What is VCTR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VCTR's 12-month base price target is $121.51 (range $93.73 to $143.38), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Stock Ratings / Financials / VCTR

PJT (65) MORN (79) MAAS (49) STEP (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell VCTR stock right now?

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy — BUY) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

$114.31 +3.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.27

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $6.80B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VCTR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VCTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VCTR) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $114.31 (+3.34% 1D, market cap $6.80B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, VCTR ranks #67 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VCTR compare to PJT and MORN in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), VCTR carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.5%. By comparison, PJT (PJT Partners Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 34.8%, cap $6.14B) and MORN (Morningstar Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 20.1x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $8.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MORN leads on earnings multiple (20.1x) while PJT leads on capital efficiency (34.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VCTR?

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Per VCTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001570827), Victory Capital Holdings Inc. generated $1.31B in revenue (+46.2% YoY), $330.1M in net income, and $381.3M in free cash flow against $4.25B in total assets and $820.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.27 (+0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 29.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VCTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VCTR SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 29.2% FCF Margin ($381.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$106.11+1.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$107.60+4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$111.87+2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$114.31+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VCTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, VCTR faces multiple-compression risk if 21.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($110.75) or 200D SMA ($89.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($121.51) toward Bear Floor ($93.73).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VCTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VCTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

9 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE86% OF RANGE

L: $57$114.31H: $124

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on VCTR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

12.5% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.45% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (70)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VCTR

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VCTR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VCTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +46.25%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $113.8H $114.3L $110.6C $114.3VOL 360.4K

RES: $114.1SUP: $105.5SMA50: $110.8SMA200: $89.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VCTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VCTR Butterfly Map → + Track VCTR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +46.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VCTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VCTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VCTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VCTR)

Financials Rank #67 of 1097 ⚔️ PJT vs VCTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (VCTR vs. PJT, MORN, MAAS, STEP)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) ranks #67 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #230 by equity capitalization ($6.80B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MORN leads on earnings valuation at 20.1x trailing P/E, while PJT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.8% ROIC and — gross margin. MORN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with VCTR at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VCTR ACTIVE Victory Capital Holdings Inc.	B	72/100	21.2x	—	12.5%	+3.34%	$6.80B	Benchmark Subject
PJT PJT Partners Inc.	C	65/100	34.6x	—	34.8%	+2.59%	$6.14B	/pjt-vs-vctr →
MORN Morningstar Inc.	B+	79/100	20.1x	—	22.9%	+5.54%	$8.39B	/morn-vs-vctr →
MAAS Maase Inc. (Class A)	D	49/100	—	—	—	+1.39%	$5.42B	/maas-vs-vctr →
STEP StepStone Group Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	+3.73%	$5.22B	/step-vs-vctr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001570827 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.31B (+46.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $893.5M , and +59.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $330.1M, operating cash flow of $385.5M, and free cash flow of $381.3M (+12.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, VCTR closed FY2025 with $4.25B in total assets against $820.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.31B	$330.1M	$385.5M	$381.3M	$4.25B	$820.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$893.5M	$288.9M	$340.0M	$338.7M	$2.55B	$641.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$821.0M	$213.2M	$330.3M	$293.3M	$3.85B	$901.0M

3. VCTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VCTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does VCTR compare to PJT and MORN in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VCTR?

Where is VCTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VCTR last traded at $114.31 (+3.34% on volume of 502,414 shares), positioning the stock +3.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($110.75) and +27.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($89.90). Across its 52-week range of $57.03 to $123.55, VCTR sits at the 86.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($106.65 to $121.97).

Direct Sub-Reports: VCTR RQD Cockpit VCTR 12M Forecast VCTR Earnings & Move VCTR Dividends & DRIP VCTR Insiders & 13F VCTR Whale Options VCTR Profit Sankey VCTR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VCTR — Victory Capital Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $114.31 (+3.34% 1D, market capitalization $6.80B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 36.6%, and free cash flow yield of 5.45%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.99x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Victory Capital Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Managers industry. It operates as an investment manager with a market capitalization of $7.0B. Revenue and margin figures are presented in the Financial Trend section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) reported $1.31B in annual revenue (up from $893.5M in FY2024, +46.2% YoY) and $330.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($821.0M revenue, $213.2M net income) through FY2025, VCTR scaled operating cash flow to $385.5M and free cash flow to $381.3M, backed by $4.25B in total assets against $820.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $57.03 – $123.55 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 21.2x trailing P/E and 15.8x EV/EBITDA against 36.6% operating margins and a 0.99x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore identifies no upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlation links to map. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the provided data. The beta of 0.99 is the only available indicator of market co-movement.

Key Question #1: Can VCTR sustain or expand its 36.6% operating margin and 12.5% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.31B and free cash flow of $381.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $820.4M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is VCTR's 17.8x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.99x)?

VCTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VCTR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 22h ago

VCTR Stock Price and Chart — NASDAQ:VCTR

TradingView report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Will Victory Capital (VCTR) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Yahoo Finance report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 1d ago

Victory Capital Holding - A (NASDAQ:VCTR): A Quality Investing Case Built on Cash Flow and Growth

ChartMill report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) Stock Down 3.2% but Still Ov

GuruFocus report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Victory Capital (VCTR) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why

Yahoo Finance report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

Transcript: Victory Capital Holdings Q2 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Benzinga report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:VCTR) Stock Now Rated "Hold" by Wall Street Analysts

MarketBeat report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ChartMill • 1d ago

Victory Capital Holding A (NASDAQ:VCTR): Strong Growth and Technical Setup Quality

ChartMill report covering Victory Capital Holdings Inc. (VCTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VCTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $114.31?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VCTR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $137.17 (+24.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (17/20) and a 5.45% FCF yield with Piotroski F-Score 9/9 signal strong cash generation and smart-money support.

Here is why I am bullish on VCTR here at $110.62: Insider conviction (17/20) and a 5.45% FCF yield with Piotroski F-Score 9/9 signal strong cash generation and smart-money support.. Compare VCTR's 36.6% operating margin and 12.5% ROIC against the rest of Investment Managers. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $105.09 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $110.62 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $84.07 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $110.62

The stock trades near the top of its 52-week range at P/E 21.2 and EV/EBITDA 15.8, leaving limited valuation cushion if sector conditio

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short VCTR above $110.62. The stock trades near the top of its 52-week range at P/E 21.2 and EV/EBITDA 15.8, leaving limited valuation cushion if sector conditions weaken.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (5.45%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $123.55.