Are ASTE insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies ASTE leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Stock Ratings / Industrials / ASTE / insiders

PLOW (67) MTW (46) HY (37) WNC (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$39.27 -1.60% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.08

Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $904.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ASTE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ASTE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Astec Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTE) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $39.27 (-1.60% 1D, market cap $904.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ASTE ranks #246 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ASTE compare to PLOW and MTW in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), ASTE carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.7x, gross margin of 26.5%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, PLOW (Douglas Dynamics Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 19.6x, ROIC 20.7%, cap $911.3M) and MTW (Manitowoc Company Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 119.2x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $830.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLOW leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTE?

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Per ASTE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000792987), Astec Industries Inc. generated $1.41B in revenue (+8.1% YoY), $38.8M in net income, and $20.7M in free cash flow against $1.37B in total assets and $319.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.08 (-0.48%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASTE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASTE SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.01 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$40.43-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$39.26-2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$38.46+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$39.27-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASTE Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASTE currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($40.77) and Max Pain ($41.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $68.97.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASTE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASTE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ASTE Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ASTE)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ASTE. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASTE)

✓Walkthrough of ASTE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ASTE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.20%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $39.91H $39.91L $39.27C $39.27VOL 137.0K

RES: $40.59SUP: $36.91SMA50: $40.77SMA200: $50.69

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASTE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASTE Butterfly Map → + Track ASTE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

17.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASTE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASTE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASTE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASTE)

Industrials Rank #246 of 485 ⚔️ PLOW vs ASTE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ASTE vs. PLOW, MTW, HY, WNC)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) ranks #246 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #258 by equity capitalization ($904.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLOW leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. PLOW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ASTE at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASTE ACTIVE Astec Industries Inc.	D	48/100	23.7x	26.5%	5.6%	-1.60%	$904.2M	Benchmark Subject
PLOW Douglas Dynamics Inc.	C+	67/100	19.6x	26.6%	20.7%	-0.85%	$911.3M	/plow-vs-aste →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D	46/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	-3.23%	$830.5M	/mtw-vs-aste →
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	-2.90%	$510.8M	/hy-vs-aste →
WNC Wabash National Corporation	D	49/100	—	—	31.2%	-11.46%	$478.3M	/wnc-vs-aste →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000792987

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.41B (+8.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.31B , and +5.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $38.8M, operating cash flow of $61.4M, and free cash flow of $20.7M (+728.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASTE closed FY2025 with $1.37B in total assets against $319.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.01, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.41B	$38.8M	$61.4M	$20.7M	$1.37B	$319.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.31B	$4.3M	$23.0M	$2.5M	$1.04B	$105.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.34B	$33.5M	$27.8M	$27.8M	—	—

3. ASTE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASTE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ASTE compare to PLOW and MTW in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASTE?

Where is ASTE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASTE last traded at $39.27 (-1.60% on volume of 136,957 shares), positioning the stock -3.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.77) and -22.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($50.69). Across its 52-week range of $37.49 to $65.69, ASTE sits at the 6.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($36.76 to $41.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: ASTE RQD Cockpit ASTE 12M Forecast ASTE Earnings & Move ASTE Dividends & DRIP ASTE Insiders & 13F ASTE Whale Options ASTE Profit Sankey ASTE News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ASTE — Astec Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ASTE scores 49 out of 100, a D grade, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 11 of 20, anchored by ROIC of 5.6% and an FCF yield of 2.25%; these figures indicate modest capital efficiency and a thin cash return relative to the share price. Whale 13F Flow scores 6 of 20, reflecting weak institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 13 of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 4 of 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity weighing on the score. Forensic Balance Sheet is the strongest pillar at 15 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 3.01, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47.

For a prospective investor, the implication is that the balance sheet is sound while the earnings power, flow signals, and macro fit are not. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the multiples: a trailing P/E of 23.7 and EV/EBITDA of 11.6 against an FCF yield of 2.25% suggest the market is paying a premium for cash generation that the filing-level free cash flow does not yet fully support. The upside case rests on the balance sheet resilience and any recovery in operating margin from 4.7%; the downside case rests on weak institutional flow, sector-sensitive macro exposure, and a rating that flags distribution risk.

Business

Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $904.2M. The business operates with a gross margin of 26.5%, an operating margin of 4.7%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6% (free cash flow yield of 2.25%). Within the Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the headlines carry mixed signals. A GREEN-tagged CATALYST item notes Wall Street expectations for earnings growth ahead of a reporting week. RISK WATCH items flag a price drop characterized as temporary and a delivery-timing shift that drove a guidance cut despite strong order bookings. Several MARKET WIRE items report general price action and estimates without a directional thesis. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain catalyst is established in source data.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — The one sourced ripple point is timing: the news wire's delivery-timing shift, which the guidance cut was attributed to, suggests that order-to-revenue conversion is a watch item, though the source does not map the chain behind it. Investors should track whether delivery timing normalizes, since that is the only explicitly sourced bottleneck.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data: —

Holders (Form 4, 13F, Congressional trades): —

Open Questions

What are ASTE's primary products, end markets, and customer concentration? The source data gives only sector classification.
What drove the gap between FY 2024 net income of $4.3M and FY 2025 net income of $38.8M, and is the FY 2025 level repeatable?
Why did debt rise to $319.6M in FY 2025 while cash declined, and what is the financing use of proceeds?
What is the EPS for the reported periods, since the financials list EPS as N/A?
What is the size and timing of the delivery shift that drove the guidance cut, and does it affect FY 2026 revenue recognition?

ASTE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ASTE Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 19h ago

Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 22h ago

Astec Industries' Drop Is Painful But Temporary (NASDAQ:ASTE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Astec Industries, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:ASTE

TradingView report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Delivery Timing Shifts Drive Guidance Cut at Astec Industries (ASTE) Despite Strong Order Bookings

Yahoo Finance report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Astec Industries (ASTE) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Yahoo Finance report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Deere Stock And 2 Software Plays Built On Fleet Telematics Recurring Revenue

Simply Wall St report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago

Astec Industries (ASTE) Slips 1.16% to $38.45, Sitting Squarely at the Midpoint of Its Trading Range - VWAP Deviation

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Rare Earth Onshoring Puts Astec Stock And Other U.S. Industrial Names In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ASTE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $39.27?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ASTE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.95 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.01, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.47) provides a sound financial foundation.

The street is overcomplicating Astec Industries Inc. (ASTE). Forensic balance sheet strength (Altman Z 3.01, Piotroski F 9/9, Debt/Equity 0.47) provides a sound financial foundation.. With an RQD score of 48/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $42.41.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $39.27 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.85 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $39.27

Weak institutional flow, a 4/20 macro regime score, and 5.6% ROIC with 2.25% FCF yield point to distribution risk.

Weak institutional flow, a 4/20 macro regime score, and 5.6% ROIC with 2.25% FCF yield point to distribution risk.. Look at the math on ASTE: paying 23.7x trailing P/E for 5.6% ROIC and 4.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $34.56 before getting long.