Why CBOE Stock surged +4.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$349.22 +4.08% CBOE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $352.62

Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 82/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $37.52B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CBOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE: CBOE) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $349.22 (+4.08% 1D, market cap $37.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBOE ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CBOE compare to IBKR and RJF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), CBOE carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 139.6x, ROIC 0.3%, cap $34.84B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $30.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBOE?
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Per CBOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001374310), Cboe Global Markets Inc. generated $4.71B in revenue (+15.1% YoY), $1.10B in net income, and $1.68B in free cash flow against $9.31B in total assets and $1.44B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $352.61 (+0.97%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 35.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 82/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.9% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510082
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk B
Cash (19)Whales (18)SEC (12)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.8% Base Target
$457 Bull$387 Base$286 Bear
📬 FREE CBOE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CBOE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (82/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CBOE SCORES 82/100 (A-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 35.7% FCF Margin ($1.68B FCF) & 51.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$300.47+6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$318.82+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
79
Grade A-$320.42+9% Next Q
Current
82
Grade A-$349.22+8.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → A- (82)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CBOE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 82/100 (A-) score, CBOE faces multiple-compression risk if 31.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($295.54) or 200D SMA ($293.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($386.94) toward Bear Floor ($286.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CBOE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CBOE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CBOE Stock surged +4.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) surged +4.08% to $349.22, trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($227.15 – $371.18). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($227.15 – $371.18) with RSI-14 at 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.2% around $349.22 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A- (Buy) backed by 51.5% gross margin and $1.7B annual free cash flow.
Live CBOE Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CBOE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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CBOE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.04%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $314.3H $349.2L $314.3C $349.2VOL 2.46M
RES: $280.6SUP: $232.3SMA50: $295.5SMA200: $293.3
$381.3$339.5$297.7$256.0$214.2RES $280.6SUP $232.3$349.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CBOE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CBOE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CBOE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CBOE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CBOE)

Financials Rank #4 of 1096 ⚔️ IBKR vs CBOE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CBOE vs. IBKR, RJF, TW, NMR)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (82/100, grade A-) and #78 by equity capitalization ($37.52B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RJF leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while CBOE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 26.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CBOE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 82/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CBOE ACTIVE
Cboe Global Markets Inc.
A- 82/100 31.9x — 26.6% +4.08% $37.52B Benchmark Subject
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group Inc.
D+ 53/100 139.6x — 0.3% -2.69% $34.84B /ibkr-vs-cboe →
RJF
Raymond James Financial Inc.
C 63/100 14.5x — 5.9% +3.23% $30.24B /rjf-vs-cboe →
TW
Tradeweb Markets Inc.
B+ 78/100 34.2x — 13.6% +1.21% $28.45B /tw-vs-cboe →
NMR
Nomura Holdings Inc ADR
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.03% $27.21B /nmr-vs-cboe →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001374310

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) reported GAAP revenue of $4.71B (+15.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.09B , and +59.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.10B, operating cash flow of $1.75B, and free cash flow of $1.68B (+61.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CBOE closed FY2025 with $9.31B in total assets against $1.44B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.71B $1.10B $1.75B $1.68B $9.31B $1.44B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $4.09B $764.9M $1.10B $1.04B $7.79B $1.44B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.96B $761.4M $1.08B $1.08B $19.33B $4.52B

3. CBOE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CBOE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE: CBOE) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $349.22 (+4.08% 1D, market cap $37.52B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, CBOE ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CBOE compare to IBKR and RJF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), CBOE carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 26.6%. By comparison, IBKR (Interactive Brokers Group Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 139.6x, ROIC 0.3%, cap $34.84B) and RJF (Raymond James Financial Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $30.24B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RJF leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while CBOE leads on capital efficiency (26.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CBOE?

Per CBOE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001374310), Cboe Global Markets Inc. generated $4.71B in revenue (+15.1% YoY), $1.10B in net income, and $1.68B in free cash flow against $9.31B in total assets and $1.44B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CBOE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CBOE last traded at $349.22 (+4.08% on volume of 1,273,459 shares), positioning the stock +18.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($295.54) and +19.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($293.25). Across its 52-week range of $227.15 to $371.18, CBOE sits at the 84.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($320.58 to $377.86).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 82/100 (A-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CBOE — Cboe Global Markets Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:05Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CBOE scores 78 out of 100, a letter grade of B+, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 19 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 26.6% and an FCF yield of 4.79%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the business converts capital into cash efficiently, which is the core upside argument.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 17 / 20. this reflects a beta of 1.07 and sector sensitivity. A beta slightly above 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved modestly more than the market, so it is not a defensive holding in a sell-off.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. this reflects an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The F-Score is strong, while the Z-Score and this pillar's lower score indicate the balance sheet is a comparatively weaker area than cash generation.

For a prospective investor, the rating points to a cash-generative business with strong returns on capital, offset by a valuation that is not cheap on earnings (P/E TTM of 31.9) and a balance-sheet pillar that scores below the others. The upside case rests on sustained cash conversion; the valuation tradeoff is that much of that quality appears priced in. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cboe Global Markets Inc. Is a CBOE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The profile identifies the market capitalization as $35.1B. Specific products, customers, and revenue-mix details are — The reported margins (operating 31.1%, net 23.3%) per the market data section indicate a high-margin operating profile.

Net income rose from $764.9M in FY 2024 to $1.10B in FY 2025, and FCF rose from $1.04B to $1.68B. Per the market data, ROIC is 26.6% and net margin is 23.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9; Debt/Equity is 0.5. The FY 2023 revenue figure of — and the N/A cash entries limit year-over-year comparability for that period.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: ROIC of 26.6% and a 4.79% FCF yield, with FY 2025 FCF rising to $1.68B, show a highly cash-generative business. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 19/20 (ROIC 26.6%, FCF yield 4.79%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $227.15 – $371.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A P/E TTM of 31.9 and EV/EBITDA of 22.5 leave the valuation full, with the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scoring only 12 / 20. Investors must weigh 31.9x trailing P/E and 22.5x EV/EBITDA against 31.1% operating margins and a 1.07 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials), CBOE carries a macro regime beta of 1.07 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: What is the composition of revenue by business line, and which portion is recurring versus transactional?
  • Key Question #2: What were the terms and financial impact of the S&P deal renewal referenced in the news feed?
  • Key Question #3: What is the size and timing of the buyback program, and how is it funded relative to FCF of $1.68B?

CBOE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CBOE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CBOE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $349.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CBOE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CBOE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $426.12 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 26.6% and a 4.79% FCF yield, with FY 2025 FCF rising to $1.68B, show a highly cash-generative business.

ROIC of 26.6% and a 4.79% FCF yield, with FY 2025 FCF rising to $1.68B, show a highly cash-generative business.. When you look under the hood at CBOE, Fundamental Cash Engine is 19/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 26.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (18/20) has been quietly accumulating below $371.18. My 12M target is $426.12.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 31.9x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $285.20 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $335.53

A P/E TTM of 31.9 and EV/EBITDA of 22.5 leave the valuation full, with the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scoring only 12 / 20.

A P/E TTM of 31.9 and EV/EBITDA of 22.5 leave the valuation full, with the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scoring only 12 / 20.. Look at the math on CBOE: paying 31.9x trailing P/E for 26.6% ROIC and 31.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $295.27 before getting long.

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