ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NI // NiSource Inc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001111711 ↗
Utilities • Power Generation
$44.57 ▼ -0.18 (-0.40%)
MKT CAP: $21.47B • VOL: 7.48M
NI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 50/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
50 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +49.5% vs NI +22.2% • ROIC-WACC +1.7% • Z 1.05
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 59% • VS 200D -0.3% • RSI 72.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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NI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.30%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $43.87H $44.75L $43.87C $44.57VOL 7.56M
RES: $45.08SUP: $36.59SMA50: $41.37SMA200: $44.90
$49.97$46.84$43.71$40.58$37.45RES $45.08SUP $36.59$44.572026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
NI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 57/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NiSource Inc (NI) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.8% return on invested capital within Utilities (Power Generation), balanced against a 6.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 28.1% operating margin and 8.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.8% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +23.5% paired with -1.96% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +23.5% // FCF YLD: -1.96%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.05 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.05 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 23.1x trailing P/E (19.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 23.1x // EV/EBITDA: 6.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $44.57 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Power Generation require continuous execution to defend 14.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 14.3% // D/E: 0.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 19.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.75).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 23.1x
FORWARD P/E 19.4x
EV / EBITDA 6.8x
FCF YIELD -1.96%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 28.1%
NET MARGIN 14.3%
ROIC % 8.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +23.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.94
DEBT / EQUITY 0.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.47%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 72.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.75
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $40.78
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>