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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / CALY
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Callaway Golf Company (CALY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$15.16 -0.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.13

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CALY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Callaway Golf Company (NYSE: CALY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $15.16 (-0.20% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALY ranks #502 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CALY compare to YETI and PTON in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), CALY carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, YETI (YETI Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 23.5%, cap $3.19B) and PTON (Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $2.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALY?
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Per CALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000837465), Callaway Golf Company generated $2.06B in revenue (-0.8% YoY), -$409.3M in net income, and $302.2M in free cash flow against $7.29B in total assets and $650.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.13 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 14.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$21 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE CALY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CALY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CALY SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 6.2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$13.84+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$14.14+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$14.43+5.1% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$15.16-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CALY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CALY currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.70) and Max Pain ($15.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CALY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CALY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
62.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE
L: $9$15.16H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on CALY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

5.6% ROIC with 42.1% gross margin and 11.14% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (55)

23/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CALY
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CALY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CALY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CALY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.39%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $15.19H $15.19L $15.16C $15.16VOL 2.06M
RES: $15.51SUP: $12.57SMA50: $14.70SMA200: $15.46
$20.88$18.41$15.95$13.48$11.01RES $15.51SUP $12.57$15.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CALY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CALY Butterfly Map → + Track CALY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
13.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CALY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CALY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CALY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CALY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #502 of 1009 ⚔️ YETI vs CALY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CALY vs. YETI, PTON, MAT, GOLF)

Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Callaway Golf Company (CALY) ranks #502 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #376 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MAT leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while YETI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 57.4% gross margin. YETI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CALY at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CALY ACTIVE
Callaway Golf Company
D+ 52/100 — 42.1% 5.6% -0.20% $2.71B Benchmark Subject
YETI
YETI Holdings Inc.
B 74/100 19.5x 57.4% 23.5% -1.20% $3.19B /yeti-vs-caly →
PTON
Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 50.9% -24.3% -3.03% $2.28B /pton-vs-caly →
MAT
Mattel Inc.
C+ 67/100 11.1x 48.7% 13.0% -0.39% $4.41B /mat-vs-caly →
GOLF
Acushnet Holdings Corp.
D+ 57/100 26.5x 47.7% 13.8% -0.48% $4.98B /golf-vs-caly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000837465 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Callaway Golf Company (CALY) reported GAAP revenue of $2.06B (-0.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.08B , and -3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$409.3M, operating cash flow of $334.0M, and free cash flow of $302.2M (-9.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, CALY closed FY2025 with $7.29B in total assets against $650.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.06B -$409.3M $334.0M $302.2M $7.29B $650.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.08B -$1.45B $382.0M $333.3M $7.64B $1.41B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.13B $95.0M $364.7M $364.7M — —

3. CALY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CALY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Callaway Golf Company (NYSE: CALY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $15.16 (-0.20% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CALY ranks #502 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CALY compare to YETI and PTON in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), CALY carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 5.6%. By comparison, YETI (YETI Holdings Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 19.5x, ROIC 23.5%, cap $3.19B) and PTON (Peloton Interactive Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.3%, cap $2.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAT leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while YETI leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CALY?

Per CALY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000837465), Callaway Golf Company generated $2.06B in revenue (-0.8% YoY), -$409.3M in net income, and $302.2M in free cash flow against $7.29B in total assets and $650.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CALY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CALY last traded at $15.16 (-0.20% on volume of 2,062,732 shares), positioning the stock +3.13% above its 50-day simple moving average ($14.70) and -1.94% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.46). Across its 52-week range of $8.71 to $20.28, CALY sits at the 55.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($14.36 to $15.96).

Direct Sub-Reports: CALY RQD Cockpit CALY 12M Forecast CALY Earnings & Move CALY Dividends & DRIP CALY Insiders & 13F CALY Whale Options CALY Profit Sankey CALY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CALY — Callaway Golf Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.16 (-0.20% 1D, market capitalization $2.71B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.6%, gross margin of 42.1%, operating margin of 6.2%, and free cash flow yield of 11.14%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.31x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Callaway Golf Company (CALY) is listed on the NYSE and classified..7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Callaway Golf Company (CALY) reported $2.06B in annual revenue (up from $2.08B in FY2024, -0.8% YoY) and -$409.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.13B revenue, $95.0M net income) through FY2025, CALY scaled operating cash flow to $334.0M and free cash flow to $302.2M, backed by $7.29B in total assets against $650.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 11.14% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.71 – $20.28 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 15.9x EV/EBITDA against 6.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. A prospective investor should watch the Nov. 5 results release referenced in the news feed as the next scheduled source of new fundamental information.

  • Key Question #1: Can CALY sustain or expand its 6.2% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against Recreational Games/Products/Toys peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.06B and free cash flow of $302.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $650.7M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CALY's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CALY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Callaway Golf Company (CALY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CALY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CALY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CALY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CALY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.71 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash generation is strong relative to valuation, with an 11.14% FCF yield and debt reduced from $1.41B to $650.7M while cash rose to

Here is why I am bullish on CALY here at $15.16: Cash generation is strong relative to valuation, with an 11.14% FCF yield and debt reduced from $1.41B to $650.7M while cash rose to $903.2M.. Compare CALY's 6.2% operating margin and 5.6% ROIC against the rest of Recreational Games/Products/Toys. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $14.40 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 52/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $15.16 and keeping dry powder in case we test $14.10.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.13 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $15.16

Reported earnings are negative with a -19.9% net margin and -$409.3M FY 2025 net income, while ROIC is only 5.6% against a 15.9x EV/EBI

Careful chasing CALY at $15.16. Reported earnings are negative with a -19.9% net margin and -$409.3M FY 2025 net income, while ROIC is only 5.6% against a 15.9x EV/EBITDA multiple.. Gross margin is 42.1%, but operating margin is 6.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $12.13 on multiple compression.

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