Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-03, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $11.34 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $880.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEBI ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AEBI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.1x, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M) and LCID (Lucid Group Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEBI leads on earnings multiple (91.1x) while AEBI leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).
Per AEBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002048519), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG generated $1.53B in revenue (+40.6% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $548.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.1% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 1.62 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
While AEBI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.58) and Max Pain ($11.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.76.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) slipped -0.79% to $11.34, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($8.91 – $15.96). Stretched risk/reward at 91x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +26.15% and +6.62%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will hold its third quarter 2026 earning
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt”, the “Group”, or the “Company”), a world-class leader in specialty vehicles, today announced three appointments
Here is how Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) and Bridgestone Corp. (BRDCY) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) outlined plans to expand revenue, margins and its specialty-vehicle footprint through a combination of organic growth, operational improvements and acquisitions during the Midwest IDEAS Investo
Order backlog hit $1.3 billion, signaling strong visibility into 2027.
Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) reported higher second-quarter sales, orders and profitability, citing stronger backlog conversion, operational efficiency gains and progress on integration synergies following its acquisition
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ:AEBI) shares climbed 7. 7% in Thursday premarket trading after the company reported second-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations and delivered a sharp improvement in profitability
Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +40.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AEBI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AEBI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) ranks #940 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #525 by equity capitalization ($880.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEBI leads on earnings valuation at 91.1x trailing P/E, while AEBI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.6% ROIC and 19.9% gross margin. PSNY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with AEBI at 25/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEBI
ACTIVE
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG | E | 25/100 | 91.1x | 19.9% | 4.6% | -0.79% | $880.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS | D | 45/100 | — | — | — | +1.49% | $673.5M | /psny-vs-aebi → |
| LCID Lucid Group Inc. | E | 16/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -5.62% | $1.19B | /lcid-vs-aebi → |
| LOT Lotus Technology Inc. | E | 22/100 | — | 8.7% | -35.0% | -8.18% | $252.3M | /lot-vs-aebi → |
| AIIO Robo.ai Inc. (Class B) | E | 24/100 | — | 62.5% | -35.0% | -11.24% | $143.1M | /aiio-vs-aebi → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (+40.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.09B , and +50.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.7M, operating cash flow of $9.0M, and free cash flow of -$5.2M (-109.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, AEBI closed FY2025 with $2.01B in total assets against $548.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.62, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.53B | $9.7M | $9.0M | -$5.2M | $2.01B | $548.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.09B | $30.7M | $68.8M | $55.2M | $1.09B | $376.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.02B | $11.2M | $30.1M | $30.1M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-03, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $11.34 (-0.79% 1D, market cap $880.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AEBI ranks #940 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), AEBI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 91.1x, gross margin of 19.9%, and ROIC of 4.6%. By comparison, PSNY (Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $673.5M) and LCID (Lucid Group Inc.) posts a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEBI leads on earnings multiple (91.1x) while AEBI leads on capital efficiency (4.6% ROIC).
Per AEBI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002048519), Aebi Schmidt Holding AG generated $1.53B in revenue (+40.6% YoY), $9.7M in net income, and -$5.2M in free cash flow against $2.01B in total assets and $548.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
AEBI last traded at $11.34 (-0.79% on volume of 156,243 shares), positioning the stock -2.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.58) and -8.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.36). Across its 52-week range of $8.91 to $15.96, AEBI sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($10.65 to $12.03).
Why AEBI Stock slipped -0.79% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 91x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, AEBI carries an RQD Score of 25 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC 4.6%; FCF yield -0.59%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 4/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z 1.62; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.67). Every pillar scores in the lower portion of its range, with the weakest readings in macro fit and the cash engine. For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating's cash-generation and insider-activity pillars do not offer supporting evidence for the current price of $11.43, while the forensic balance-sheet pillar flags leverage and financial-health concerns that the rating treats as elevated risk. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 91.1 against EPS (TTM) of 0.13, a multiple the rating's pillars do not justify on cash-flow grounds. Any upside case would depend on earnings or cash-flow improvement that the current data does not yet show.
Per the profile, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Manufacturing industry, with a market capitalization of $0.9B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model in detail. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1526.6M, indicating a substantial operating scale. The source data does not provide further detail on how the company makes money.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1526.6M | $73.1M | $9.7M | N/A | $-5.2M | $98.5M | $548.0M |
| FY 2024 | $1086.0M | $68.5M | $30.7M | N/A | $55.2M | $65.2M | $376.6M |
| FY 2023 | $1015.6M | $59.0M | $11.2M | N/A | $30.1M | N/A | N/A |
Per the market data, gross margin is 19.9%, operating margin 4.8%, and net margin 0.6%, with ROIC at 4.6%. Per the RQD forensic balance-sheet pillar, the Altman Z-Score is 1.62, the Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.67. FY 2025 free cash flow was negative at $-5.2M after $55.2M in FY 2024, and reported debt rose from $376.6M to $548.0M over the same period. The FCF yield of -0.59% is consistent with the negative FY 2025 cash flow.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector dependencies. The only sector context available is the Consumer Discretionary / Auto Manufacturing classification and the RQD macro-fit pillar's note of sector sensitivity at Beta 1.0. A prospective investor should watch for the absence of documented supply-chain linkages as itself a gap in diligence rather than evidence of their absence.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +26.15% and +6.62%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt Group” or the “Company”), a world-class specialty vehicles leader, will hold its third quarter 2026 earning
FRAUENFELD, Switzerland, Oct. 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Aebi Schmidt Group (NASDAQ: AEBI) (“Aebi Schmidt”, the “Group”, or the “Company”), a world-class leader in specialty vehicles, today announced three appointments
Here is how Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) and Bridgestone Corp. (BRDCY) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) outlined plans to expand revenue, margins and its specialty-vehicle footprint through a combination of organic growth, operational improvements and acquisitions during the Midwest IDEAS Investo
Order backlog hit $1.3 billion, signaling strong visibility into 2027.
Yahoo Finance coverage on AEBI stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.
Aebi Schmidt (NASDAQ:AEBI) reported higher second-quarter sales, orders and profitability, citing stronger backlog conversion, operational efficiency gains and progress on integration synergies following its acquisition
Welcome to the AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 25/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (91.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on AEBI, but look at what you are paying: 91.1x trailing P/E with 19.9% gross margins. Unless Aebi Schmidt Holding AG expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on AEBI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.43 (52-wk range $8.91 - $15.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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