rating, so any valuation appeal would need to be weighed against the fundamental and flow weaknesses the rating captures.

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $9383.0M in FY 2023 to $8581.0M in FY 2025, and net income declined from $723.0M to $444.0M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 18.2%, operating margin 9.4%, and net margin 5.2%, with ROIC at 7.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Debt/Equity is 1.51 per the RQD rating, and reported debt was $5022.0M against cash of $261.0M in FY 2025.

• What products GPK sells, to which customers, and through which revenue model, since the profile and business description are absent from the source data.
• What drove the decline in revenue and net income from FY 2023 to FY 2025, and whether the trend is continuing.
• Why the FY 2025 FCF of $841.0M is reported while the FCF yield is 0%, and how that figure is calculated.
• What EPS values were reported for the periods, since the financials list EPS as N/A for all three years.
• What the cash and debt figures are for FY 2023, which are listed as N/A.