ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

VCTR // Victory Capital Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001570827 ↗
Financials • Investment Managers
$110.62 ▼ -3.19 (-2.80%)
MKT CAP: $6.80B • VOL: 360.4K
VCTR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B+ (RQD 76) -> B (RQD 72)
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 -4D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +12.6% vs NI +14.3% • ROIC-WACC +3.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.5% • P/E 17.8x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.45
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

Why did VCTR's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever VCTR is Upgraded or Downgraded.

VCTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.53%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $113.8H $113.8L $110.6C $110.6VOL 360.4K
RES: $113.2SUP: $105.5SMA50: $110.8SMA200: $89.90
$127.4$111.3$95.19$79.06$62.94RES $113.2SUP $105.5$110.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
VCTR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 70/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 12.5% return on invested capital within Financials (Investment Managers), balanced against a 15.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 36.6% operating margin and 12.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 12.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +46.2% paired with 5.45% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +46.2% // FCF YLD: 5.45%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 21.2x trailing P/E (17.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 21.2x // EV/EBITDA: 15.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $110.62 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Investment Managers require continuous execution to defend 25.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 25.3% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 17.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.99).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 21.2x
FORWARD P/E 17.8x
EV / EBITDA 15.8x
FCF YIELD 5.45%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 36.6%
NET MARGIN 25.3%
ROIC % 12.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +46.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.37
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.24%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.99
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // VCTRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $101.22
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for VCTR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>