When is BCSF's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is BCSF stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5% event move for BCSF, spanning a range between $10.37 and $11.47.

Stock Ratings / Financials / BCSF / earnings

FDUS (39) NMFC (45) SLRC (32) AIO (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5% Move

$10.92 +1.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.93

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $698.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on BCSF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is BCSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (NYSE: BCSF) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $10.92 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $698.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BCSF ranks #785 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does BCSF compare to FDUS and NMFC in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), BCSF carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, FDUS (Fidus Investment Corporation) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $732.9M) and NMFC (New Mountain Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $664.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLRC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while SLRC leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCSF?

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Per BCSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001655050), Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. generated $1.12B in revenue (+1.2% YoY), $98.8M in net income, and $29.5M in free cash flow against $2.66B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.93 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BCSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BCSF SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.6% FCF Margin ($29.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (52.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$10.62-4.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$10.13+3.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$10.45+4.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.92-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BCSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BCSF currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.04) and Max Pain ($11.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BCSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BCSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5% Swing Band

±$0.55 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

BCSF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 45/100

Trailing EPS: $1.52 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (45/100)Model Risk Weight (55/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.12B	$98.8M	$29.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.11B	$119.4M	-$27.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$833.2M	$123.4M	$219.3M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BCSF)

✓Walkthrough of BCSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BCSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.83%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $10.85H $10.92L $10.77C $10.92VOL 574.0K

RES: $12.25SUP: $9.82SMA50: $11.04SMA200: $12.43

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BCSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BCSF Butterfly Map → + Track BCSF →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-7.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BCSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BCSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BCSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BCSF)

Financials Rank #785 of 1096 ⚔️ FDUS vs BCSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BCSF vs. FDUS, NMFC, SLRC, AIO)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) ranks #785 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #622 by equity capitalization ($698.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLRC leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while SLRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BCSF currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BCSF ACTIVE Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.	D	45/100	7.1x	—	8.8%	+1.39%	$698.6M	Benchmark Subject
FDUS Fidus Investment Corporation	D-	39/100	—	—	—	+0.88%	$732.9M	/fdus-vs-bcsf →
NMFC New Mountain Finance Corporation	D	45/100	40.3x	—	1.4%	+1.14%	$664.0M	/nmfc-vs-bcsf →
SLRC SLR Investment Corp.	E	32/100	7.0x	—	9.3%	+1.55%	$634.5M	/slrc-vs-bcsf →
AIO Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of	D	44/100	—	—	—	-1.85%	$818.7M	/aio-vs-bcsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001655050

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.12B (+1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +34.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $98.8M, operating cash flow of $29.5M, and free cash flow of $29.5M (+209.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, BCSF closed FY2025 with $2.66B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.12B	$98.8M	$29.5M	$29.5M	$2.66B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.11B	$119.4M	-$27.1M	-$27.1M	$2.63B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$833.2M	$123.4M	$219.3M	$219.3M	—	—

3. BCSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BCSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does BCSF compare to FDUS and NMFC in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BCSF?

Where is BCSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BCSF last traded at $10.92 (+1.39% on volume of 379,285 shares), positioning the stock -1.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.04) and -12.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.43). Across its 52-week range of $10.00 to $14.70, BCSF sits at the 19.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($10.37 to $11.47).

Direct Sub-Reports: BCSF RQD Cockpit BCSF 12M Forecast BCSF Earnings & Move BCSF Dividends & DRIP BCSF Insiders & 13F BCSF Whale Options BCSF Profit Sankey BCSF News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

BCSF — Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:42Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

BCSF scores 46 out of 100, grade D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20 (ROIC 8.8%; FCF yield 4.19%), Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 6/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

Taken together, the pillar scores indicate weakness across most dimensions. The highest-scoring pillar, Insider Conviction at 13/20, is the strongest component, while Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 and Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 are the weakest. For a prospective investor, the practical implications are: the 4.19% FCF yield and 8.8% ROIC provide some cash-generation support, but the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals limited fundamental strength on that framework. The price-to-earnings multiples (7.1 TTM, 6. The Beta of 1.0 means the rating's macro-fit weakness reflects sector sensitivity rather than unusual volatility. The verdict label itself flags distribution risk, which an investor should weigh against the stock's position near its 52-week low.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating in the Finance/Investors Services industry. The profile does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model. —

Net income declined from $123.4M (FY 2023) to $119.4M (FY 2024) and then to $98.8M (FY 2025), while free cash flow moved from $219.3M to -$27.1M before recovering to $29.5M. The market data reports ROIC of 8.8%, and the Roarable RQD rating records an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported debt is N/A across all periods, so balance-sheet leverage cannot be traced to the financials section beyond the Debt/Equity figure.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Trading at 7.1x TTM earnings and 6.6x forward earnings with an FCF yield of 4.19% and ROIC of 8.8%, the stock screens cheaply on cash-generation metrics. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC 8.8%, FCF yield 4.19%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $10.00 – $14.70 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: The RQD rating of 46 (grade D, Underperform / Distribution Warning) with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and Macro Regime Fit of 6/20 points to broad fundamental and sector-level weakness. Investors must weigh 7.1x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is Financials / Finance/Investors Services and a Beta of 1.0. —

Key Question #1: What does BCSF's revenue base consist of, given that revenue and operating income are reported as — in every period?
Key Question #2: Why are gross, operating, and net margins each reported as 0%, and what income measure underlies the reported net income?
Key Question #3: What is the composition and maturity of the debt position, since reported debt is N/A across all periods?

BCSF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to BCSF Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. Schedules Earnings Release for the Third Quarter Ended September 30, 2026

Yahoo Finance report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 23h ago

Bain Capital Specialty Finance (NYSE:BCSF) Hits New 12-Month Low - Should You Sell?

MarketBeat report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Bain Capital Specialty Finance (NYSE:BCSF) Sets New 1-Year Low - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Technical Reactions to BCSF Trends in Macro Strategies

Stock Traders Daily report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. $BCSF Stock Purchased by Columbus Macro LLC

MarketBeat report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) Expected to Announce Earnings on Monday

MarketBeat report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketBeat • 1d ago

Bain Capital Specialty Finance (NYSE:BCSF) Upgraded to "Hold" at Zacks Research

MarketBeat report covering Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

BCSF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON BCSF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.89 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Trading at 7.1x TTM earnings and 6.6x forward earnings with an FCF yield of 4.19% and ROIC of 8.8%, the stock screens cheaply on cash-g

The street is overcomplicating Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc. (BCSF). Trading at 7.1x TTM earnings and 6.6x forward earnings with an FCF yield of 4.19% and ROIC of 8.8%, the stock screens cheaply on cash-generation metrics.. With an RQD score of 45/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $11.63.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — BCSF's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.29 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $10.77

The RQD rating of 46 (grade D, Underperform / Distribution Warning) with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and Macro Regime Fit of 6/20 points

The RQD rating of 46 (grade D, Underperform / Distribution Warning) with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and Macro Regime Fit of 6/20 points to broad fundamental and sector-level weakness.. Look at the math on BCSF: paying 7.1x trailing P/E for 8.8% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance/Investors Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $9.48 before getting long.