Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$19.31 -0.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.25

Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $732.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Fidus Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: FDUS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $19.31 (-0.67% 1D, market cap $732.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FDUS ranks #923 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDUS compare to BCSF and NMFC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), FDUS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $698.6M) and NMFC (New Mountain Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $664.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLRC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while SLRC leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDUS?
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Per FDUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001513363), Fidus Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$147.0M in free cash flow against $1.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.25 (-0.31%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$22 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE FDUS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDUS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FDUS SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$19.15-3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$18.45+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$18.99+1.7% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$19.31-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FDUS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FDUS currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.25) and Max Pain ($20.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDUS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FDUS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
54.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE60% OF RANGE
L: $17$19.31H: $21
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on FDUS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -19.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (40)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FDUS
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FDUS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FDUS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FDUS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.63%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $19.44H $19.44L $19.31C $19.31VOL 174.0K
RES: $19.49SUP: $18.00SMA50: $19.25SMA200: $18.96
$20.99$20.14$19.29$18.44$17.59RES $19.49SUP $18.00$19.312026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDUS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDUS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDUS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDUS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDUS)

Financials Rank #923 of 1096 ⚔️ BCSF vs FDUS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FDUS vs. BCSF, NMFC, AIO, SLRC)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) ranks #923 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #613 by equity capitalization ($732.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLRC leads on earnings valuation at 7.0x trailing P/E, while SLRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BCSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with FDUS at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FDUS ACTIVE
Fidus Investment Corporation
D- 39/100 — — — -0.67% $732.9M Benchmark Subject
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.
D 45/100 7.1x — 8.8% -0.74% $698.6M /bcsf-vs-fdus →
NMFC
New Mountain Finance Corporation
D 45/100 40.3x — 1.4% -0.14% $664.0M /nmfc-vs-fdus →
AIO
Virtus Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund of
D 44/100 — — — -1.45% $818.7M /aio-vs-fdus →
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
E 32/100 7.0x — 9.3% -1.36% $634.5M /slrc-vs-fdus →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001513363

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$147.0M, and free cash flow of -$147.0M (-165.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDUS closed FY2025 with $1.43B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 -$147.0M -$147.0M $1.43B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $0 -$55.3M -$55.3M $1.16B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $12.1M -$29.5M -$29.5M — —

3. FDUS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDUS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fidus Investment Corporation (NASDAQ: FDUS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $19.31 (-0.67% 1D, market cap $732.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FDUS ranks #923 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FDUS compare to BCSF and NMFC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), FDUS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $698.6M) and NMFC (New Mountain Finance Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 40.3x, ROIC 1.4%, cap $664.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLRC leads on earnings multiple (7.0x) while SLRC leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDUS?

Per FDUS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001513363), Fidus Investment Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and -$147.0M in free cash flow against $1.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FDUS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDUS last traded at $19.31 (-0.67% on volume of 173,994 shares), positioning the stock +0.31% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.25) and +1.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.96). Across its 52-week range of $16.87 to $20.95, FDUS sits at the 59.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.9% ($18.56 to $20.06).

FDUS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FDUS stock right now?

Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is FDUS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FDUS's 12-month base price target is $17.66 (range $13.77 to $22), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FDUS — Fidus Investment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:23Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FDUS scores 39 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5 / 20): ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of -19.92%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates the company is not currently converting capital into returns, which limits the upside case from a cash-generation standpoint.
  • Whale 13F Flow (11 / 20): Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar and suggests some institutional interest, though the source does not itemize specific holders.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A low score here indicates insider activity does not provide a strong confidence signal.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market, offering neither defensive nor amplified exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Piotroski reading is weak, while the Altman and leverage readings are moderate.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a weak cash-generation profile and a low-quality financial-health signal, partially offset by institutional interest. Valuation support cannot be assessed from the source data because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available. Upside drivers would need to come from a turnaround in cash flow, which the current data does not show.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-147.0M$70.0MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$-55.3M$57.2MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$12.1MN/A$-29.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue and operating income are $0.0M across the three periods, with net income of $12.1M appearing only in FY 2023. Free cash flow is negative in each period, and cash declined from $70.0M in FY 2025 to $57.2M in FY 2024 per the same data set. Per the market data and Roarable RQD rating, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, ROIC is 0%, and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 with a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5. Debt values are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the headlines are dominated by a scheduled third-quarter 2026 earnings release and conference call, which is a YELLOW-light market wire item. A GREEN-light catalyst is a Seeking Alpha piece titled as a rating upgrade citing a Fed pivot and solid net investment income, which is the most positive item in the feed. Other items reference upcoming deal activity, rotational strategy timing, and a projected quarterly earnings announcement. Risk watch items include the absence of reported profitability and negative free cash flow. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context is the Financials classification and the Finance/Investors Services industry label.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported revenue and net income figures, given that the financial data shows $0.0M revenue for multiple years?
  • What drives the negative free cash flow, and when, if ever, is it expected to turn positive?
  • What is the current debt level, since debt values are listed as N/A across all periods?
  • What is the valuation basis, given that P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all unavailable?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the whale and insider pillar scores?

FDUS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fidus Investment Corporation (FDUS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FDUS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDUS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.31?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDUS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FDUS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.11 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FDUS (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $19.44?

Welcome to the FDUS (Fidus Investment Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance/Investors Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.55 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $19.44

Pump the brakes on FDUS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FDUS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Fidus Investment Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.91 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $19.44

FDUS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FDUS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance/Investors Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.44 (52-wk range $16.87 - $20.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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